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Faria J — Darderi L

Tennis 24.07.2026 17:30 UTC
Favourite Darderi L best odds 1.56

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP. Eshtoril
ATP. Eshtoril International
Quarterfinal 24.07.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
24.07.2026 17:30 UTC Quarterfinal
Finished

ATP. Eshtoril

Faria J - Darderi L

International Tennis
Faria J
Faria J
1 : 2
6:2 5:7 2:6
Finished
Darderi L
Darderi L

Faria J face Darderi L on July 24, 2026 in the ATP. Eshtoril, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Faria J 1-0-0, Darderi L 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Darderi L (odds1.49) Score 1:2 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Fariya Zh: forma VP (1)
  • • Darderi L: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.55→1.52 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Darderi L: probability 62% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Faria J - Darderi L July 24, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Darderi L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 6 books · best price +3.0%
1 36.7%
2 63.3%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Betcity, Betfair, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Faria J
6-4LWWLLLWWWW
sets for 1.5sets against 0.8
Darderi L
7-3WWWLWWLWWL
sets for 1.5sets against 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Klube de Tenis du Eshtoril. Millenium
Start 24.07.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 93.7% @ 1.01
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Match center

Faria J - Darderi L

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Zhayme Fariya - Luchano Darderi, 24 iyulya 2026. Eshtoril. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Zhayme Fariya - Luchano Darderi, kto pobedil.

Form 1/1 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 61.4% fact: away hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.298 / LogLoss 0.488
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 51.4% fact: away hit / ROI 56.0% / Brier 0.473 / LogLoss 0.666
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.74 57.5% 1.84 54.4% —
— 2.30 43.5% —
— 1.55 64.5% —
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.30 76.9%
2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.53 65.4%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.10 90.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 6.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 8.5 — 1.75 57.1% —
Over 15.5 — — 1.16 86.2%
Over 16.5 — — 1.10 90.9%
Over 17.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
Over 18.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 19.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
Over 21.5 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% —
Over 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 6.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Under 8.5 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% 2.03 49.3% —
Under 22.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Betfair Fonbet Leon
2.40 41.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.43 41.2% 2.78 36.0% 15.00 6.7% 2.55 39.2%
1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.50 66.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-07-24 · Zhayme Fariya 1:2 Luchano Darderi
2025-02-25 · Zhayme Fariya 2:0 Luchano Darderi
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.9 (Betcity) · 2 1.5 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.7 1.45
Winline 2.47 1.5
Fonbet 2.7 1.45
Betcity 2.9 1.41
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

7 Eysy 4
4 Dvoynye oshibki 1
11 Vsego breyk-poyntov 10
3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
91 Vyigrannye Points 95
54 Points na podache 56
39 Poteryannye Points na podache 37
60 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 49
29 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 43
39 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 31
15 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 25
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4
10 Geymy na podache 11
13 Vyigrannye geymy 15
3 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Faria J
W
23.07 13:35 UTC ATP. Eshtoril
Faria J 2:0 Bueno G. 🇵🇪Bueno G. 🇵🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Darderi L
W
22.07 10:00 UTC ATP. Eshtoril
Darderi L 2:0 Martines PMartines P
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Faria J - Darderi L

Faria J
0 matches total
Darderi L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

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Frequently asked questions

When does Faria J vs Darderi L start?

July 24, 2026.