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Merida Aguilar D — Jacquet K

Tennis 21.07.2026 13:42 UTC
Favourite Jacquet K best odds 3.25

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP. Eshtoril
ATP. Eshtoril International
1st round 21.07.2026 13:42 UTC Match prediction
21.07.2026 13:42 UTC 1st round
Finished

ATP. Eshtoril

Merida Aguilar D vs Jacquet K — Tennis prediction

International Tennis
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D
1 : 2
6:1 1:6 5:7
Finished
Jacquet K
Jacquet K

Merida Aguilar D meet Jacquet K on July 21, 2026 in the ATP. Eshtoril, International.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Jacquet K

Model confidence 85% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Merida Aguilar D (odds1.44) Score 2:1 confidence 64% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Merida-Agilar D: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Zhake K: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Merida-Agilar D: probability 64% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Merida Aguilar D - Jacquet K July 21, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jacquet K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.40 / 2 1.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8% 5 books · best price +347.6%
1 68.0%
2 32.0%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Betfair, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Merida Aguilar D
8-2WWWLWWWWLW
sets for 1.7sets against 0.8
Jacquet K
5-5LWLWLWWLLW
sets for 1.3sets against 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Klube de Tenis du Eshtoril. Kaskaish
Start 21.07.2026 13:42 UTC
Market 1 14.7% @ 6.40 / 2 85.3% @ 1.10
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Merida Aguilar D - Jacquet K

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Daniel Merida-Agilar - Kiriyan Zhake, 21 iyulya 2026. Eshtoril. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Daniel Merida-Agilar - Kiriyan Zhake, kto pobedil.

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 66.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.887 / LogLoss 1.097
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 52.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.541 / LogLoss 0.734
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 5.90 17.0%
— 3.30 30.3%
— 2.30 43.5%
1.85 54.1% 3.00 33.3%
— 2.45 40.8%
— 2.15 46.5%
— 1.25 80.0%
1.89 52.9% —
— 1.08 92.6%
— 1.30 76.9%
— 1.58 63.3%
— 1.35 74.1%
— 1.48 67.6%
— 1.82 55.0%
— 1.50 66.7%
— 1.40 71.4%
— 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 15.5 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 16.5 — 2.05 48.8%
Over 17.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 18.5 — 2.30 43.5%
Over 19.5 — 1.78 56.2%
Over 20.5 — 2.07 48.3%
Over 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 — 1.19 84.0%
Over 23.5 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 24.5 — 1.32 75.8%
Over 25.5 — 3.05 32.8%
Over 26.5 — 3.45 29.0%
Under 15.5 — 2.90 34.5%
Under 16.5 — 1.78 56.2%
Under 17.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Under 18.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Under 21.5 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betfair Fonbet Leon
1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 6.40 15.6% 1.39 71.9%
2.70 37.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 1.10 90.9% 2.95 33.9%

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Merida Aguilar D vs Jacquet K?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Jacquet K. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Merida Aguilar D vs Jacquet K?

Live odds for Merida Aguilar D vs Jacquet K from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Merida Aguilar D vs Jacquet K start?

July 21, 2026.