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ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard
ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard International
1 round 28.07.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction

Hernandez Alex - Tomic B

Tennis ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard
ATP. Los Cabos. Qualification. Hard 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 01:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 01:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Hernandez Alex
Hernandez Alex Mexico Seed 498
Tomic B
Tomic B Australia Seed 171
W
0:2 1:6 0:6
1 2 GP
Hernandez Alex 1 0 0
Tomic B 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 16.00 8.7% BetBoom
P2 1.53 91.3% BetBoom
Stadium: Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Mexico Country Australia
- Rating -
27 Age 33
175 Height (cm) 196
70 Weight (kg) 91
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
498 Seed 171
hard Coverage hard
L 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Hernandez Alex
0% 0 / 0
0% 0 / 0
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
no data
Tomic B
0% 0 / 1
0% 0 / 1
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
0 iz 1

Head-to-head history

Taymlayn Bernard Tomich 0:1 Bernard Tomich 0:2 Bernard Tomich 0:3 Bernard Tomich 0:4 Bernard Tomich 0:5 Aleks Ernandes 1:5 Bernard Tomich 1:6 Bernard Tomich 0:1 Bernard Tomich 0:2 Bernard Tomich 0:3 Bernard Tomich 0:4 Bernard Tomich 0:5 Bernard Tomich 0:6
Statistika 1 Eysy 13 3 Dvoynye oshibki 2 49 Rozygryshi 34 69%
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tomic B — 62%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tomic B): model 60% · market 71% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hernandez Alex38.2%
market29%
2 · Tomic B ✓ Pick61.8%
market71%

Model estimate: win Hernandez Alex 38.2%, win Tomic B 61.8%. Model favourite — Tomic B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tomic B (odds1.47) Score 1:2 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Ernandes Aleks: forma P (0-1)
  • • Tomich B: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.35→1.45 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Tomich B: probability 64% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hernandez Alex - Tomic B July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tomic B.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tomic B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Hernandez Alex 38.2% / Tomic B 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 39.0%
1 28.8%
2 ✓ Pick 71.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.15 ↑ 16.00
Winner 2 1.35 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated28.07.2026 01:57 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0:1
Claude updated28.07.2026 02:10 UTC
1 41%
2 59% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Handicap Ernandesa +4.5 games
Qwen updated28.07.2026 02:05 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 02:25 UTC
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data Form:3-2 / 5-0 H2H: 0-2

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 38% 62% 0:2 Over 21.5
Claude 41% 59% 0:2 Under 22.5 Handicap Ernandesa +4.5 games
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 35% 65% 0:2 Over 22.5
Match center
Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium
Start 28.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 4
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Tomic B 48%
📐 Math model Tomic B 62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hernandez Alex - Tomic B

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Aleks Ernandes - Bernard Tomich, 28 iyulya 2026. Los-Kabos. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Aleks Ernandes - Bernard Tomich, kto pobedil.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Hernandez Alex Tomic B Result
Set 0 1 6 1:6
Set 1 0 6 0:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 61.8% fact: away hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.292 / LogLoss 0.481
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.4% fact: away hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.665
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hernandez Alex 38.0% 38.2%
Tomic B 62.0% 61.8% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.2% / 61.8% probabilities
Rating 1,418 / 1,867 Hernandez Alex / Tomic B
RD 292 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 835-2,001 / 1,496-2,238 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 61.8%
1 2.49 market consensus · no value · model 38.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 13.5 6.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
2.65 37.7%
2.95 33.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.08 92.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
2.18 45.9%
1.95 51.3%
1.60 62.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.42 70.4%
1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 13.5 6.30 15.9%
Over 14.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 15.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 16.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 17.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 18.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 20.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 25.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 26.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 13.5 1.08 92.6%
Under 14.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 15.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 16.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 16.00 6.3% 2.48 40.3%
1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.01 99.0% 1.52 65.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Hernandez AlexLWWLLWL
Tomic BWLWLWLWLWL
H2H 0-0-1
2026-07-28 · Khuan Alekhandro Ernandes Serrano 0:2 Bernard Tomich
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.55 (Pari) · 2 1.62 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.55 1.5
Winline 2.53 1.48
Fonbet 2.55 1.5
Betcity 2.3 1.62
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Eysy 13
3 Dvoynye oshibki 2
0 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
0 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5
27 Vyigrannye Points 56
21 Points na podache 28
28 Poteryannye Points na podache 6
34 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 27
12 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 5
18 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 24
3 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 4
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 9
3 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 7
1 Geymy na podache 7
1 Vyigrannye geymy 12
1 Maks. geymov podryad 7
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Hernandez Alex
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Hernandez Alex K. Koulman Von (Hong Kong) 2 6 SE D. Darvin Blansh Darvin Blansh 🇺🇸 0 3 4 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Tomic B
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
5 K. Kemeron Norri (Velikobritaniya) 2 6 — A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 0 4 1-y krug Tomic B
28.07.2026 Championat
Q A. Aleks Ernandes (Mexico) 0 1 0 LL B. Bernard Tomich Tomic B
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHernandez Alex - Tomic B

Hernandez Alex
0 matches total
Tomic B
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Taymlayn Bernard Tomich 0:1 Bernard Tomich 0:2 Bernard Tomich 0:3 Bernard Tomich 0:4 Bernard Tomich 0:5 Aleks Ernandes 1:5 Bernard Tomich 1:6 Bernard Tomich 0:1 Bernard Tomich 0:2 Bernard Tomich 0:3 Bernard Tomich 0:4 Bernard Tomich 0:5 Bernard Tomich 0:6
Event
Statistika 1 Eysy 13 3 Dvoynye oshibki 2 49 Rozygryshi 34 69%