PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
1 round 04.08.2026 18:55 UTC Match prediction

Cerundolo J M - Medjedovic H

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 18:55 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 18:55 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Cerundolo J M
Cerundolo J M Argentina Seed 52
L L W W W
Medjedovic H
Medjedovic H Serbia Seed 73
L L W L W
2:0 6:4 6:2
1 2 GP
Cerundolo J M 6 6 2
Medjedovic H 4 2 0
1 2
Odds
P1 2.65 37.2% BetBoom
P2 1.57 62.8% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Argentina Country Serbia
- Rating -
24 Age 23
183 Height (cm) 188
75 Weight (kg) 86
Levsha Hand Pravsha
52 Seed 73
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Cerundolo J M
43% 13 / 30
43% 13 / 30
Sintetika
no data
clay
10 iz 21
grass
2 iz 4
hard
1 iz 5
Medjedovic H
48% 16 / 33
48% 16 / 33
Sintetika
no data
clay
7 iz 11
grass
1 iz 3
hard
8 iz 19

Head-to-head history

2025
ATP. Monreal
  Cerundolo J M 0
  Medjedovic H 0

Cerundolo J M meet Medjedovic H on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cerundolo J M 3-0-2, Medjedovic H 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Medjedovic H — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Medjedovic H): model 53% · market 60% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cerundolo J M38.9%
market40%
2 · Medjedovic H ✓ Pick61.1%
market60%

Model estimate: win Cerundolo J M 38.9%, win Medjedovic H 61.1%. Model favourite — Medjedovic H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Medjedovic H (odds1.48) Score 1:2 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Serundolo Kh-M: forma PVPP (1-3)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.50→1.45 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Medzhedovich Kh: probability 62% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerundolo J M - Medjedovic H August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cerundolo J M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cerundolo J M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Cerundolo J M 38.9% / Medjedovic H 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 3 books · best price +728.0%
1 39.9%
2 ✓ Pick 60.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.65 → 2.65
Winner 2 1.50 → 1.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort
Start 04.08.2026 18:55 UTC
Market 1 92.7% @ 1.02 / 2 7.3% @ 13.00
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Cerundolo J M - Medjedovic H

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Khuan-Manuel Serundolo - Khamad Medzhedovich, 04 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Khuan-Manuel Serundolo - Khamad Medzhedovich, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Cerundolo J M Medjedovic H Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 2 6:2
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 61.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.747 / LogLoss 0.945
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.527 / LogLoss 0.720
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cerundolo J M 38.0% 38.9%
Medjedovic H 62.0% 61.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.9% / 61.1% probabilities
Rating 1,294 / 1,500 Cerundolo J M / Medjedovic H
RD 217 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 859-1,728 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 61.1%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 38.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
2.03 49.3% —
— 2.45 40.8%
— 2.70 37.0%
— 1.30 76.9%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 1.62 61.7%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 2.25 44.4%
— 2.30 43.5%
— 1.48 67.6%
— 1.40 71.4%
1.77 56.5% 3.15 31.8%
— 2.40 41.7%
— 8.50 11.8%
— 14.00 7.1%
— 1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 — 16.00 6.3%
Over 19.5 — 8.50 11.8%
Over 20.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 — 1.63 61.4%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% 2.15 46.5%
Over 23.5 — 2.07 48.3%
Over 24.5 — 2.05 48.8%
Over 25.5 — 2.40 41.7%
Over 26.5 — 2.70 37.0%
Over 27.5 — 2.95 33.9%
Under 17.5 — 3.25 30.8%
Under 18.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Under 19.5 — 1.03 97.1%
Under 20.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 21.5 — 2.13 47.0%
Under 22.5 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
2.60 38.5% 1.02 98.0% 2.37 42.2%
1.49 67.1% 13.00 7.7% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Cerundolo J M
L L W W W
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M 0:2 Trungelliti M
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M Collignon R 2:1 Cerundolo J M
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M 2:1 Kecmanovic M
2026-07-14 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M 2:1 Kolar Z
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Medjedovic H
L L W L W
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Medjedovic H 2:3 Ofner S Medjedovic H
2026-06-18 2026 London, Great Britain
Medjedovic H 1:2 Humbert U Medjedovic H
2026-06-16 2026 London, Great Britain
Rinderknech A 0:2 Medjedovic H Medjedovic H
2026-05-27 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C 3:0 Medjedovic H Medjedovic H
2026-05-24 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Medjedovic H 3:1 Hanfmann Y Medjedovic H
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCerundolo J M - Medjedovic H

Cerundolo J M
0 matches total
Medjedovic H
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Rolan Garros (m) clay 2-y krug Q Kh. Khuan-Manuel Serundolo Khuan-Manuel Serundolo (Argentina) 0 3 4 5 Kh. Khamad Medzhedovich Khamad Medzhedovich (Serbia) 3 6 7 CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'tennis_1543904'