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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
01.08.2026 18:50 UTC Match prediction

Faria J - O'Connell C

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal hard 01.08.2026 18:50 UTC Finished
01.08.2026 18:50 UTC Finished
Faria J
Faria J
L W W L W
O'Connell C
O'Connell C
L L W W W
1:2 7:6 2:6 4:6
1 2 3 GP
Faria J 7 2 4 1
O'Connell C 6 6 6 2
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.53 63.4% BetBoom
P2 2.65 36.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Faria J take on O'Connell C on August 1, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Faria J 3-0-2, O'Connell C 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Faria J — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Faria J): model 57% · market 12% Δ +45 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Faria J ✓ Pick61.0%
market12%
2 · O'Connell C39.0%
market88%

Model estimate: win Faria J 61.0%, win O'Connell C 39.0%. Model favourite — Faria J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Faria J (odds1.49) Score 2:1 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Fariya Zh: forma PVVP (2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.53→1.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Fariya Zh: probability 63% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Faria J - O'Connell C August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like O'Connell C.

Line favourite Fonbet: O'Connell C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.50 / 2 1.06
  • Glicko: Faria J 61.0% / O'Connell C 39.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 ✓ Pick 12.4%
2 87.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.53 ↓ 1.48
Winner 2 2.50 ↑ 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:50 UTC
Market 1 12.4% @ 7.50 / 2 87.6% @ 1.06
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Faria J - O'Connell C

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Faria J O'Connell C Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 61.0% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.745 / LogLoss 0.943
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.527 / LogLoss 0.720
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Faria J 61.5% 61.0% market and model agree
O'Connell C 38.5% 39.0%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 61.0% / 39.0% probabilities
Rating 1,657 / 1,500 Faria J / O'Konnell K
RD 187 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,283-2,031 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 39.0%
1 7.50 Fonbet · weak value +357.8% · model 61.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 2.08 48.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.05 95.2%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.12 89.3%
— — 4.30 23.3%
— — 3.25 30.8%
— — 1.62 61.7%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 21.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.65 60.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 25.5 — — 1.68 59.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 27.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Over 29.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 30.5 — — 1.16 86.2%
Under 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 23.5 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 7.50 13.3% 1.52 65.8%
2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 1.06 94.3% 2.36 42.4%
Match center
Faria J
L W W L W
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Faria J Faria J 1:2 Darderi L
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Faria J Faria J 2:0 Bueno G
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Faria J Van de Zandschulp B 0:2 Faria J
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Faria J Faria J 1:2 Ruud C
2026-07-14 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Faria J Faria J 2:1 Wawrinka S
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
O'Connell C
L L W W W
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
O'Connell C 1:2 Martin Andres O'Connell C
2026-06-25 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 3rd Round
McDonald M 3:0 O'Connell C O'Connell C
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Tomic B 0:2 O'Connell C O'Connell C
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Schwaerzler J 0:2 O'Connell C O'Connell C
2026-06-20 2026 Nottingham 2, Great Britain
Virtanen O 0:2 O'Connell C O'Connell C
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFaria J - O'Connell C

Faria J
0 matches total
O'Connell C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history