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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
01.08.2026 16:59 UTC Match prediction

Fearnley J - Ofner S

Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal hard 01.08.2026 16:59 UTC Finished
01.08.2026 16:59 UTC Finished
Fearnley J
Fearnley J
L W W W W
Ofner S
Ofner S
L L L W L
2:0 7:6 6:2
1 2 GP
Fearnley J 7 6 2
Ofner S 6 2 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.53 63.8% BetBoom
P2 2.70 36.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Fearnley J face Ofner S on August 1, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fearnley J 4-0-1, Ofner S 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Fearnley J — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Fearnley J): model 64% · market 93% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Fearnley J ✓ Pick62.9%
market93%
2 · Ofner S37.1%
market7%

Model estimate: win Fearnley J 62.9%, win Ofner S 37.1%. Model favourite — Fearnley J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fearnley J (odds1.50) Score 2:1 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Fernli Dzh: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Ofner S: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs Fernli Dzh: probability 63% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fearnley J - Ofner S August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fearnley J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fearnley J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Fearnley J 62.9% / Ofner S 37.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 ↓ 1.47
Winner 2 2.55 ↑ 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 16:59 UTC
Market 1 93.3% @ 1.01 / 2 6.7% @ 14.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Fearnley J - Ofner S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Fearnley J Ofner S Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 6 2 6:2
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Fearnley J 62.8% 62.9% market and model agree
Ofner S 37.2% 37.1%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.9% / 37.1% probabilities
Rating 1,925 / 1,512 Fearnley J / Ofner S
RD 197 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,530-2,320 / 1,059-1,966 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · no value · model 37.1%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 62.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.87 53.5%
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
1.95 51.3%
1.57 63.7%
1.30 76.9%
1.04 96.2%
2.20 45.5%
2.80 35.7%
1.83 54.6%
2.90 34.5%
3.25 30.8%
1.75 57.1%
2.25 44.4%
3.15 31.8%
8.00 12.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.38 72.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 21.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 23.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 24.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 25.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 26.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 27.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 19.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 20.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 21.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 22.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 23.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 24.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 25.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 26.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 27.5 1.35 74.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.53 65.4%
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 14.00 7.1% 2.34 42.7%
Match center
Fearnley J
L W W W W
2026-07-26 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Michelsen A 2:0 Fearnley J
2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:0 Zheng Michael
2026-07-24 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:1 Wolf J J
2026-07-23 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:0 Boyer T
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J Fearnley J 2:0 Bertola R
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Ofner S
L L L W L
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Molcan A 2:0 Ofner S Ofner S
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Ofner S 0:2 Tirante T A Ofner S
2026-07-08 2026 Braunschweig, Germany
Rincon D 2:1 Ofner S Ofner S
2026-07-07 2026 Braunschweig, Germany
Gombos N 0:2 Ofner S Ofner S
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Hurkacz H 3:0 Ofner S Ofner S
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFearnley J - Ofner S

Fearnley J
0 matches total
Ofner S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history