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ATP. Monreal International

1 round 04.08.2026 02:16 UTC Match prediction

Majchrzak K - Monfils G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 02:16 UTC Finished

04.08.2026 02:16 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Majchrzak K Poland Seed 72

L W L W L

Monfils G France Seed 326

L L L W L

0:2 4:6 4:6

1 2 GP

Majchrzak K 4 4 0

Monfils G 6 6 2

1 2

Odds

P1 1.30 74.5% BetBoom

P2 3.80 25.5% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Poland Country France

- Rating -

30 Age 39

183 Height (cm) 193

80 Weight (kg) 80

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

72 Seed 326

hard Coverage hard

C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Majchrzak K

54% 21 / 39

54% 21 / 39

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 4

grass

6 iz 8

hard

14 iz 27

Monfils G

31% 4 / 13

31% 4 / 13

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 4

grass

no data

hard

3 iz 9

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Majchrzak K take on Monfils G on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Majchrzak K 2-0-3, Monfils G 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 71% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Majchrzak K — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Majchrzak K): model 50% · market 73% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Majchrzak K ✓ Pick70.9%

market73%

2 · Monfils G29.1%

market27%

Model estimate: win Majchrzak K 70.9%, win Monfils G 29.1%. Model favourite — Majchrzak K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Majchrzak K (odds1.23) Score 2:0 confidence 75% ✗ outcome missed

• Maykhshak K: forma PV (1)
• liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.22 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Maykhshak K: probability 75% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Majchrzak K - Monfils G August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monfils G.

Line favourite Fonbet: Monfils G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.50 / 2 1.07
Glicko: Majchrzak K 70.9% / Monfils G 29.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 4 books · best price +476.9%

1 ✓ Pick 72.8%

2 27.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.40 ↓ 1.30

Winner 2 3.00 ↑ 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort

Start 04.08.2026 02:16 UTC

Market 1 12.5% @ 7.50 / 2 87.5% @ 1.07

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Majchrzak K - Monfils G

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Kamil Maykhshak - Gael Monfis, 04 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Kamil Maykhshak - Gael Monfis, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Majchrzak K Monfils G Result

Set 0 4 6 4:6

Set 1 4 6 4:6

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 70.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.007 / LogLoss 1.236

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.552 / LogLoss 0.745

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Majchrzak K 73.3% 70.9% market and model agree

Monfils G 26.7% 29.1%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 70.9% / 29.1% probabilities

Rating 1,398 / 1,500 Majchrzak K / Monfis G

RD 252 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 894-1,903 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 29.1%

1 7.50 Fonbet · weak value +432.1% · model 70.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.97 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 18.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Over 19.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	—
2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	—
—	—	1.60 62.5%
—	—	1.06 94.3%
—	—	1.07 93.5%
2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	—
1.74 57.5%	1.77 56.5%	—
—	—	1.97 50.8%
—	—	1.77 56.5%
—	—	2.45 40.8%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.45 69.0%
—	—	1.50 66.7%
—	—	1.20 83.3%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 18.5	—	—	3.80 26.3%
Over 19.5	—	—	1.15 87.0%
Over 20.5	—	—	3.20 31.3%
Over 21.5	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5	1.97 50.8%	1.98 50.5%	3.70 27.0%
Over 23.5	—	—	5.10 19.6%
Over 24.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.67 59.9%
Over 26.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 27.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 22.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.30 76.9%	1.27 78.7%	7.50 13.3%	1.30 76.9%
	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%	1.07 93.5%	3.45 29.0%

Match center

Majchrzak K

L W L W L

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

Majchrzak K Fritz T 2:0 Majchrzak K

2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA

Majchrzak K Majchrzak K 2:0 Paul T

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Majchrzak K Svajda Z 3:2 Majchrzak K

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Majchrzak K Majchrzak K 3:0 Tabilo A

2026-06-16 2026 London, Great Britain

Majchrzak K Majchrzak K 0:2 Lehecka J

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.4 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Monfils G

L L L W L

2026-05-25 2026 French Open, Paris, France

Gaston H 3:2 Monfils G Monfils G

2026-04-23 2026 Madrid, Spain

Ugo Carabelli C 2:0 Monfils G Monfils G

2026-04-07 2026 Monte Carlo, Monaco

Monfils G 0:2 Bublik A Monfils G

2026-04-05 2026 Monte Carlo, Monaco

Monfils G 2:1 Griekspoor T Monfils G

2026-03-06 2026 Indian Wells, USA

Monfils G 1:2 Auger-Aliassime F Monfils G

1 Wins

4 Losses

1.0 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMajchrzak K - Monfils G

Majchrzak K

0 matches total

Monfils G

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

Monreal