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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2 round 05.08.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

Ruud C - Cerundolo J M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2-y krug hard 05.08.2026 17:30 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 17:30 UTC 2-y krug Finished
Ruud C
Ruud C Norway Seed 14
L W L L W W W L
Cerundolo J M
Cerundolo J M Argentina Seed 52
L W W W L W W W
2:0 6:1 6:2
1 2 GP
Ruud C 6 6 2
Cerundolo J M 1 2 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.36 92.2% BetBoom
P2 16.00 7.8% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Norway Country Argentina
#14 Rating #52
27 Age 24
183 Height (cm) 183
81 Weight (kg) 75
Right Hand Left
9 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 2

Serve and return stats

Ruud C Cerundolo J M
Aces per match 4.37 4.45
Double faults per match 1.56 2.42
Breaks per match 1.94 3.64

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Ruud C
64% 35 / 55
64% 35 / 55
Sintetika
no data
clay
17 iz 23
grass
0 iz 1
hard
18 iz 31
Cerundolo J M
45% 14 / 31
45% 14 / 31
Sintetika
no data
clay
10 iz 21
grass
2 iz 4
hard
2 iz 6

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Casper Ruud
Rank:14 Elo: 2345
L W L L W W W L
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Rank:52 Elo: 989
L W W W L W W W
Elo favourite:Ruud C (edge +1356 Elo)

Hard

Casper RuudJuan Manuel Cerundolo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 37.5% 3 / 8 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 55.6% 15 / 27 Matches 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches

Clay

Casper RuudJuan Manuel Cerundolo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.7% 14 / 19 Matches 62.5% 20 / 32 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 70.0% 14 / 20 Matches 62.9% 22 / 35 Matches

Grass

Casper RuudJuan Manuel Cerundolo
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 2 (100.0%)
Sets 2 (33.3%) 4 (66.7%)
Wins this year 63.9% 23 / 36 Matches 62.2% 28 / 45 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.5% 35 / 56 Matches 59.1% 39 / 66 Matches
Current rank 14 52

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Prize money (career) $25,367,114 USD $1,020,966 USD
Rating 14 52
Age 27 24
Height 1.83m 1.83m
Weight 81kg 75kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Match Wins 64 % 62 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 63 % 64 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 75 % 60 %
Wins in Straight Sets 42 % 31 %
Wins From Behind 28 % 29 %
Won At Least 1 Set 75 % 73 %
Set 1 Win 58 % 56 %
Set 2 Win 58 % 47 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st serve percentage 100% 0%
1st serve points won 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
2nd serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved 0/0 0/0
1st return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
2nd return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted 0/0 0/0
Winners 0 0
Unforced errors 0 0
Net points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Service Points Won 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Return Points Won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Total Points Won 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Last 10 balls 1 0
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Total games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

2026
ATP. Monreal
  Ruud C 0
  Cerundolo J M 0
2025
ATP. Monreal
  Ruud C 0
  Cerundolo J M 0

Ruud C take on Cerundolo J M on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ruud C 2-0-3, Cerundolo J M 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 69% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ruud C — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ruud C): model 54% · market 71% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ruud C ✓ Pick68.6%
market71%
2 · Cerundolo J M31.4%
market29%

Model estimate: win Ruud C 68.6%, win Cerundolo J M 31.4%. Model favourite — Ruud C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ruud C (odds1.33) Score 2:1 confidence 70% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Ruud K: forma PV (1)
  • • Serundolo Kh-M: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Ruud K: probability 70% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruud C - Cerundolo J M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ruud C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ruud C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 3.30
  • Glicko: Ruud C 68.6% / Cerundolo J M 31.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 4 books · best price +1.5%
1 ✓ Pick 70.7%
2 29.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.33 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 3.30 ↑ 16.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 17:50 UTC
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0-1
Claude updated05.08.2026 17:53 UTC
1 74% ✓ favourite
2 26%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games (oporno — 1 with handicap -1.5 games)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 70% 30% 2:0 Under 22.5
Claude 74% 26% 2:0 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games (oporno — 1 with handicap -1.5 games)
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers
Start 05.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 76.6% @ 1.01 / 2 23.4% @ 3.30
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Ruud C 72%
📐 Math model Ruud C 69%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ruud C - Cerundolo J M

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Kasper Ruud - Khuan-Manuel Serundolo, 05 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Kasper Ruud - Khuan-Manuel Serundolo, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Ruud C Cerundolo J M Result
Set 1 6 1 6:1
Set 2 6 2 6:2
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ruud C 70.2% 65.7% market and model agree
Cerundolo J M 29.8% 34.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko68.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.57).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 68.6% / 31.4% probabilities
Rating 1,476 / 1,419 Ruud C / Cerundolo J M
RD 257 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 962-1,990 / 1,014-1,825 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.22 market consensus · no value · model 31.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 68.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 14.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.45 69.0%
1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0% —
— — 3.25 30.8%
— — 3.65 27.4%
2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% —
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 2.60 38.5%
— — 2.55 39.2%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 6.20 16.1%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 15.00 6.7%
— — 1.19 84.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.04 96.2%
8.50 11.8%
14.00 7.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 14.5 — — 1.19 84.0%
Over 15.5 — — 16.00 6.3%
Over 16.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 17.5 — — 4.60 21.7%
Over 18.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 19.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 21.5 1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% 2.20 45.5%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% —
Under 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 2.5 1.04 96.2%

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.61 9.71 9.66
Over 6.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 7.5 78 % 87 % 83 %
Over 8.5 78 % 69 % 74 %
Over 9.5 52 % 51 % 52 %
Over 10.5 26 % 23 % 25 %
Over 11.5 26 % 23 % 25 %

Aces

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match total
Aces Per Match 4.37 4.45 8.82
Most Aces in a match 56 % 50 % N/A
1+ 96 % 90 % 98 %
2+ 85 % 83 % 98 %
3+ 70 % 68 % 91 %
4+ 37 % 55 % 75 %
5+ 30 % 40 % 69 %

Breaks

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.94 3.64 5.58
Over 0.5 96 % 73 % 100 %
Over 1.5 0 % 73 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 68 % 68 %
Over 3.5 0 % 65 % 68 %
Over 4.5 0 % 53 % 67 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 32 %

Tie-breaks

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.41 0.33 0.37
Over 0.5 30 % 31 % 30 %
Over 1.5 7 % 3 % 5 %
Under 0.5 70 % 69 % 30 %
Under 1.5 93 % 97 % 5 %

Double faults

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.56 2.42 3.98
Over 0.5 (1+) 78 % 90 % 96 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 52 % 60 % 92 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 22 % 40 % 74 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 4 % 28 % 63 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % 8 % 38 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 5 % 31 %

Net points

Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.7 9.69 17.39
Over 4.5 (5+) 80 % 71 % 76 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 68 % 68 % 68 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 52 % 48 % 50 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 32 % 45 % 39 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 32 % 39 % 36 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 24 % 32 % 28 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2
2026-07-17 · Kasper Ruud 1:2 Khuan Manuel Cherundolo
2025-07-18 · Kasper Ruud 1:2 Khuan Manuel Cherundolo
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.35 (Pari) · 2 3.3 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.35 3.25
Winline 1.33 3.3
Fonbet 1.35 3.25
Betcity 1.35 3.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ruud C
L W L L W
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Ruud C Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Ruud C Faria J 1:2 Ruud C
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Ruud C Ruud C 0:3 Hurkacz H
2026-05-31 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C Ruud C 1:3 Fonseca J
2026-05-29 2026 French Open, Paris, France
Ruud C Ruud C 3:2 Paul T
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
2.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Cerundolo J M
W L L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Cerundolo J M 2:0 Medjedovic H Cerundolo J M
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Cerundolo J M 0:2 Trungelliti M Cerundolo J M
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R 2:1 Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C Cerundolo J M
2026-07-16 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Kecmanovic M Cerundolo J M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRuud C - Cerundolo J M

Ruud C
1 matches total
Cerundolo J M
Ruud C: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cerundolo J M: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cerundolo J M 2:1 (2026-07-17) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 2026-07-17) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Cerundolo J M 2:1 Ruud C