Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

ATP. Monreal International

01.08.2026 14:35 UTC Match prediction

Zheng Michael - Nishikori K

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal hard 01.08.2026 14:35 UTC Finished

01.08.2026 14:35 UTC Finished

Zheng Michael

L W L W W

Nishikori K

L W L W L

2:0 6:3 6:1

1 2 GP

Zheng Michael 6 6 2

Nishikori K 3 1 0

1 2

Odds

P1 1.57 65.7% BetBoom

P2 3.00 34.4% BetBoom

Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Zheng Michael meet Nishikori K on August 1, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zheng Michael 3-0-2, Nishikori K 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zheng Michael — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zheng Michael): model 60% · market 92% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zheng Michael ✓ Pick63.2%

market92%

2 · Nishikori K36.8%

market8%

Model estimate: win Zheng Michael 63.2%, win Nishikori K 36.8%. Model favourite — Zheng Michael.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zheng Michael (odds1.56) Score 2:1 confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct

• Chzhen Maykl: forma PVPVV (3-2)
• Nishikori K: forma PV (1)
• Model backs Chzhen Maykl: probability 60% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zheng Michael - Nishikori K August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zheng Michael.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zheng Michael. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 11.00
Glicko: Zheng Michael 63.2% / Nishikori K 36.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 ✓ Pick 91.5%

2 8.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.57 ↓ 1.40

Winner 2 2.40 ↑ 3.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 01.08.2026 14:35 UTC

Market 1 91.5% @ 1.02 / 2 8.5% @ 11.00

Coverage hard

Form 5 matches

Match center

Zheng Michael - Nishikori K

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Zheng Michael Nishikori K Result

Set 1 6 3 6:3

Set 2 6 1 6:1

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Zheng Michael 63.6% 63.2% market and model agree

Nishikori K 36.4% 36.8%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 63.2% / 36.8% probabilities

Rating 1,731 / 1,500 Zheng Michael / Nishikori K

RD 177 / 248 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,377-2,085 / 1,004-1,995 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.52 market consensus · no value · model 36.8%

1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 63.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 15.5 3.90 Fonbet · line only

Over 17.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.77 56.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.47 68.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.03 97.1%
	3.15 31.8%
	3.45 29.0%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.80 55.6%
	2.02 49.5%
	2.50 40.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.20 45.5%
	9.00 11.1%
	11.00 9.1%
	3.90 25.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 15.5	3.90 25.6%
Over 16.5	11.00 9.1%
Over 17.5	8.50 11.8%
Over 18.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 19.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 20.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 25.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 26.5	3.00 33.3%
Under 15.5	1.20 83.3%
Under 16.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 17.5	1.03 97.1%
Under 18.5	1.65 60.6%
Under 19.5	1.43 69.9%
Under 20.5	1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.54 64.9%	1.57 63.7%	1.02 98.0%	1.39 71.9%
	2.35 42.6%	2.40 41.7%	11.00 9.1%	2.80 35.7%

Match center

Zheng Michael

L W L W W

2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Zheng Michael Gea A 2:1 Zheng Michael

2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico

Zheng Michael Zheng Michael 2:0 Landaluce M

2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA

Zheng Michael Fearnley J 2:0 Zheng Michael

2026-07-24 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA

Zheng Michael Zheng Michael 2:1 Walton A

2026-07-22 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA

Zheng Michael Zheng Michael 2:0 Magadan A

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Nishikori K

L W L W L

2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA

Jodar R 2:0 Nishikori K Nishikori K

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Nishikori K 2:1 Shang Juncheng Nishikori K

2026-04-22 2026 Savannah, USA

Kennedy J 2:1 Nishikori K Nishikori K

2026-04-21 2026 Savannah, USA

Nishikori K 2:0 Smith Colton Nishikori K

2026-04-09 2026 Sarasota, USA

Wu Yibing 2:1 Nishikori K Nishikori K

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.4 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyZheng Michael - Nishikori K

Zheng Michael

0 matches total

Nishikori K

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Zheng Michael - Nishikori K

About the athletes

AI match prediction Zheng Michael - Nishikori K August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Zheng Michael - Nishikori K

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history