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ATP. Monreal. Pary International

1st round 06.08.2026 16:40 UTC Match prediction

Miedler L / Polmans M - Goransson A / Ruud C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP. Monreal. Pary

ATP. Monreal. Pary 1st round hard 06.08.2026 16:40 UTC Finished

06.08.2026 16:40 UTC 1st round Finished

Miedler L / Polmans M Austria

L W W W W

Goransson A / Ruud C Australia

1:2 7:6 3:6 0:1

1 2 3 GP

Miedler L / Polmans M 7 3 0 1

Goransson A / Ruud C 6 6 1 2

1 2 3

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego) — pair

	Miedler L / Polmans M	Goransson A / Ruud C
Win %	88.9%	0%
Hard %	0%	0%
Clay %	100%	0%
Grass %	0%	0%
Deciding set %	100%	0%
Tie-breaks %	33.3%	0%
Titles (total)	2	0
Last 10	LWWWWWWWW	L

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Austria Country Australia

- Rating -

30 / 29 Age 32 /

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

Pravsha Hand Pravsha /

- Seed -

hard Coverage hard

2 H2H 2

Head-to-head history

0 Taymlayn Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 1:0 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 1 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 2:1 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 2 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 3:2 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 3 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 4:3 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 4 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 5:4 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 5 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 6:5 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 6 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 7:6 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 0:1 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 1 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 1:2 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 2 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 2:3 Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 3 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 3:4 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 3:5 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 3:6 Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 0:1

Statistika 3 Eysy 6 8 Dvoynye oshibki 2 72 Rozygryshi 68 58% 42/72 Popadanie pervoy podachi 46/68% 69% 29/42 Vyigrysh pervoy podachi 36/46 78% 50% 15/30 Vyigrysh vtoroy podachi 17/22 77% 61% 44/72 Points, vyigrannye na podache 53/68 78% 22% 15/68 Points, vyigrannye na prieme 28/72 39% 0% 0/1 Realizatsiya breyk-poy

Odds

P1 2.10 59.6% BetBoom

P2 3.10 40.4% BetBoom

Miedler L / Polmans M go head-to-head with Goransson A / Ruud C on August 6, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal. Pary, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 68% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Miedler L / Polmans M — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Miedler L / Polmans M): model 63% · market 68% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Miedler L / Polmans M ✓ Pick67.6%

market68%

2 · Goransson A / Ruud C32.4%

market32%

Model estimate: win Miedler L / Polmans M 67.6%, win Goransson A / Ruud C 32.4%. Model favourite — Miedler L / Polmans M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Miedler L / Polmans M (odds1.36) Score 2:1 confidence 68% ✗ outcome missed

• Midler L / Polmans M: forma VVVVV (5-0)
• liniya na pik P1 1.40→1.37 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Midler L / Polmans M: probability 68% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.36)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Miedler L / Polmans M - Goransson A / Ruud C August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Goransson A / Ruud C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Goransson A / Ruud C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.65
Glicko: Miedler L / Polmans M 67.6% / Goransson A / Ruud C 32.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 6 books · best price +52.2%

1 ✓ Pick 68.1%

2 31.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.40 ↑ 2.10

Winner 2 2.80 ↓ 1.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Miedler L / Polmans M

69%

2.10

Goransson A / Ruud C

31%

3.10

Total

Over 22.5

49%

1.82

Under 22.5

51%

2.25

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 14:19 UTC

1 70% ✓ favourite

2 30%

Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1 at 2:0

Per AI data H2H: 0:0

Claude updated06.08.2026 16:14 UTC

1 71% ✓ favourite

2 29%

Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Under 22.5 games

AI consensus:1

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	70%	30%	2:0	Under 22.5
Claude	71%	29%	2:0	Under 22.5	Under 22.5 games

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort

Start 06.08.2026 16:40 UTC

Market 1 44.0% @ 2.10 / 2 56.0% @ 1.65

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 7 matches

H2H 2

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Miedler L / Polmans M 71%

📐 Math model Miedler L / Polmans M 68%

💹 Market Miedler L / Polmans M 68%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Miedler L / Polmans M - Goransson A / Ruud C

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans - Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud, 06 avgusta 2026. Monreal — Doubles. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans - Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud, kto pobedil.

Form 5/1 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Miedler L / Polmans M Goransson A / Ruud C Result

Set 0 7 6 7:6

Set 1 3 6 3:6

Set 2 0 1 0:1

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 67.6% fact: away missed / Brier 0.915 / LogLoss 1.128

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.1% fact: away missed / Brier 0.543 / LogLoss 0.736

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Miedler L / Polmans M 68.1% 67.6% market and model agree

Goransson A / Ruud C 31.9% 32.4%

1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 67.6% / 32.4% probabilities

Rating 1,964 / 1,500 Miedler L / Polmans M / Goransson A / Ruud K

RD 172 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,621-2,308 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 32.4%

1 2.10 Fonbet · value +42.0% · model 67.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Over 20.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	2.10 47.6%
—	—	1.20 83.3%
1.85 54.1%	—	—
—	1.82 55.0%	—
—	—	1.65 60.6%
—	—	1.32 75.8%
1.89 52.9%	—	2.30 43.5%
—	1.92 52.1%	—
—	—	2.80 35.7%
—	—	3.30 30.3%
—	—	1.09 91.7%
—	—	1.17 85.5%
—	—	1.65 60.6%
—	—	3.95 25.3%
—	—	1.55 64.5%
—	—	1.16 86.2%
—	—	1.40 71.4%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.25 80.0%
	11.50 8.7%
	1.01 99.0%
	3.70 27.0%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 20.5	2.10 47.6%	—	—
Over 21.5	—	—	1.73 57.8%
Over 22.5	—	1.82 55.0%	1.58 63.3%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.60 62.5%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 26.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Over 33.5	—	—	3.10 32.3%
Over 34.5	—	—	4.15 24.1%
Over 35.5	—	—	5.60 17.9%
Over 37.5	—	—	1.30 76.9%
Over 38.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%
Over 39.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Under 20.5	1.68 59.5%	—	—
Under 21.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5	—	1.92 52.1%	2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5	11.50 8.7%

Match center

Miedler L / Polmans M

L W W W W

2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA, Doubles

Miedler L / Polmans M Miedler L / Polmans M 0:2 Andreozzi G / Guinard M

2026-07-25 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Doubles

Miedler L / Polmans M Schnaitter J / Wallner M 0:2 Miedler L / Polmans M

2026-07-24 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Doubles

Miedler L / Polmans M Balaji N. S / Goransson A 1:2 Miedler L / Polmans M

2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Doubles

Miedler L / Polmans M Rojer J-J / Winegar T 1:2 Miedler L / Polmans M

2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Doubles

Miedler L / Polmans M Pavlasek A / Rikl P 0:2 Miedler L / Polmans M

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.6 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Goransson A / Ruud C

06.08.2026 Championat

L. Lukas Midler M. Mark Polmans Lukas Midler / Mark Polmans 1 7 3 0 A. Andre Goransson K. Kasper Ruud Andre Goransson / Kasper Ruud 2 6 1 Goransson A / Ruud C

0 Wins

0 Losses

- Sets won

- Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMiedler L / Polmans M - Goransson A / Ruud C

Miedler L / Polmans M

0 matches total

Goransson A / Ruud C

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event