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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2nd round 05.08.2026 17:10 UTC Match prediction

Buse I - Norrie C

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2nd round hard 05.08.2026 17:10 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 17:10 UTC 2nd round Finished
Buse I
Buse I Peru
Rank #37 Elo 1255
W L W W W L L L
Norrie C
Norrie C Velikobritaniya
Rank #33 Elo 1350
W W L L L L L L
0:2 3:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Buse I 3 3 0
Norrie C 6 6 2
1 2
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

Peru Country Velikobritaniya
#37 Rating #33
22 Age 30
183 Height (cm) 188
78 Weight (kg) 82
Left Hand Right
29 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

Buse I Norrie C
Aces per match 4.39 4.66
Double faults per match 2.71 2.37
Breaks per match 1.5 3.89

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Buse I
53% 17 / 32
53% 17 / 32
Sintetika
no data
clay
14 iz 24
grass
3 iz 6
hard
0 iz 2
Norrie C
53% 27 / 51
53% 27 / 51
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
0 iz 2
hard
22 iz 38

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Cameron Norrie
Rank:37 Elo: 1255
W L W W W L L L
Ignacio Buse
Rank:33 Elo: 1350
W W L L L L L L
Elo favourite:Buse I (edge +95 Elo)

Hard

Cameron NorrieIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 58.8% 10 / 17 Matches 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 20 / 35 Matches 64.3% 9 / 14 Matches

Clay

Cameron NorrieIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 5 / 10 Matches 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 5 / 10 Matches 67.4% 31 / 46 Matches

Grass

Cameron NorrieIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 51.5% 17 / 33 Matches 57.9% 22 / 38 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 52.9% 27 / 51 Matches 64.2% 43 / 67 Matches
Current rank 37 33

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse
Prize money (career) $13,201,162 USD $90,498 USD
Rating 37 33
Age 30 22
Height 1.88m 1.85m
Weight 82kg 78kg
Playing hand Left-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse
Match Wins 52 % 58 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 54 % 60 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 30 % 24 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 24 %
Won At Least 1 Set 73 % 79 %
Set 1 Win 55 % 61 %
Set 2 Win 52 % 42 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st serve percentage 0% 100%
1st serve points won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
2nd serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved 0/0 0/0
1st return points won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
2nd return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted 0/0 0/0
Winners 0 0
Unforced errors 0 0
Net points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Service Points Won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
Return Points Won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Total Points Won 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Last 10 balls 0 1
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Total games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-head history

Taymlayn Kemeron Norri 0:1 Kemeron Norri 0:2 Kemeron Norri 0:3 Ignasio Buse 1:3 Kemeron Norri 1:4 Ignasio Buse 2:4 Kemeron Norri 2:5 Ignasio Buse 3:5 Kemeron Norri 3:6 Kemeron Norri 0:1 Kemeron Norri 0:2 Ignasio Buse 1:2 Ignasio Buse 2 Kemeron Norri 2:3 Kemeron Norri 2:4 Ignasio

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.06 9.79 9.93
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 93 % 91 % 92 %
Over 8.5 79 % 69 % 74 %
Over 9.5 54 % 46 % 50 %
Over 10.5 29 % 29 % 29 %
Over 11.5 29 % 29 % 29 %

Aces

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse Match total
Aces Per Match 4.39 4.66 9.05
Most Aces in a match 21 % 69 % N/A
1+ 100 % 97 % 100 %
2+ 86 % 91 % 97 %
3+ 64 % 69 % 96 %
4+ 50 % 57 % 90 %
5+ 39 % 46 % 85 %

Breaks

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.5 3.89 5.39
Over 0.5 75 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 68 % 94 % 100 %
Over 2.5 64 % 89 % 98 %
Over 3.5 0 % 83 % 49 %
Over 4.5 0 % 37 % 47 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 42 %

Tie-breaks

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.5 0.43 0.46
Over 0.5 46 % 31 % 39 %
Over 1.5 4 % 11 % 8 %
Under 0.5 54 % 69 % 39 %
Under 1.5 96 % 89 % 8 %

Double faults

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.71 2.37 5.08
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 91 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 82 % 60 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 50 % 37 % 88 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 32 % 20 % 67 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 11 % 11 % 52 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 4 % 6 % 35 %

Net points

Cameron Norrie Ignacio Buse Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.17 8.71 15.88
Over 4.5 (5+) 79 % 79 % 79 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 79 % 75 % 77 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 71 % 64 % 68 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 54 % 54 % 54 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 42 % 39 % 41 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 38 % 36 % 37 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 16.00 8.2% BetBoom
P2 1.43 91.8% BetBoom

Buse I face Norrie C on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Buse I 2-0-3, Norrie C 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 33% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Norrie C — 67%

Pure model vs market (2 · Norrie C): model 56% · market 69% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Buse I32.9%
market31%
2 · Norrie C ✓ Pick67.1%
market69%

Model estimate: win Buse I 32.9%, win Norrie C 67.1%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Norrie C (odds1.52) Score 1:2 confidence 56% ✓ outcome correct
  • • 🇬🇧 (tennis)
  • • Buse I: forma PVV (2-1)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.60→1.57 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 56% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buse I - Norrie C August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Norrie C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.05 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Buse I 32.9% / Norrie C 67.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 4 books · best price +3.3%
1 31.4%
2 ✓ Pick 68.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.35 ↑ 16.00
Winner 2 1.60 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Buse I
32%
16.00
Norrie C
68%
1.43
Total
Over 22.5
48%
2.70
Under 22.5
52%
1.86

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Buse I

no data

Norrie C
5-5LLLLWWWLWW
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 17:57 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Total Over 21.5 games
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated05.08.2026 18:00 UTC
1 37%
2 63% ✓ favourite
Score2:0 v polzu Norri Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games (dop.: 1 Buse at 3.05 malym bankom)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 40% 60% 1:2 Over 21.5 Total Over 21.5 games
Claude 37% 63% 2:0 v polzu Norri Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games (dop.: 1 Buse at 3.05 malym bankom)
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Devyatyy kort
Start 05.08.2026 17:10 UTC
Market 1 24.9% @ 3.05 / 2 75.1% @ 1.01
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Norrie C 62%
📐 Math model Norrie C 67%
💹 Market Norrie C 69%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Buse I - Norrie C

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Ignasio Buse - Kemeron Norri, 05 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Ignasio Buse - Kemeron Norri, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Buse I Norrie C Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
Metric Buse I Norrie C SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 0 0 final
Vinnery 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 67.1% fact: away hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.217 / LogLoss 0.399
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.1% fact: away hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.460 / LogLoss 0.653
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Buse I 31.7% 39.1% market and model agree
Norrie C 68.3% 60.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko32.9% · +Elo prior (weight0.34).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 32.9% / 67.1% probabilities
Rating 1,548 / 1,780 Buse I / Norrie C
RD 210 / 116 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,129-1,968 / 1,548-2,011 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 67.1%
1 2.95 market consensus · no value · model 32.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.03 49.3% 2.07 48.3% —
1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% —
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.19 84.0%
— — 1.25 80.0%
— — 1.02 98.0%
— — 1.38 72.5%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.33 75.2%
— — 1.28 78.1%
1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.28 78.1%
1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
12.00 8.3%
13.00 7.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 18.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
Over 19.5 — — 10.50 9.5%
Over 20.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 21.5 — — 6.10 16.4%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.70 37.0%
Over 23.5 — 2.04 49.0% 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 26.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Over 27.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 17.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 23.5 — 1.78 56.2% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-05 · Ignasio Buse 0:2 Kemeron Norri
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.7 (Betcity) · 2 1.52 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.55 1.52
Winline 2.67 1.47
Fonbet 2.55 1.52
Betcity 2.7 1.47
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 3
2 Dvoynye oshibki 4
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 11
1 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
49 Vyigrannye Points 63
32 Points na podache 34
29 Poteryannye Points na podache 17
26 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 35
33 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 12
16 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 25
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 9
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
4 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 6
5 Geymy na podache 8
6 Vyigrannye geymy 12
2 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Buse I
L W W L L
2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Buse I Etcheverry T M 2:0 Buse I
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Buse I Feldbausch K 1:2 Buse I
2026-07-20 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Buse I Kopriva V 1:2 Buse I
2026-07-14 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Buse I Tsitsipas S 2:0 Buse I
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Buse I Brooksby J 3:0 Buse I
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Norrie C
W L W W W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Ugo Carabelli C 0:2 Norrie C Norrie C
2026-08-01 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 1:2 Shapovalov D Norrie C
2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 2:0 Tomic B Norrie C
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 2:0 Duckworth J Norrie C
2026-07-28 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 2:0 Kovacevic A Norrie C
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBuse I - Norrie C

Buse I
0 matches total
Norrie C
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Taymlayn Kemeron Norri 0:1 Kemeron Norri 0:2 Kemeron Norri 0:3 Ignasio Buse 1:3 Kemeron Norri 1:4 Ignasio Buse 2:4 Kemeron Norri 2:5 Ignasio Buse 3:5 Kemeron Norri 3:6 Kemeron Norri 0:1 Kemeron Norri 0:2 Ignasio Buse 1:2 Ignasio Buse 2 Kemeron Norri 2:3 Kemeron Norri 2:4 Ignasio