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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2nd round 05.08.2026 20:15 UTC Match prediction

Collignon R - Popyrin A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2nd round hard 05.08.2026 20:15 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 20:15 UTC 2nd round Finished
Collignon R
Collignon R Belgium
L L W W W
Popyrin A
Popyrin A Australia
W W L L L
0:2 4:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Collignon R 4 3 0
Popyrin A 6 6 2
1 2
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

Belgium Country Australia
- Rating -
24 Age 27
191 Height (cm) 196
86 Weight (kg) 78
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
32 Seed Q
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Collignon R
54% 19 / 35
54% 19 / 35
Sintetika
no data
clay
7 iz 11
grass
2 iz 5
hard
10 iz 19
Popyrin A
31% 11 / 35
31% 11 / 35
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 12
grass
0 iz 3
hard
5 iz 20

Head-to-head history

2026
ATP. Monreal
  A. Aleksey Popyrin 0 4
  R. Rafael Kollinon 1 6
Odds
P1 2.65 48.0% BetBoom
P2 2.45 52.0% BetBoom

Collignon R take on Popyrin A on August 5, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Collignon R 3-0-2, Popyrin A 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Collignon R — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Collignon R): model 57% · market 60% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Collignon R ✓ Pick59.9%
market60%
2 · Popyrin A40.1%
market40%

Model estimate: win Collignon R 59.9%, win Popyrin A 40.1%. Model favourite — Collignon R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Collignon R (odds1.51) Score 2:1 confidence 62% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kollinon R: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Kollinon R: probability 62% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Collignon R - Popyrin A August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Popyrin A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Popyrin A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.45
  • Glicko: Collignon R 59.9% / Popyrin A 40.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8% 4 books · best price +68.8%
1 ✓ Pick 60.2%
2 39.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 ↑ 2.65
Winner 2 2.60 ↓ 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Collignon R
61%
2.65
Popyrin A
39%
2.45
Total
Over 22.5
53%
1.80
Under 22.5
47%
2.02

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 19:42 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Win Rafael Kollinon
Per AI data H2H: 1:0
Claude updated05.08.2026 19:45 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5 games

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Under 22.5 Win Rafael Kollinon
Claude 58% 42% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5 games
Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort
Start 05.08.2026 20:15 UTC
Market 1 35.4% @ 2.65 / 2 64.6% @ 1.45
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Collignon R 62%
📐 Math model Collignon R 60%
💹 Market Collignon R 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Collignon R - Popyrin A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Rafael Kollinon - Aleksey Popyrin. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Collignon R Popyrin A Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 3 6 3:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 59.9% fact: away missed / Brier 0.717 / LogLoss 0.913
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 51.2% fact: away missed / Brier 0.524 / LogLoss 0.717
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Collignon R 60.2% 59.9% market and model agree
Popyrin A 39.8% 40.1%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.9% / 40.1% probabilities
Rating 1,662 / 1,500 Collignon R / Popyrin A
RD 245 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,172-2,152 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
1 2.65 Fonbet · weak value +58.7% · model 59.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.65 60.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 3.20 31.3%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.73 57.8%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.30 76.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.78 56.2%
9.00 11.1%
1.04 96.2%
1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 21.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Over 25.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 27.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Under 20.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
Under 21.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 22.5 1.99 50.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5%
Under 23.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 24.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Under 25.5 — — 1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-08-05 · Rafael Kollinon 0:2 Aleksey Popyrin
2026-06-16 · Rafael Kollinon 2:0 Aleksey Popyrin
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.53 (Winline) · 2 2.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.5 2.6
Winline 1.53 2.5
Fonbet 1.5 2.6
Betcity 1.52 2.55
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

7 Eysy 10
2 Dvoynye oshibki 3
0 Vsego breyk-poyntov 9
0 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
50 Vyigrannye Points 64
39 Points na podache 38
26 Poteryannye Points na podache 11
38 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 32
25 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 14
23 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 11
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
4 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 6
7 Geymy na podache 9
7 Vyigrannye geymy 12
1 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Collignon R
L L W W W
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Collignon R Altmaier D 2:0 Collignon R
2026-07-19 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R Tsitsipas S 2:1 Collignon R
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R Collignon R 2:1 Cerundolo J M
2026-07-17 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R Collignon R 2:1 Vacherot V
2026-07-15 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R Collignon R 2:0 Sonego L
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Popyrin A
W W L L L
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Popyrin A 2:1 Burruchaga R A Popyrin A
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Popyrin A 1:0 Kokkinakis T Popyrin A
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Andrade A 2:1 Popyrin A Popyrin A
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Lehecka J 3:0 Popyrin A Popyrin A
2026-06-22 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain
Choinski J 2:1 Popyrin A Popyrin A
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCollignon R - Popyrin A

Collignon R
0 matches total
Popyrin A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Galle grass 1-y krug A. Aleksey Popyrin Aleksey Popyrin (Australia) 0 4 2 Q R. Rafael Kollinon Rafael Kollinon (Belgium) 2 6 Taymlayn Rafael Kollinon 1:0 Aleksey Popyrin 1 Rafael Kollinon 2:1 Aleksey Popyrin 2 ; Statist