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ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles
ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Kecmanovic M - Rinderknech A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles
ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles hard 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Kecmanovic M
Kecmanovic M
Rank #62 Elo 925
W L L W L L W L
Rinderknech A
Rinderknech A
Rank #29 Elo 1623
W L L W W L L L
1:2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Kecmanovic M Rinderknech A
Win % 49% 51.4%
Hard % 48.6% 53.1%
Clay % 51.5% 51.6%
Grass % 45.2% 44.2%
Deciding set % 42.8% 57.1%
Tie-breaks % 44.8% 44.5%
Titles (total) 3 3
Last 10 LWLLWLLWWL WLLWLWWLLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#62 Rating #29
26 Age 31
1.83m Height (cm) 1.96m
75kg Weight (kg) 88kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Kecmanovic M Rinderknech A
Aces per match 5.03 10.52
Double faults per match 2.09 2.57
Breaks per match 2.19 1.59

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Miomir Kecmanovic
Rank:62 Elo: 925
W L L W L L W L
Arthur Rinderknech
Rank:29 Elo: 1623
W L L W W L L L
Elo favourite:Rinderknech A (edge +698 Elo)

Hard

Miomir KecmanovicArthur Rinderknech
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 9 / 18 Matches 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 45.5% 15 / 33 Matches 50.0% 15 / 30 Matches

Clay

Miomir KecmanovicArthur Rinderknech
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches 46.2% 6 / 13 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches 50.0% 8 / 16 Matches

Grass

Miomir KecmanovicArthur Rinderknech
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech
H2H wins 1 (33.3%) 2 (66.7%)
Sets 4 (40.0%) 6 (60.0%)
Wins this year 48.7% 19 / 39 Matches 39.3% 11 / 28 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 46.3% 25 / 54 Matches 48.2% 26 / 54 Matches
Current rank 62 29

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech
Prize money (career) $7,821,617 USD $3,542,478 USD
Rating 62 29
Age 26 31
Height 1.83m 1.96m
Weight 75kg 88kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech
Match Wins 49 % 39 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 51 % 36 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % 33 %
Wins in Straight Sets 28 % 21 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 15 %
Won At Least 1 Set 87 % 71 %
Set 1 Win 59 % 36 %
Set 2 Win 56 % 54 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st serve percentage 0% 100%
1st serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
2nd serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved 0/0 0/0
1st return points won 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
2nd return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted 0/0 0/0
Winners 0 0
Unforced errors 0 0
Net points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Service Points Won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Return Points Won 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Total Points Won 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Last 10 balls 1 0
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Total games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.64 11 10.32
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 91 % 100 % 96 %
Over 8.5 71 % 95 % 83 %
Over 9.5 46 % 73 % 60 %
Over 10.5 20 % 50 % 35 %
Over 11.5 20 % 50 % 35 %

Aces

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech Match total
Aces Per Match 5.03 10.52 15.55
Most Aces in a match 29 % 87 % N/A
1+ 97 % 96 % 97 %
2+ 80 % 96 % 97 %
3+ 74 % 96 % 94 %
4+ 63 % 91 % 94 %
5+ 57 % 83 % 90 %

Breaks

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.19 1.59 3.78
Over 0.5 100 % 91 % 100 %
Over 1.5 97 % 52 % 98 %
Over 2.5 34 % 0 % 72 %
Over 3.5 26 % 0 % 38 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 37 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 13 %

Tie-breaks

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.46 0.55 0.5
Over 0.5 37 % 45 % 41 %
Over 1.5 9 % 9 % 9 %
Under 0.5 63 % 55 % 41 %
Under 1.5 91 % 91 % 9 %

Double faults

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.09 2.57 4.66
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 83 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 66 % 61 % 94 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 26 % 48 % 82 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 11 % 30 % 70 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 6 % 26 % 56 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 6 % 9 % 41 %

Net points

Miomir Kecmanovic Arthur Rinderknech Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.34 8.28 14.62
Over 4.5 (5+) 61 % 85 % 73 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 43 % 85 % 64 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 29 % 85 % 57 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 18 % 80 % 49 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 14 % 60 % 37 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 11 % 55 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.86 51.7% BetBoom
P2 1.99 48.3% BetBoom

Kecmanovic M go head-to-head with Rinderknech A on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kecmanovic M — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kecmanovic M): model 46% · market 52% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kecmanovic M51.2%
2 · Rinderknech A48.8%

Model estimate: win Kecmanovic M 51.2%, win Rinderknech A 48.8%. Model favourite — Kecmanovic M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rinderknech A (odds1.83) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Ketsmanovich M
  • • 🇷🇸 — Rinderknekh A
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Ketsmanovich M
  • • 🇷🇸: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Rinderknekh A
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Rinderknekh A
  • • 🇫🇷: probability 54% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kecmanovic M - Rinderknech A August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kecmanovic M.

Line favourite market consensus: Kecmanovic M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / 2 1.99
  • Glicko: Kecmanovic M 51.2% / Rinderknech A 48.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 2 books · best price +1.6%
1 51.8%
2 48.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Kecmanovic M
52%
1.86
Rinderknech A
48%
1.99
Total
Over 23.5
49%
1.99
Under 23.5
51%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins3
1.3Average score2.0

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 3.3 (goals)

Team form

Kecmanovic M
4-6LWWLLWLLWL
scored 1.4conceded 1.7
Rinderknech A
4-6LLLWWLWLLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 03:59 UTC
1 46%
2 54% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 1-3
Claude updated06.08.2026 04:01 UTC
1 0%
2 100% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 22.5 (fakt 33 games — proshel) Bet:Stavki No — match zavershen 05.08.2026, win Rinderknekha 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 46% 54% 1:2 Over 22.5
Claude 0% 100% 1:2 Over 22.5 (fakt 33 games — proshel) Stavki No — match zavershen 05.08.2026, win Rinderknekha 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 51.7% @ 1.86 / 2 48.3% @ 1.99
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Rinderknech A 77%
📐 Math model Kecmanovic M 51%
💹 Market Kecmanovic M 52%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Kecmanovic M - Rinderknech A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 24
Metric Kecmanovic M Rinderknech A SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 0 0 final
Vinnery 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.525 / LogLoss 0.718
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.696
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kecmanovic M 51.8% 48.3% market and model agree
Rinderknech A 48.2% 51.7% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko51.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.36).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.2% / 48.8% probabilities
Rating 1,584 / 1,747 Kecmanovic M / Rinderknech A
RD 192 / 143 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,201-1,968 / 1,462-2,033 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%
1 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 51.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 22.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Over 23.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
— 1.83 54.6%
1.69 59.2% —
— 1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0% —
— 1.91 52.4%
— 1.95 51.3%
2.16 46.3% —
1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.78 56.2% —
Over 23.5 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3%
Under 22.5 2.04 49.0% —
Under 23.5 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6%
1.94 51.6% 1.99 50.3%
Match center
Kecmanovic M
L L W L W
21.07 08:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Kecmanovic M 1:2 Baes S. 🇦🇷Baes S. 🇦🇷
16.07 06:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Kecmanovic M 1:2 Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷Cherundolo Kh.-M. 🇦🇷
13.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Kecmanovic M 2:1 Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭Feldbaush K. 🇨🇭
27.05 11:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Kecmanovic M 1:3 Borzhesh N. 🇵🇹Borzhesh N. 🇵🇹
24.05 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France), clay
Kecmanovic M 3:0 Marozhan F. 🇭🇺Marozhan F. 🇭🇺
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Rinderknech A
L L W L W
22.07 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Rinderknech A 1:2 Baes S. 🇦🇷Baes S. 🇦🇷
17.07 13:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Rinderknech A 1:2 Tsitsipas S. 🇬🇷Tsitsipas S. 🇬🇷
15.07 08:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Rinderknech A 2:1 Tabur K. 🇫🇷Tabur K. 🇫🇷
03.07 10:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rinderknech A 1:3 Dzhokovich N. 🇷🇸Dzhokovich N. 🇷🇸
01.07 11:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Rinderknech A 3:0 Damm M. 🇺🇸Damm M. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage