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ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal International
2nd round 04.08.2026 22:35 UTC Match prediction

Nakashima B - Altmaier D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Monreal
ATP. Monreal 2nd round hard 04.08.2026 22:35 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 22:35 UTC 2nd round Finished
Nakashima B
Nakashima B USA
L W W W L
Altmaier D
Altmaier D Germany
W L W L W
2:0 6:2 6:1
1 2 GP
Nakashima B 6 6 2
Altmaier D 2 1 0
1 2
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

USA Country Germany
- Rating -
25 Age 27
188 Height (cm) 188
83 Weight (kg) 80
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
28 Seed 1
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Nakashima B
56% 30 / 54
56% 30 / 54
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 10
grass
4 iz 6
hard
21 iz 38
Altmaier D
42% 21 / 50
42% 21 / 50
Sintetika
no data
clay
8 iz 19
grass
4 iz 8
hard
9 iz 23

Head-to-head history

2023
ATP. Monreal
  Nakashima B 0
  Altmaier D 0
Odds
P1 1.32 73.7% BetBoom
P2 3.70 26.3% BetBoom

Nakashima B go head-to-head with Altmaier D on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nakashima B 3-0-2, Altmaier D 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 72% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Nakashima B — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nakashima B): model 59% · market 74% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nakashima B ✓ Pick72.0%
market74%
2 · Altmaier D28.0%
market26%

Model estimate: win Nakashima B 72.0%, win Altmaier D 28.0%. Model favourite — Nakashima B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nakashima B (odds1.30) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Nakashima B: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Altmayer D: forma VPPV (2)
  • • Model backs Nakashima B: probability 59% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nakashima B - Altmaier D August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nakashima B.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nakashima B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 3.70
  • Glicko: Nakashima B 72.0% / Altmaier D 28.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 4 books · best price +2.7%
1 ✓ Pick 73.7%
2 26.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 → 1.30
Winner 2 3.50 ↑ 3.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Nakashima B
73%
1.32
Altmaier D
27%
16.00
Total
Over 21.5
54%
2.30
Under 21.5
46%
2.07

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Nakashima B
7-3WWLWLWWWLW
scored 1.9conceded 0.8
Altmaier D

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort
Start 04.08.2026 22:35 UTC
Market 1 78.6% @ 1.01 / 2 21.4% @ 3.70
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 8 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Nakashima B 72%
💹 Market Nakashima B 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Nakashima B - Altmaier D

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Brendon Nakashima - Daniel Altmayer, 05 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Brendon Nakashima - Daniel Altmayer, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Nakashima B Altmaier D Result
Set 1 6 2 6:2
Set 2 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 72.0% fact: home hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.157 / LogLoss 0.329
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.6% fact: home hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.449 / LogLoss 0.642
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nakashima B 73.4% 72.0% market and model agree
Altmaier D 26.6% 28.0%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 72.0% / 28.0% probabilities
Rating 1,815 / 1,609 Nakashima B / Altmaier D
RD 152 / 215 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,510-2,120 / 1,179-2,038 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.53 market consensus · no value · model 28.0%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 72.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.28 78.1%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.35 74.1%
1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% —
— — 3.70 27.0%
— — 4.10 24.4%
2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% —
— — 3.35 29.9%
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 2.90 34.5%
— — 2.65 37.7%
— — 3.40 29.4%
— — 3.05 32.8%
— — 11.50 8.7%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 13.00 7.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 15.5 — — 13.00 7.7%
Over 16.5 — — 3.15 31.8%
Over 17.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 18.5 — — 3.70 27.0%
Over 19.5 — — 2.13 47.0%
Over 20.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Over 21.5 — 1.75 57.1% 2.30 43.5%
Over 22.5 2.05 48.8% — 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 25.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 15.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Under 16.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Under 21.5 — 2.07 48.3% —
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.29 77.5%
3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 16.00 6.3% 3.50 28.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-08-04 · Brendon Nakashima 2:0 Daniel Altmayer
2023-03-01 · Brendon Nakashima 2:1 Daniel Altmayer
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.32 (Winline) · 2 3.8 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.25 3.8
Winline 1.32 3.4
Fonbet 1.25 3.8
Betcity 1.29 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

6 Eysy 2
1 Dvoynye oshibki 3
7 Vsego breyk-poyntov 3
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
60 Vyigrannye Points 33
33 Points na podache 25
8 Poteryannye Points na podache 27
26 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 34
14 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 15
24 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 18
9 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 7
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
9 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 1
8 Geymy na podache 3
12 Vyigrannye geymy 3
5 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Nakashima B
L W W W L
2026-08-01 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 1:2 Fritz T
2026-07-31 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B De Minaur A 0:2 Nakashima B
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:1 Mensik J
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:0 Etcheverry T M
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Nakashima B Nakashima B 2:3 Struff J-L
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Altmaier D
W L W L W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Vukic A 1:2 Altmaier D Altmaier D
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Molcan A 2:1 Altmaier D Altmaier D
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Altmaier D 2:0 Collignon R Altmaier D
2026-07-15 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Altmaier D 0:2 Darderi L Altmaier D
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Altmaier D 2:0 Gaston H Altmaier D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNakashima B - Altmaier D

Nakashima B
0 matches total
Altmaier D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2023 Akapulko hard 1-y krug D. Daniel Altmayer Daniel Altmayer (Germany) 1 3 6 1 B. Brendon Nakashima Brendon Nakashima 🇺🇸 2 6 3 6 ; CHAMP('tournament