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ATP. Monreal International

2nd round 06.08.2026 01:05 UTC Match prediction

Tien L - Monfils G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 2nd round 06.08.2026 01:05 UTC Finished

06.08.2026 01:05 UTC 2nd round Finished

Tien L USA

L L W L W

Monfils G France

W L L L W

2:1 6:3 0:6 6:3

1 2 3 GP

Tien L 6 0 6 2

Monfils G 3 6 3 1

1 2 3

Preview

About the athletes

USA Country France

- Rating -

20 Age 39

180 Height (cm) 193

73 Weight (kg) 80

Left Hand Right

19 Seed 347

- Coverage -

C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Tien L

67% 41 / 61

67% 41 / 61

Synthetic

no data

Clay

9 of 13

Grass

2 of 4

Hard

30 of 44

Monfils G

36% 5 / 14

36% 5 / 14

Synthetic

no data

Clay

1 of 4

Grass

no data

Hard

4 of 10

Head-to-head history

0 Forma za posledniy god Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":69,"full":100,"game":"9 of 13"},{"category":"grass","value":50,"full":100,"game":"2 of 4"},{"category":"hard","value":68,"full":100,"game":"30 of 44"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":41,"game":61,"pct":"67%"}} ; Forma za posledniy god {"form":[{"category":"Synthetic","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"Clay","value":25,"full":100,"game":"1 of 4"},{"category":"grass","value":0,"full":100,"game":""},{"category":"hard","value":40,"full":100,"game":"4 of 10"}],"color":["#819491","#d55314","#a8b806","#606da3"],"total":{"win":5,"game":14,"pct":"36%"}}

Odds

P1 1.25 76.6% BetBoom

P2 4.10 23.4% BetBoom

Tien L meet Monfils G on August 6, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tien L 2-0-3, Monfils G 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Monfils G — 56%

1 · Tien L44.3%

2 · Monfils G ✓ Pick55.7%

Model estimate: win Tien L 44.3%, win Monfils G 55.7%. Model favourite — Monfils G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Monfils G (odds4.05) Score 1:2 confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed

• Ten L: forma P (0-1)
• Monfis G: forma V (1-0)
• liniya na pik P2 4.20→4.10 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Monfis G: probability 56% vs 25% on the line (odds 4.05)
• edge over the line +31 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tien L - Monfils G August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tien L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tien L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 9.00
Glicko: Tien L 44.3% / Monfils G 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books · best price +375.5%

1 71.5%

2 ✓ Pick 28.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.23 ↑ 1.25

Winner 2 4.20 ↓ 4.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Tien L

57%

6.30

Monfils G

43%

9.00

Handicap

Tien L (-3.5)

50%

2.10

Monfils G (-3.5)

50%

1.80

Total

Over 22.5

48%

2.05

Under 22.5

52%

1.81

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tien L

6-4WWWLWLWLLW

scored 1.7conceded 1.6

Monfils G

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Tsentralnyy kort

Start 06.08.2026 01:05 UTC

Market 1 89.6% @ 1.05 / 2 10.4% @ 9.00

Form 2 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Monfils G 56%

💹 Market Tien L 72%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Tien L - Monfils G

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Lener Ten - Gael Monfis, 06 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Lener Ten - Gael Monfis, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Tien L Monfils G Result

Set 0 6 3 6:3

Set 1 0 6 0:6

Set 2 6 3 6:3

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 55.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.620 / LogLoss 0.814

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 50.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.514 / LogLoss 0.707

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tien L 76.6% 44.3% market favourite

Monfils G 23.4% 55.7% Glicko contrarian

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 44.3% / 55.7% probabilities

Rating 1,318 / 1,598 Tien L / Monfils G

RD 282 / 278 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 753-1,883 / 1,042-2,153 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +401.0% · model 55.7%

1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 44.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 5.80 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 12.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Over 18.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	1.90 52.6%	—
1.82 55.0%	1.84 54.4%	—
—	—	4.20 23.8%
—	—	6.20 16.1%
—	—	8.00 12.5%
1.97 50.8%	1.97 50.8%	2.30 43.5%
—	—	2.35 42.6%
—	—	1.09 91.7%
—	—	1.80 55.6%
—	—	1.45 69.0%
—	1.80 55.6%	1.65 60.6%
—	—	1.95 51.3%
—	—	1.40 71.4%
—	—	1.25 80.0%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.02 98.0%
	5.70 17.5%
	1.10 90.9%
	10.50 9.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 12.5	—	1.75 57.1%	—
Over 18.5	—	—	1.80 55.6%
Over 19.5	—	—	1.72 58.1%
Over 20.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 21.5	1.78 56.2%	—	1.75 57.1%
Over 22.5	1.99 50.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 24.5	—	—	4.20 23.8%
Over 25.5	—	—	5.50 18.2%
Over 26.5	—	—	2.80 35.7%
Over 27.5	—	—	7.90 12.7%
Under 12.5	—	1.96 51.0%	—
Under 21.5	2.00 50.0%	—	—
Under 22.5	1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	—

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.10 90.9%
Under 2.5	5.70 17.5%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0

2026-08-06 · Lerner Ten 2:1 Gael Monfis

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.36 (Betcity) · 2 3.45 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.3	3.45
Winline	1.32	3.4
Fonbet	1.3	3.45
Betcity	1.36	3.1

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

3 Eysy 3

5 Dvoynye oshibki 6

10 Vsego breyk-poyntov 13

4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4

90 Vyigrannye Points 91

53 Points na podache 50

41 Poteryannye Points na podache 37

61 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 38

29 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 44

37 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 25

16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 25

8 Maks. ochkov podryad 6

6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4

8 Geymy na podache 8

12 Vyigrannye geymy 12

4 Maks. geymov podryad 7

0 Tay-breyk 0

Source: ruscore

Tien L

L L W L W

2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA

Tien L Mannarino A 2:0 Tien L

2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Tien L Fucsovics M 3:1 Tien L

2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Tien L Svrcina D 1:3 Tien L

2026-06-17 2026 Halle, Germany

Tien L Tien L 1:2 Auger-Aliassime F

2026-06-15 2026 Halle, Germany

Tien L Schoenhaus M 0:2 Tien L

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.4 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Monfils G

W L L L W

2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada

Majchrzak K 0:2 Monfils G Monfils G

2026-05-25 2026 French Open, Paris, France

Gaston H 3:2 Monfils G Monfils G

2026-04-23 2026 Madrid, Spain

Ugo Carabelli C 2:0 Monfils G Monfils G

2026-04-07 2026 Monte Carlo, Monaco

Monfils G 0:2 Bublik A Monfils G

2026-04-05 2026 Monte Carlo, Monaco

Monfils G 2:1 Griekspoor T Monfils G

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTien L - Monfils G

Tien L

0 matches total

Monfils G

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Tien L - Monfils G

About the athletes

Form over the last year

Head-to-head history

AI match prediction Tien L - Monfils G August 6, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Forecast by market

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tien L - Monfils G

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match stats

Match history