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ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles
ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles
06.08.2026 18:55 UTC Match prediction

Tirante T A - Fritz T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles
ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles hard 06.08.2026 18:55 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 18:55 UTC Finished
Tirante T A
Tirante T A
Rank #9 Elo 3230
W W W L W W W W
Fritz T
Fritz T
Rank #65 Elo 919
L W W W W L W W
2:0
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Tirante T A Fritz T
Win % 56.1% 61.3%
Hard % 56% 61.4%
Clay % 57.1% 56.1%
Grass % 36.4% 67.1%
Deciding set % 48.1% 56.5%
Tie-breaks % 53.7% 56.1%
Titles (total) 5 11
Last 10 WWLWWLLWLW LWWWWWLWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#9 Rating #65
28 Age 25
1.96m Height (cm) 1.85m
86kg Weight (kg) 81kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Tirante T A Fritz T
Aces per match 14.96 6.45
Double faults per match 1.62 2.33
Breaks per match 1.44 2.39

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Taylor Fritz
Rank:9 Elo: 3230
W W W L W W W W
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Rank:65 Elo: 919
L W W W W L W W
Elo favourite:Fritz T (edge +2311 Elo)

Hard

Taylor FritzThiago Agustin Tirante
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 73.3% 11 / 15 Matches 58.3% 7 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 67.4% 29 / 43 Matches 57.7% 15 / 26 Matches

Clay

Taylor FritzThiago Agustin Tirante
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 66.7% 12 / 18 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 65.7% 23 / 35 Matches

Grass

Taylor FritzThiago Agustin Tirante
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 77.8% 7 / 9 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 77.8% 7 / 9 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 71.4% 25 / 35 Matches 61.5% 24 / 39 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 68.8% 44 / 64 Matches 61.4% 43 / 70 Matches
Current rank 9 65

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante
Prize money (career) $27,031,016 USD $834,132 USD
Rating 9 65
Age 28 25
Height 1.96m 1.85m
Weight 86kg 81kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante
Match Wins 71 % 62 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 72 % 63 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 60 % 60 %
Wins in Straight Sets 34 % 36 %
Wins From Behind 38 % 29 %
Won At Least 1 Set 83 % 72 %
Set 1 Win 57 % 51 %
Set 2 Win 57 % 56 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.43 9.87 10.15
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 96 % 88 % 92 %
Over 8.5 92 % 72 % 82 %
Over 9.5 64 % 44 % 54 %
Over 10.5 32 % 31 % 32 %
Over 11.5 32 % 31 % 32 %

Aces

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante Match total
Aces Per Match 14.96 6.45 21.41
Most Aces in a match 88 % 64 % N/A
1+ 100 % 94 % 99 %
2+ 100 % 94 % 99 %
3+ 100 % 88 % 97 %
4+ 100 % 82 % 97 %
5+ 96 % 76 % 94 %

Breaks

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.44 2.39 3.83
Over 0.5 71 % 97 % 98 %
Over 1.5 67 % 64 % 96 %
Over 2.5 50 % 15 % 93 %
Over 3.5 0 % 9 % 35 %
Over 4.5 0 % 0 % 31 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 29 %

Tie-breaks

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.72 0.38 0.55
Over 0.5 52 % 28 % 40 %
Over 1.5 16 % 9 % 13 %
Under 0.5 48 % 72 % 40 %
Under 1.5 84 % 91 % 13 %

Double faults

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.62 2.33 3.95
Over 0.5 (1+) 71 % 79 % 95 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 46 % 64 % 87 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 33 % 39 % 74 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 8 % 21 % 59 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 4 % 18 % 45 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 9 % 35 %

Net points

Taylor Fritz Thiago Agustin Tirante Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.65 6.09 11.74
Over 4.5 (5+) 65 % 41 % 53 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 59 % 31 % 45 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 47 % 17 % 32 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 35 % 14 % 25 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 35 % 14 % 25 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 18 % 14 % 16 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 5.20 18.5% BetBoom
P2 1.18 81.5% BetBoom

Tirante T A take on Fritz T on August 6, 2026 in the ATP Montreal, Canada Men Singles.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 22% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Fritz T — 78%

Pure model vs market (2 · Fritz T): model 53% · market 81% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Tirante T A21.5%
market19%
2 · Fritz T ✓ Pick78.5%
market81%

Model estimate: win Tirante T A 21.5%, win Fritz T 78.5%. Model favourite — Fritz T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tirante T A - Fritz T August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fritz T.

Line favourite market consensus: Fritz T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.20 / 2 1.18
  • Glicko: Tirante T A 21.5% / Fritz T 78.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 3 books
1 18.7%
2 ✓ Pick 81.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Tirante T A
19%
5.20
Fritz T
81%
1.18
Total
Over 21.5
52%
1.84
Under 21.5
48%
2.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Tirante T A
7-3WWLWLLWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 1.2
Fritz T
8-2WLWWWWWWWL
scored 2.0conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 08:21 UTC
1 27%
2 73% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:2 and Correct score 0:2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated06.08.2026 08:22 UTC
1 100% ✓ favourite
2 0%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 (fakt 21 game) Bet:1 Tirante — match uzhe sygran, win 7-5 6-3

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 27% 73% 0:2 Over 21.5
Claude 100% 0% 2:0 Under 22.5 (fakt 21 game)
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 18:55 UTC
Market 1 18.5% @ 5.20 / 2 81.5% @ 1.18
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Tirante T A 64%
📐 Math model Fritz T 78%
💹 Market Fritz T 81%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Tirante T A - Fritz T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 78.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.232 / LogLoss 1.536
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.571 / LogLoss 0.764
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tirante T A 18.7% 23.1% market and model agree
Fritz T 81.3% 76.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko21.5% · +Elo prior (weight0.30).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 21.5% / 78.5% probabilities
Rating 1,828 / 1,958 Tirante T A / Fritz T
RD 185 / 113 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,459-2,198 / 1,732-2,184 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 78.5%
1 5.07 market consensus · no value · model 21.5%
Total
Over 21.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6%
1.98 50.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
5.10 19.6% 4.90 20.4% 5.20 19.2%
1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Tirante T A
W
03.08 14:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Tirante T A 2:1 Chan D. 🇨🇦
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Fritz T
W W W W W
02.08 18:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:0 Jodar R. 🇪🇸Jodar R. 🇪🇸
01.08 22:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:1 Nakasima B. 🇺🇸Nakasima B. 🇺🇸
31.07 19:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:1 Mikelsen A. 🇺🇸Mikelsen A. 🇺🇸
29.07 17:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:0 Maychrzak K. 🇵🇱Maychrzak K. 🇵🇱
27.07 17:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Fritz T 2:0 Bergs Z. 🇧🇪Bergs Z. 🇧🇪
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTirante T A - Fritz T

Tirante T A
0 matches total
Fritz T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history