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ATP. Monreal International

1 round 04.08.2026 19:55 UTC Match prediction

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP. Monreal

ATP. Monreal 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 19:55 UTC Finished

04.08.2026 19:55 UTC 1-y krug Finished

Sonego L Italy Seed 88

L W L W W

Griekspoor T Netherlands Seed 69

L L L L W

0:2 6:7 5:7

1 2 GP

Sonego L 6 5 0

Griekspoor T 7 7 2

1 2

Odds

P1 2.10 47.0% BetBoom

P2 1.86 53.0% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort Coverage: hard

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Italy Country Netherlands

- Rating -

31 Age 30

191 Height (cm) 188

76 Weight (kg) 85

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

88 Seed 69

hard Coverage hard

1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Sonego L

46% 18 / 39

46% 18 / 39

Sintetika

no data

clay

3 iz 9

grass

3 iz 6

hard

12 iz 24

Griekspoor T

32% 13 / 41

32% 13 / 41

Sintetika

no data

clay

1 iz 7

grass

1 iz 4

hard

11 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2024

ATP. Monreal

Sonego L 0

Griekspoor T 0

Sonego L face Griekspoor T on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Monreal, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sonego L 3-0-2, Griekspoor T 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Griekspoor T — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Griekspoor T): model 38% · market 72% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sonego L48.8%

2 · Griekspoor T51.2%

Model estimate: win Sonego L 48.8%, win Griekspoor T 51.2%. Model favourite — Griekspoor T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sonego L (odds1.93) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Sonego L: forma PV (1)
• Grikspor T: forma PPV (1-2)
• liniya na pik P1 2.02→1.90 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Sonego L: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
• no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sonego L - Griekspoor T August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Griekspoor T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Griekspoor T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.91 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Sonego L 48.8% / Griekspoor T 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 2 books · best price +29.6%

1 27.6%

2 72.4%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.02 ↑ 2.10

Winner 2 1.80 ↓ 1.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Pyatyy kort

Start 04.08.2026 19:55 UTC

Market 1 34.6% @ 1.91 / 2 65.4% @ 1.01

Stage 1-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Sonego L - Griekspoor T

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Lorentso Sonego - Tallon Grikspor. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Sonego L Griekspoor T Result

Set 1 6 7 6:7

Set 2 5 7 5:7

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sonego L 47.4% 48.8%

Griekspoor T 52.6% 51.2% market and model agree

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 48.8% / 51.2% probabilities

Rating 1,525 / 1,223 Sonego L / Griekspoor T

RD 256 / 221 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,013-2,037 / 782-1,665 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 51.2%

1 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 20.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Over 21.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	3.20 31.3%
	12.00 8.3%
	7.00 14.3%
	1.14 87.7%
	1.08 92.6%
	3.40 29.4%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.65 37.7%
	3.35 29.9%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.07 93.5%
	4.80 20.8%
	6.10 16.4%
	1.27 78.7%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.42 70.4%
	1.28 78.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 20.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 21.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 22.5	1.20 83.3%
Over 23.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 24.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 25.5	6.40 15.6%
Over 26.5	9.50 10.5%
Over 27.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 28.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 29.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 30.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 31.5	1.92 52.1%
Over 32.5	10.00 10.0%
Over 33.5	10.00 10.0%
Over 34.5	2.40 41.7%
Under 20.5	2.90 34.5%
Under 21.5	2.45 40.8%
Under 22.5	3.95 25.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	16.00 6.3%	1.91 52.4%
	1.01 99.0%	1.86 53.8%

Match center

Sonego L

L W L W W

2026-07-15 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Sonego L Collignon R 2:0 Sonego L

2026-07-13 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland

Sonego L Sonego L 2:0 Schwaerzler J

2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Fritz T 3:1 Sonego L

2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Diallo G 2:3 Sonego L

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Sonego L Sonego L 3:1 Etcheverry T M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.8 Sets won

1.6 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Griekspoor T

L L L L W

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Tabilo A 2:1 Griekspoor T Griekspoor T

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Griekspoor T 1:3 Duckworth J Griekspoor T

2026-06-16 2026 Halle, Germany

Griekspoor T 1:2 Shimabukuro S Griekspoor T

2026-06-11 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Griekspoor T 0:2 Zhang Zhizhen Griekspoor T

2026-06-09 2026 s-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Griekspoor T 2:1 Van de Zandschulp B Griekspoor T

1 Wins

4 Losses

1.0 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySonego L - Griekspoor T

Sonego L

0 matches total

Griekspoor T

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2024 Monreal hard 1-y krug L. Lorentso Sonego Lorentso Sonego (Italy) 2 7 5 6 T. Tallon Grikspor Tallon Grikspor (Netherlands) 1 6 7 4 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'