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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
1 round 28.07.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

Norrie C - Kovacevic A

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 00:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 00:30 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Norrie C
Norrie C Velikobritaniya Seed 39
Kovacevic A
Kovacevic A USA Seed 95
2:0 6:4 6:1
1 2 GP
Norrie C 6 6 2
Kovacevic A 4 1 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.71 58.4% BetBoom
P2 2.40 41.6% BetBoom
Stadium: Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Velikobritaniya Country USA
- Rating -
30 Age 27
188 Height (cm) 183
82 Weight (kg) 79
Levsha Hand Pravsha
5 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 2

Form over the last year

Norrie C
49% 23 / 47
49% 23 / 47
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
0 iz 2
hard
18 iz 34
Kovacevic A
33% 13 / 40
33% 13 / 40
Sintetika
no data
clay
3 iz 7
grass
0 iz 4
hard
10 iz 29

Head-to-head history

2026
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
  Norrie C 0
  Kovacevic A 0
2023
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
  Norrie C 0
  Kovacevic A 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Norrie C — 56%

Pure model vs market (1 · Norrie C): model 44% · market 93% Δ −49 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Norrie C55.9%
2 · Kovacevic A44.1%

Model estimate: win Norrie C 55.9%, win Kovacevic A 44.1%. Model favourite — Norrie C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Norrie C (odds1.72) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧 — Kovachevich A
  • • 🇺🇸 (tennis)
  • • Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: forma PVPP (1-3)
  • • Kovachevich A
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Norri K
  • • 🇬🇧: probability 50% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Norrie C - Kovacevic A July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Norrie C.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norrie C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Norrie C 55.9% / Kovacevic A 44.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 92.8%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.73 ↓ 1.58
Winner 2 2.10 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Norrie C

no data

Kovacevic A
5-5LWLWWWLLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium
Start 28.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Norrie C - Kovacevic A

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Kemeron Norri - Aleksandr Kovachevich, 28 iyulya 2026. Los-Kabos. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Kemeron Norri - Aleksandr Kovachevich, kto pobedil.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Norrie C Kovacevic A Result
Set 0 6 4 6:4
Set 1 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 71.0% / Brier 0.390 / LogLoss 0.582
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.7% fact: home hit / ROI 71.0% / Brier 0.486 / LogLoss 0.679
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Norrie C 57.2% 55.9% market and model agree
Kovacevic A 42.8% 44.1%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 55.9% / 44.1% probabilities
Rating 1,213 / 1,465 Norrie C / Kovacevic A
RD 217 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 780-1,646 / 1,102-1,829 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 44.1%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 55.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.70 58.8%
1.84 54.4% 1.53 65.4%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.38 72.5%
— 1.30 76.9%
— 2.00 50.0%
1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
— 3.20 31.3%
— 3.50 28.6%
— 2.02 49.5%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 2.05 48.8%
— 2.80 35.7%
— 3.20 31.3%
— 10.00 10.0%
— 11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 11.00 9.1%
Over 18.5 — 10.00 10.0%
Over 19.5 — 3.10 32.3%
Over 20.5 — 2.30 43.5%
Over 21.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 — 2.05 48.8%
Over 23.5 1.92 52.1% 2.13 47.0%
Over 24.5 — 1.92 52.1%
Over 25.5 — 1.95 51.3%
Over 26.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Over 27.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 28.5 — 2.65 37.7%
Under 17.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Under 18.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Under 19.5 — 1.32 75.8%
Under 20.5 — 1.55 64.5%
Under 23.5 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.71 58.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.01 99.0% 1.66 60.2%
2.05 48.8% 2.23 44.8% 13.00 7.7% 2.19 45.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Norrie CWLLLLLLWWL
Kovacevic ALLLLLWLLLW
H2H 1-0-2
2026-07-28 · Kemeron Norri 2:0 Aleksandar Kovachevich
2026-01-08 · Kemeron Norri 1:2 Aleksandar Kovachevich
2023-08-03 · Kemeron Norri 1:2 Aleksandar Kovachevich
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.73 (Betcity) · 2 2.15 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.7 2.15
Winline 1.65 2.15
Fonbet 1.7 2.15
Betcity 1.73 2.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 5
4 Dvoynye oshibki 7
11 Vsego breyk-poyntov 4
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
68 Vyigrannye Points 45
37 Points na podache 23
22 Poteryannye Points na podache 31
32 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 25
23 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 22
25 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 15
12 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 8
10 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
8 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 2
7 Geymy na podache 3
12 Vyigrannye geymy 5
4 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Norrie C
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Norrie C G. Gabriel Diallo (Canada) Q T. Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 🇺🇸 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Kovacevic A
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
Q A. Aleks Ernandes (Mexico) LL B. Bernard Tomich (Australia) 1-y krug Kovacevic A
28.07.2026 Championat
5 K. Kemeron Norri (Velikobritaniya) A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 Kovacevic A
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNorrie C - Kovacevic A

Norrie C
0 matches total
Kovacevic A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 Brisben (m) hard 2-y krug 7 K. Kemeron Norri Kemeron Norri (Velikobritaniya) 1 6 4 LD A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 2 7 4 6
Event
2023 Los-Kabos hard 2-y krug A. Aleksandr Kovachevich Aleksandr Kovachevich 🇺🇸 2 5 7 6 2 K. Kemeron Norri Kemer