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ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
quarter-final 31.07.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

Shapovalov D - Svrcina D

Tennis ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard 1/4 finala hard 31.07.2026 00:30 UTC Finished
31.07.2026 00:30 UTC 1/4 finala Finished
Shapovalov D
Shapovalov D Canada Seed 68
W W
Svrcina D
Svrcina D Czechia Seed 116
W W
2:0 6:4 6:2
1 2 GP
Shapovalov D 6 6 2
Svrcina D 4 2 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.45 66.3% BetBoom
P2 2.85 33.7% BetBoom
Stadium: Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Canada Country Czechia
- Rating -
27 Age 23
185 Height (cm) 178
75 Weight (kg) 68
Levsha Hand Pravsha
8 Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Shapovalov D
45% 19 / 42
45% 19 / 42
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 7
grass
1 iz 4
hard
16 iz 31
Svrcina D
47% 7 / 15
47% 7 / 15
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 2
grass
0 iz 1
hard
7 iz 12

Head-to-head history

Los-Kabos
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Shapovalov D — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shapovalov D): model 57% · market 66% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shapovalov D ✓ Pick65.0%
market66%
2 · Svrcina D35.0%
market34%

Model estimate: win Shapovalov D 65.0%, win Svrcina D 35.0%. Model favourite — Shapovalov D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shapovalov D (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦 — Svrchina D
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVPP (2)
  • • Svrchina D
  • • 🇨🇿: forma VPPPP (1-4)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.45→1.40 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: probability 59% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shapovalov D - Svrcina D July 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shapovalov D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shapovalov D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.80
  • Glicko: Shapovalov D 65.0% / Svrcina D 35.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 ✓ Pick 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.45 ↓ 1.42
Winner 2 2.75 ↑ 2.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shapovalov D
2-8LLLWWLLLLL
scored 0.6conceded 1.8
Svrcina D
5-5WWLWLWWLLL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Delmar Interneshnl Skul. Stadium
Start 31.07.2026 00:30 UTC
Stage 1/4 finala
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Shapovalov D - Svrcina D

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Denis Shapovalov - Dalibor Svrchina. Los-Kabos. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Shapovalov D Svrcina D Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 2 6:2
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shapovalov D 65.9% 65.0% market and model agree
Svrcina D 34.1% 35.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 65.0% / 35.0% probabilities
Rating 1,741 / 1,625 Shapovalov D / Svrcina D
RD 219 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,303-2,179 / 1,308-1,942 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 35.0%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 65.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.38 72.5% —
1.33 75.2% —
1.45 69.0% —
1.50 66.7% —
1.62 61.7% —
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5%
2.20 45.5% —
2.85 35.1% —
2.80 35.7% —
3.00 33.3% —
— 1.90 52.6%
2.60 38.5% —
2.40 41.7% —
2.15 46.5% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.60 62.5% —
1.37 73.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 18.5 1.35 74.1% —
Over 19.5 1.50 66.7% —
Over 20.5 1.70 58.8% —
Over 21.5 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 22.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 23.5 2.35 42.6% —
Over 24.5 2.50 40.0% —
Over 25.5 2.75 36.4% —
Under 18.5 2.95 33.9% —
Under 19.5 2.40 41.7% —
Under 20.5 2.02 49.5% —
Under 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1%
Under 22.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 23.5 1.53 65.4% —
Under 24.5 1.48 67.6% —
Under 25.5 1.40 71.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.51 (Winline) · 2 2.6 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.5 2.55
Winline 1.51 2.45
Fonbet 1.5 2.55
Betcity 1.5 2.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Shapovalov D
W W
30.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R. (Mek)
29.07 00:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Shapovalov D 2:1 Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺Khidzhikata R. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Svrcina D
W W
30.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Svrcina D 1:0 Darderi L. 🇮🇹Darderi L. 🇮🇹
29.07 02:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Los Kabos (Mexico), hard
Svrcina D 2:1 Uolton A. 🇦🇺Uolton A. 🇦🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
1.5 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShapovalov D - Svrcina D

Shapovalov D
0 matches total
Svrcina D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Los-Kabos