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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

2nd round 05.08.2026 21:55 UTC Match prediction

Marozsan F - Arnaldi M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 2nd round hard 05.08.2026 21:55 UTC Finished

05.08.2026 21:55 UTC 2nd round Finished

Marozsan F Hungary

W L W L W

Arnaldi M Italy

L L W L L

1:2

Odds

P1 1.61 59.3% BetBoom

P2 2.35 40.7% BetBoom

Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard

Preview

About the athletes

Hungary Country Italy

- Rating -

26 Age 25

193 Height (cm) 185

75 Weight (kg) 71

Pravsha Hand Pravsha

61 Seed 35

hard Coverage hard

Posev 30 0 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Marozsan F

48% 22 / 46

48% 22 / 46

Sintetika

no data

clay

5 iz 11

grass

4 iz 9

hard

13 iz 26

Arnaldi M

36% 10 / 28

36% 10 / 28

Sintetika

no data

clay

8 iz 13

grass

0 iz 2

hard

2 iz 13

Head-to-head history

2025

ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard

Marozsan F 0

Arnaldi M 0

Marozsan F face Arnaldi M on August 5, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marozsan F 3-0-2, Arnaldi M 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Marozsan F — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Marozsan F): model 51% · market 57% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Marozsan F58.2%

market57%

2 · Arnaldi M41.8%

market43%

Model estimate: win Marozsan F 58.2%, win Arnaldi M 41.8%. Model favourite — Marozsan F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Marozsan F (odds1.64) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✗ outcome missed

• Marozhan F
• 🇭🇺 — Arnaldi M
• 🇮🇹 (tennis)
• Marozhan F
• 🇭🇺: forma VPPPP (1-4)
• Arnaldi M
• 🇮🇹: forma PPPVV (2-3)
• Model backs Marozhan F
• 🇭🇺: probability 58% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marozsan F - Arnaldi M August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arnaldi M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arnaldi M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / 2 1.50
Glicko: Marozsan F 58.2% / Arnaldi M 41.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 5.8% 4 books · best price +48.5%

1 57.3%

2 42.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Marozsan F

4-6WLWLWLWLLL

scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Arnaldi M

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort

Start 05.08.2026 21:55 UTC

Market 1 38.0% @ 2.45 / 2 62.0% @ 1.50

Stage 2-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Marozsan F - Arnaldi M

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Fabian Marozhan - Matteo Arnaldi. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Championat match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad source needed

Referees source needed

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Marozsan F 59.1% 58.2% market and model agree

Arnaldi M 41.0% 41.8%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 58.2% / 41.8% probabilities

Rating 1,468 / 1,514 Marozsan F / Arnaldi M. 🇮🇹

RD 199 / 162 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,069-1,866 / 1,190-1,838 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 41.8%

1 2.45 Fonbet · value +42.6% · model 58.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 22.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Over 25.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.60 62.5%
1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	1.52 65.8%
1.96 51.0%	—	2.40 41.7%
—	—	3.70 27.0%
1.97 50.8%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%	—	2.05 48.8%
—	—	2.15 46.5%
—	—	2.25 44.4%
—	—	2.35 42.6%
—	—	1.50 66.7%
—	—	1.08 92.6%
—	—	1.30 76.9%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	13.00 7.7%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 22.5	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	—
Over 25.5	—	—	1.77 56.5%
Over 26.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 27.5	—	—	1.63 61.4%
Over 28.5	—	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 29.5	—	—	1.23 81.3%
Over 30.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 31.5	—	—	3.00 33.3%
Over 32.5	—	—	2.00 50.0%
Under 22.5	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 25.5	—	—	1.93 51.8%
Under 26.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%
Under 27.5	—	—	2.15 46.5%
Under 28.5	—	—	3.55 28.2%
Under 29.5	—	—	3.70 27.0%
Under 30.5	—	—	3.00 33.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5	13.00 7.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1

2025-05-21 · Fabian Marozhan 0:2 Matteo Arnaldi

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.66 (Betcity) · 2 2.26 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	2
Pari	1.63	2.25
Winline	1.64	2.26
Fonbet	1.63	2.25
Betcity	1.66	2.2

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Marozsan F

W L W L W

2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada

Marozsan F Mochizuki S 0:2 Marozsan F

2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Marozsan F Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Marozsan F

2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Marozsan F Tirante T A 0:3 Marozsan F

2026-06-26 2026 Mallorca, Spain

Marozsan F Marozsan F 1:2 Davidovich Fokina A

2026-06-25 2026 Mallorca, Spain

Marozsan F Kecmanovic M 0:2 Marozsan F

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.6 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Arnaldi M

L L W L L

2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA

Arnaldi M 0:1 Musetti L Arnaldi M

2026-07-16 2026 Umag, Croatia

Dzumhur D 2:1 Arnaldi M Arnaldi M

2026-07-15 2026 Umag, Croatia

Gomez F A 1:2 Arnaldi M Arnaldi M

2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain

Arnaldi M 1:3 Halys Q Arnaldi M

2026-06-23 2026 Eastbourne, Great Britain

Arnaldi M 0:2 Hussey G Arnaldi M

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.8 Sets won

1.8 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarozsan F - Arnaldi M

Marozsan F

0 matches total

Arnaldi M

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event

2025 Zheneva clay 2-y krug 8 M. Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Arnaldi (Italy) 2 6 7 F. Fabian Marozhan Fabian Marozhan (Hungary) 0 3 6 ; ; CHA