Mejia N - Musetti L
Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Nikolas Mekhiya - Lorentso Muzetti. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
2
model / bookmakers
Flashscore
match data
source checked
Odds
match data
source checked
Championat
match data
source checked
Line depth
match data
source checked
Donor check
2 block.
lineup_availability, officials
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
20
Metric
Mejia N
Musetti L
SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany
2/12
0/1
final
Points na prieme
38% (31/81)
27% (18/66)
final
Eysy
3
3
final
Breyk-poynty otygrany
1/1
10/12
final
Dvoynye oshibki
1
3
final
Pervaya podacha, %
68%
57%
final
Points na pervoy podache
73% (33/45)
72% (33/46)
final
Points na vtoroy podache
71% (15/21)
49% (17/35)
final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 58.1% fact: away
hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.351 / LogLoss 0.543
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage, H2H
away - 51.0% fact: away
hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.481 / LogLoss 0.674
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Mejia N
15.2%
41.9%
Musetti L
84.8%
58.1%
market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P2
41.9% / 58.1%
probabilities
Rating
1,427 / 1,782
Mejia N / Musetti L
RD
181 / 192
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,066-1,788 / 1,398-2,166
strength interval
HFA: 0
HFA mu: 0.000
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score
Best value:
no value found
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.11
market consensus · no value · model 58.1%
1
6.63
market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
Total
Over 20.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
Under 20.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
