PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
1 round 04.08.2026 20:25 UTC Match prediction

Mochizuki S - Marozsan F

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard 1-y krug hard 04.08.2026 20:25 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 20:25 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Mochizuki S
Mochizuki S Japan Seed 117
W W L L W
Marozsan F
Marozsan F Hungary Seed 61
L W L W W
0:2 4:6 3:6
1 2 GP
Mochizuki S 4 3 0
Marozsan F 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.50 38.0% BetBoom
P2 1.53 62.0% BetBoom
Stadium: IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Japan Country Hungary
- Rating -
23 Age 26
175 Height (cm) 193
70 Weight (kg) 75
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
Q Seed 0
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Mochizuki S
43% 6 / 14
43% 6 / 14
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
3 iz 4
hard
3 iz 10
Marozsan F
47% 21 / 45
47% 21 / 45
Sintetika
no data
clay
5 iz 11
grass
4 iz 9
hard
12 iz 25

Head-to-head history

Monreal

Mochizuki S meet Marozsan F on August 4, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mochizuki S 3-0-2, Marozsan F 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 41% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Marozsan F — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Marozsan F): model 36% · market 62% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mochizuki S40.6%
market38%
2 · Marozsan F59.4%
market62%

Model estimate: win Mochizuki S 40.6%, win Marozsan F 59.4%. Model favourite — Marozsan F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Marozsan F (odds1.45) Score 1:2 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mochizuki Sh
  • • 🇯🇵 — Marozhan F
  • • 🇭🇺 (tennis)
  • • Mochizuki Sh
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • Marozhan F
  • • 🇭🇺: forma PPPP (0-4)
  • • Model backs Marozhan F
  • • 🇭🇺: probability 63% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mochizuki S - Marozsan F August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marozsan F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marozsan F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.53
  • Glicko: Mochizuki S 40.6% / Marozsan F 59.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 2 books
1 38.0%
2 62.0%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.70 ↓ 2.50
Winner 2 1.45 ↑ 1.53

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mochizuki S
8-2LWWLWWWWWW
scored 2.1conceded 0.9
Marozsan F
4-6WLWLWLWLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Vtoroy kort
Start 04.08.2026 20:25 UTC
Market 1 38.0% @ 2.50 / 2 62.0% @ 1.53
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Mochizuki S - Marozsan F

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Sintaro Mochizuki - Fabian Marozhan, 04 avgusta 2026. Monreal. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Sintaro Mochizuki - Fabian Marozhan, kto pobedil.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Mochizuki S Marozsan F Result
Set 0 4 6 4:6
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mochizuki S 38.0% 40.6%
Marozsan F 62.0% 59.4% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.6% / 59.4% probabilities
Rating 1,702 / 1,233 Mochizuki S / Marozsan F
RD 123 / 208 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,455-1,948 / 818-1,649 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 Fonbet · no value · model 59.4%
1 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 40.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.35 42.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.50 66.7%
1.30 76.9%
2.55 39.2%
2.75 36.4%
3.05 32.8%
1.53 65.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0%
2.45 40.8%
3.20 31.3%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.45 69.0% —
Over 20.5 1.62 61.7% —
Over 21.5 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9%
Over 22.5 2.02 49.5% 2.01 49.8%
Over 23.5 2.25 44.4% —
Over 24.5 2.35 42.6% —
Over 25.5 2.65 37.7% —
Over 26.5 3.00 33.3% —
Under 19.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 20.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 21.5 1.97 50.8% —
Under 22.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 23.5 1.57 63.7% —
Under 24.5 1.52 65.8% —
Under 25.5 1.43 69.9% —
Under 26.5 1.35 74.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.48 40.3%
1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2.6 1.5
Winline 2.7 1.46
Fonbet 2.6 1.5
Betcity 2.8 1.44
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Mochizuki S
W W L L W
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:1 Sweeny D
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:1 Broom C
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 0:2 Matsuoka H
2026-07-25 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 0:2 Draxl L
2026-07-24 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Mochizuki S Mochizuki S 2:0 Monday J
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Marozsan F
L W L W W
2026-07-01 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Davidovich Fokina A 3:0 Marozsan F Marozsan F
2026-06-29 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Tirante T A 0:3 Marozsan F Marozsan F
2026-06-26 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Marozsan F 1:2 Davidovich Fokina A Marozsan F
2026-06-25 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Kecmanovic M 0:2 Marozsan F Marozsan F
2026-06-23 2026 Mallorca, Spain
Marozsan F 2:0 Tabilo A Marozsan F
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMochizuki S - Marozsan F

Mochizuki S
0 matches total
Marozsan F
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Monreal