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ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
04.08.2026 16:55 UTC Match prediction

Svajda Z - Shapovalov D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard hard 04.08.2026 16:55 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 16:55 UTC Finished
Svajda Z
Svajda Z
L L W L W
Shapovalov D
Shapovalov D
L W W W W
2:1 4:6 6:4 6:0
1 2 3 GP
Svajda Z 4 6 6 2
Shapovalov D 6 4 0 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 2.17 44.1% BetBoom
P2 1.71 55.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Svajda Z take on Shapovalov D on August 4, 2026 in the ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Svajda Z 2-1-2, Shapovalov D 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 45% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shapovalov D — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shapovalov D): model 50% · market 56% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Svajda Z44.8%
2 · Shapovalov D ✓ Pick55.2%

Model estimate: win Svajda Z 44.8%, win Shapovalov D 55.2%. Model favourite — Shapovalov D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shapovalov D (odds1.57) Score 1:2 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Svayda Z
  • • 🇺🇸 — Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦 (tennis)
  • • Svayda Z
  • • 🇺🇸: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Model backs Shapovalov D
  • • 🇨🇦: probability 52% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Svajda Z - Shapovalov D August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shapovalov D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shapovalov D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / 2 1.55
  • Glicko: Svajda Z 44.8% / Shapovalov D 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 4 books · best price +1.2%
1 44.0%
2 ✓ Pick 56.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Svajda Z
6-4WWLWLLWLWW
scored 1.7conceded 1.4
Shapovalov D
2-8LLLWWLLLLL
scored 0.6conceded 1.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 16:55 UTC
Market 1 39.7% @ 2.35 / 2 60.3% @ 1.55
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Svajda Z - Shapovalov D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Svajda Z Shapovalov D Result
Set 1 4 6 4:6
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Set 3 6 0 6:0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Svajda Z 44.1% 44.8%
Shapovalov D 55.9% 55.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 44.8% / 55.2% probabilities
Rating 1,740 / 1,791 Svajda Z / Shapovalov D
RD 134 / 157 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,472-2,008 / 1,477-2,105 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 55.2%
1 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 44.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.30 43.5%
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.25 44.4%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.70 58.8%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 2.00 50.0%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.58 63.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.80 55.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 25.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
Over 26.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 27.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 28.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 29.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 30.5 — — 2.65 37.7%
Under 20.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 22.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 2.02 49.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.17 46.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.35 42.6% 2.14 46.7%
1.69 59.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.69 59.2%
Match center
Svajda Z
L D W L W
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Svajda Z Vukic A 2:0 Svajda Z
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda Z Svajda Z 1:1 Hewitt Cruz
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda Z Svajda Z 2:0 Kozlov S
2026-07-04 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Svajda Z De Minaur A 3:1 Svajda Z
2026-07-02 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Svajda Z Svajda Z 3:2 Majchrzak K
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Shapovalov D
L W W W W
2026-08-02 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A 2:0 Shapovalov D Shapovalov D
2026-08-01 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Norrie C 1:2 Shapovalov D Shapovalov D
2026-07-31 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Shapovalov D 2:0 Svrcina D Shapovalov D
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Shapovalov D 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R Shapovalov D
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Shapovalov D 2:1 Hijikata R Shapovalov D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySvajda Z - Shapovalov D

Svajda Z
0 matches total
Shapovalov D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history