PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
2 round 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Michelsen A - Mannarino A

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 2-y krug hard 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
29.07.2026 20:00 UTC 2-y krug Finished
Michelsen A
Michelsen A USA Seed 40
Mannarino A
Mannarino A France Seed 47
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.32 73.2% BetBoom
P2 3.60 26.8% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country France
- Rating -
21 Age 38
193 Height (cm) 180
79 Weight (kg) 79
Pravsha Hand Levsha
40 Seed 47
hard Coverage hard
2 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Michelsen A
52% 25 / 48
52% 25 / 48
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 12
grass
0 iz 1
hard
19 iz 35
Mannarino A
43% 20 / 46
43% 20 / 46
Sintetika
no data
clay
0 iz 7
grass
5 iz 9
hard
15 iz 30

Head-to-head history

2025
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Michelsen A 0
  Mannarino A 0
2024
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Michelsen A 0
  Mannarino A 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Michelsen A — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Michelsen A): model 58% · market 71% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Michelsen A ✓ Pick71.6%
market71%
2 · Mannarino A28.4%
market29%

Model estimate: win Michelsen A 71.6%, win Mannarino A 28.4%. Model favourite — Michelsen A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Michelsen A (odds1.41) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸 — Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • • Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Mannarino A
  • • 🇫🇷: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Mikelsen A
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 58% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Michelsen A - Mannarino A July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Michelsen A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Michelsen A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / 2 3.30
  • Glicko: Michelsen A 71.6% / Mannarino A 28.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 ✓ Pick 71.0%
2 29.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 ↓ 1.30
Winner 2 2.95 ↑ 3.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Michelsen A

no data

Mannarino A
5-5LLWWWLWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa
Start 29.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 9 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Michelsen A - Mannarino A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Aleks Mikhelsen - Adrian Mannarino. Vashington (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 71.6% fact: home hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.161 / LogLoss 0.333
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.6% fact: home hit / ROI 32.0% / Brier 0.449 / LogLoss 0.643
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Michelsen A 73.1% 71.6% market and model agree
Mannarino A 26.9% 28.4%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 71.6% / 28.4% probabilities
Rating 1,760 / 1,602 Michelsen A / Mannarino A
RD 136 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,489-2,032 / 1,311-1,892 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 Fonbet · no value · model 28.4%
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 71.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.55 64.5%
1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% —
2.10 47.6% — —
— — 3.35 29.9%
— — 3.70 27.0%
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% —
1.71 58.5% — —
— — 3.00 33.3%
— — 2.70 37.0%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 1.93 51.8%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.30 76.9%
— — 1.20 83.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Over 20.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
Over 26.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
Under 19.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
Under 20.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Under 21.5 1.94 51.6% 1.98 50.5% —
Under 22.5 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5%
3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-1
2026-07-29 · Aleks Mikelsen 2:0 Adrian Mannarino
2025-04-04 · Aleks Mikelsen 2:1 Adrian Mannarino
2024-06-25 · Aleks Mikelsen 2:0 Adrian Mannarino
2023-07-23 · Aleks Mikelsen 0:2 Adrian Mannarino
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.42 (Winline) · 2 3.1 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.4 2.95
Winline 1.42 2.85
Fonbet 1.4 2.95
Betcity 1.36 3.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

11 Eysy 1
3 Dvoynye oshibki 3
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 8
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 1
76 Vyigrannye Points 67
55 Points na podache 44
23 Poteryannye Points na podache 21
44 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 36
31 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 26
34 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
21 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 17
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
7 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 3
10 Geymy na podache 9
13 Vyigrannye geymy 10
5 Maks. geymov podryad 3
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Michelsen A
D
29.07.2026 Championat
Michelsen A Q T. Trevor Svayda Trevor Svayda 🇺🇸 1 2 7 3 7 Ya. Yakub Menshik Yakub Menshik (Czechia) 2 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Mannarino A
W
28.07 12:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Mannarino A 2:0 Tien L. 🇺🇸Tien L. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMichelsen A - Mannarino A

Michelsen A
0 matches total
Mannarino A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Khyuston clay 2-y krug 5 A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen 🇺🇸 2 6 LL A. Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino (France) 1 7 4 2
Event
2024 Malorka grass 2-y krug 3 A. Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino (France) 0 6 4 A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen (SSh