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ATP. Tsintsinnati
ATP. Tsintsinnati International
11.08.2026 23:55 UTC Match prediction

Echargui M - Zheng Michael

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Tsintsinnati
ATP. Tsintsinnati hard 11.08.2026 23:55 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 23:55 UTC Finished
Echargui M
Echargui M
Rank #194 Elo 287
28Very Bad Form
L L W L L L W W
Zheng Michael
Zheng Michael
Rank #113 Elo 565
63Average Form
L L L W W L L L
1:2 7:5 2:6 4:6
1 2 3 GP
Echargui M 7 2 4 1
Zheng Michael 5 6 6 2
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#194 Rating #113
33 Age 22
1.78m Height (cm) 1.88m
72kg Weight (kg) 73kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Echargui M Zheng Michael
Aces per match 4.17 4.35
Double faults per match 2.52 2.35
Breaks per match 2 1.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Moez Echargui
Rank:194 Elo: 287
L L W L L L W W
Michael Zheng
Rank:113 Elo: 565
L L L W W L L L
Elo favourite:Zheng Michael (edge +278 Elo)

Hard

Moez EcharguiMichael Zheng
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 4 / 16 Matches 64.7% 11 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 20 / 40 Matches 77.1% 27 / 35 Matches

Clay

Moez EcharguiMichael Zheng
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 3 / 12 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 25.0% 3 / 12 Matches 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches

Grass

Moez EcharguiMichael Zheng
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 28.1% 9 / 32 Matches 62.5% 20 / 32 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 45.6% 26 / 57 Matches 72.0% 36 / 50 Matches
Current rank 194 113

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng
Prize money (career) $270,500 USD $81,357 USD
Rating 194 113
Age 33 22
Height 1.78m 1.88m
Weight 72kg 73kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng
Match Wins 28 % 63 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 24 % 61 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 67 % 67 %
Wins in Straight Sets 19 % 38 %
Wins From Behind 8 % 29 %
Won At Least 1 Set 56 % 81 %
Set 1 Win 34 % 59 %
Set 2 Win 41 % 63 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.53 10.19 9.86
Over 6.5 93 % 96 % 95 %
Over 7.5 86 % 96 % 91 %
Over 8.5 72 % 91 % 82 %
Over 9.5 52 % 70 % 61 %
Over 10.5 21 % 22 % 22 %
Over 11.5 21 % 22 % 22 %

Aces

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Aces Per Match 4.17 4.35 8.52
Most Aces in a match 31 % 43 % N/A
1+ 93 % 87 % 96 %
2+ 72 % 74 % 94 %
3+ 62 % 65 % 94 %
4+ 48 % 52 % 81 %
5+ 38 % 39 % 73 %

Breaks

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Breaks Per Match 2 1.5 3.5
Over 0.5 93 % 57 % 100 %
Over 1.5 66 % 57 % 100 %
Over 2.5 66 % 17 % 43 %
Over 3.5 0 % 9 % 40 %
Over 4.5 0 % 9 % 40 %
Over 5.5 0 % 9 % 7 %

Tie-breaks

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.48 0.35 0.42
Over 0.5 34 % 30 % 32 %
Over 1.5 10 % 4 % 7 %
Under 0.5 66 % 70 % 32 %
Under 1.5 90 % 96 % 7 %

Double faults

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.52 2.35 4.87
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 78 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 66 % 61 % 92 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 38 % 39 % 81 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 28 % 26 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 14 % 17 % 52 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 13 % 43 %

Net points

Moez Echargui Michael Zheng Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.43 11.39 17.82
Over 4.5 (5+) 33 % 89 % 61 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 29 % 78 % 54 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 19 % 78 % 49 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 14 % 78 % 46 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 10 % 78 % 44 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 67 % 34 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 4.00 24.1% BetBoom
P2 1.27 75.9% BetBoom

Echargui M go head-to-head with Zheng Michael on August 11, 2026 in the ATP. Tsintsinnati, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Echargui M 1-0-4, Zheng Michael 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 26% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Zheng Michael — 74%

Pure model vs market (2 · Zheng Michael): model 56% · market 90% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Echargui M26.2%
market10%
2 · Zheng Michael ✓ Pick73.8%
market90%

Model estimate: win Echargui M 26.2%, win Zheng Michael 73.8%. Model favourite — Zheng Michael.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zheng Michael (odds1.23) Score 0:2 confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Eshargui M: forma PVP (1-2)
  • • Chzhen Maykl: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.18→1.27 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Chzhen Maykl: probability 74% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Echargui M - Zheng Michael August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zheng Michael.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zheng Michael. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Echargui M 26.2% / Zheng Michael 73.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7% 2 books · best price +3.4%
1 10.2%
2 ✓ Pick 89.8%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 4.80 ↓ 3.75
Winner 2 1.18 ↑ 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Echargui M
14%
15.00
Zheng Michael
86%
1.08
Total
Over 20.5
47%
1.94
Under 20.5
53%
1.95

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Echargui M
3-7LLWWLLLWLL
scored 0.9conceded 1.7
Zheng Michael
6-4LWWWLWLWLW
scored 1.4conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:55 UTC
Market 1 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 93.7% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Zheng Michael 74%
💹 Market Zheng Michael 90%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Echargui M - Zheng Michael

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Echargui M Zheng Michael Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 4 6 4:6
Metric Echargui M Zheng Michael SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 73.8% fact: away hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.137 / LogLoss 0.303
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.9% fact: away hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.444 / LogLoss 0.638
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Echargui M 24.2% 35.2%
Zheng Michael 75.8% 64.8% model more cautious than market
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko26.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.43).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 26.2% / 73.8% probabilities
Rating 1,455 / 1,704 Echargui M / Zheng Michael
RD 219 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,018-1,892 / 1,384-2,024 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 73.8%
1 6.60 market consensus · no value · model 26.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.02 49.5%
10.00 10.0%
2.30 43.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.25 80.0%
1.38 72.5%
5.00 20.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.02 98.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.04 96.2%
2.55 39.2%
3.00 33.3%
3.65 27.4%
2.80 35.7%
1.13 88.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
10.50 9.5%
1.02 98.0%
6.60 15.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 19.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 23.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 26.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 27.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 28.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 29.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 30.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 32.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 17.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 18.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 19.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 2.5 10.50 9.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-12 · Moez Eshargi 1:2 Maykl Chzhen
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5.6 (Pari) · 2 1.17 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 5.6 1.15
Winline 5.5 1.15
Fonbet 5.6 1.15
Betcity 5.1 1.17
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

3 Eysy 6
3 Dvoynye oshibki 2
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 6
85 Vyigrannye Points 95
48 Points na podache 58
37 Poteryannye Points na podache 37
44 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 59
39 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 34
27 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 40
21 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
4 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 6
9 Geymy na podache 11
13 Vyigrannye geymy 17
3 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Echargui M
L L W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
Echargui M Echargui M 0:2 Johnson Spencer
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Echargui M Martin Andres 2:0 Echargui M
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Echargui M Lee Jordan 0:2 Echargui M
2026-07-20 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Echargui M Echargui M 0:2 Harris L
2026-07-14 2026 Lincoln, USA
Echargui M Suresh D 2:1 Echargui M
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Zheng Michael
L W L W L
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Zheng Michael 1:2 Kecmanovic M Zheng Michael
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Zheng Michael 2:0 Nishikori K Zheng Michael
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A 2:1 Zheng Michael Zheng Michael
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Zheng Michael 2:0 Landaluce M Zheng Michael
2026-07-25 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Fearnley J 2:0 Zheng Michael Zheng Michael
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEchargui M - Zheng Michael

Echargui M
0 matches total
Zheng Michael
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Echargui M vs Zheng Michael?

By the PropickAI model, Zheng Michael is favoured — about 74% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Echargui M vs Zheng Michael?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Zheng Michael. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Echargui M vs Zheng Michael start?

August 11, 2026.