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ATP. Tsintsinnati
ATP. Tsintsinnati International
11.08.2026 23:05 UTC Match prediction

Faria J - Basilashvili N

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Tsintsinnati
ATP. Tsintsinnati hard 11.08.2026 23:05 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 23:05 UTC Finished
Faria J
Faria J
Rank #130 Elo 482
44Struggling Form
L W L L W L L W
Basilashvili N
Basilashvili N
Rank #79 Elo 760
65Average Form
L W L L L W W L
2:0 6:4 6:4
1 2 GP
Faria J 6 6 2
Basilashvili N 4 4 0
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Faria J Basilashvili N
Win % 57.4% 48.7%
Hard % 52.5% 47.9%
Clay % 59.3% 50%
Grass % 62.5% 46.8%
Deciding set % 55.6% 51.6%
Tie-breaks % 51.3% 56.1%
Titles (total) 2 6
Last 10 LLLWWLWLWW LWLLWLLLLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#130 Rating #79
34 Age 23
1.85m Height (cm) 1.88m
79kg Weight (kg) 78kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Faria J Basilashvili N
Aces per match 6.64 5.80
Double faults per match 5.14 4.35
Breaks per match 0.93 2.18

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Nikoloz Basilashvili
Rank:130 Elo: 482
L W L L W L L W
Jaime Faria
Rank:79 Elo: 760
L W L L L W W L
Elo favourite:Faria J (edge +278 Elo)

Hard

Nikoloz BasilashviliJaime Faria
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 5 / 15 Matches 60.0% 6 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 52.8% 19 / 36 Matches 54.2% 13 / 24 Matches

Clay

Nikoloz BasilashviliJaime Faria
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 52.2% 12 / 23 Matches 66.7% 26 / 39 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 52.2% 12 / 23 Matches 63.0% 29 / 46 Matches

Grass

Nikoloz BasilashviliJaime Faria
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 44.2% 19 / 43 Matches 64.5% 40 / 62 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 50.8% 33 / 65 Matches 60.2% 50 / 83 Matches
Current rank 130 79

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria
Prize money (career) $8,782,995 USD $814,869 USD
Rating 130 79
Age 34 23
Height 1.85m 1.88m
Weight 79kg 78kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria
Match Wins 44 % 65 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 45 % 65 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % 75 %
Wins in Straight Sets 28 % 37 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 24 %
Won At Least 1 Set 58 % 87 %
Set 1 Win 47 % 68 %
Set 2 Win 40 % 58 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.23 10.27 10.25
Over 6.5 98 % 100 % 99 %
Over 7.5 93 % 86 % 90 %
Over 8.5 86 % 75 % 81 %
Over 9.5 60 % 47 % 54 %
Over 10.5 33 % 35 % 34 %
Over 11.5 33 % 35 % 34 %

Aces

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria Match total
Aces Per Match 6.64 5.80 12.44
Most Aces in a match 43 % 61 % N/A
1+ 100 % 98 % 99 %
2+ 95 % 92 % 99 %
3+ 93 % 82 % 99 %
4+ 86 % 78 % 96 %
5+ 71 % 71 % 92 %

Breaks

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria Match total
Breaks Per Match 0.93 2.18 3.11
Over 0.5 7 % 57 % 100 %
Over 1.5 5 % 57 % 58 %
Over 2.5 5 % 55 % 36 %
Over 3.5 2 % 55 % 31 %
Over 4.5 0 % 55 % 30 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 30 %

Tie-breaks

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.48 0.55 0.51
Over 0.5 43 % 49 % 46 %
Over 1.5 5 % 6 % 5 %
Under 0.5 57 % 51 % 46 %
Under 1.5 95 % 94 % 5 %

Double faults

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria Match total
Double Faults Per Match 5.14 4.35 9.49
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 96 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 90 % 82 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 83 % 67 % 92 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 71 % 55 % 85 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 50 % 43 % 76 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 38 % 31 % 65 %

Net points

Nikoloz Basilashvili Jaime Faria Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 3.29 7.63 10.92
Over 4.5 (5+) 44 % 72 % 58 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 32 % 56 % 44 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 21 % 49 % 35 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 18 % 46 % 32 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 9 % 38 % 24 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 9 % 31 % 20 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.42 90.8% BetBoom
P2 14.00 9.2% BetBoom

Faria J take on Basilashvili N on August 11, 2026 in the ATP. Tsintsinnati, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Faria J 2-0-3, Basilashvili N 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 65% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Faria J — 65%

Pure model vs market (1 · Faria J): model 60% · market 66% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Faria J ✓ Pick65.1%
market66%
2 · Basilashvili N34.9%
market34%

Model estimate: win Faria J 65.1%, win Basilashvili N 34.9%. Model favourite — Faria J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Faria J (odds1.53) Score 2:1 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Fariya Zh: forma PPPVV (2-3)
  • • Basilashvili N: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Fariya Zh: probability 62% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Faria J - Basilashvili N August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Faria J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Faria J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Faria J 65.1% / Basilashvili N 34.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 66.5%
2 33.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.53 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 2.50 ↑ 14.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Faria J
66%
1.42
Basilashvili N
34%
14.00
Total
Over 22.5
50%
6.30
Under 22.5
50%
1.94

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Faria J
5-5LWLWWLLLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.2
Basilashvili N
4-6WWLLLWLLWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 20:48 UTC
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Win Fariya Zh. (1)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 70% 30% 2:0 Under 22.5 Win Fariya Zh. (1)
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:05 UTC
Market 1 93.3% @ 1.01 / 2 6.7% @ 14.00
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Faria J 70%
📐 Math model Faria J 65%
💹 Market Faria J 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Faria J - Basilashvili N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Faria J Basilashvili N Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 65.1% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.244 / LogLoss 0.429
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.8% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.464 / LogLoss 0.658
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Faria J 65.7% 58.9% market and model agree
Basilashvili N 34.3% 41.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko65.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.50).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 65.1% / 34.9% probabilities
Rating 1,535 / 1,288 Faria J / Basilashvili N
RD 160 / 260 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,214-1,856 / 767-1,808 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.77 market consensus · no value · model 34.9%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 65.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% —
2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% —
— — 2.85 35.1%
— — 3.15 31.8%
2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 3.65 27.4%
1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% —
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 10.00 10.0%
— — 7.20 13.9%
— — 1.12 89.3%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.30 76.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Over 19.5 — — 1.12 89.3%
Over 20.5 — — 10.00 10.0%
Over 21.5 1.74 57.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.95 51.3%
Over 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 6.30 15.9%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 25.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Over 26.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Under 21.5 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% —
Under 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-11 · Zhayme Fariya 2:0 Nikoloz Basilashvili
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.45 (Pari) · 2 2.9 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.45 2.75
Winline 1.44 2.78
Fonbet 1.45 2.75
Betcity 1.4 2.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

10 Eysy 5
3 Dvoynye oshibki 4
10 Vsego breyk-poyntov 0
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
69 Vyigrannye Points 56
40 Points na podache 43
13 Poteryannye Points na podache 29
34 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 37
16 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 31
26 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 23
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 20
7 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
5 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 5
10 Geymy na podache 8
12 Vyigrannye geymy 8
3 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Faria J
L L L W W
2026-08-06 2026 Montreal, Canada
Faria J Droguet T 2:0 Faria J
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Faria J Faria J 1:2 O'Connell C
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Faria J Faria J 1:2 Darderi L
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Faria J Faria J 2:0 Bueno G
2026-07-21 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Faria J Van de Zandschulp B 0:2 Faria J
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Basilashvili N
L W L L W
2026-07-29 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Poljicak M 2:1 Basilashvili N Basilashvili N
2026-07-28 2026 San Marino, San Marino
Vrbensky M 1:2 Basilashvili N Basilashvili N
2026-07-20 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Torres T 2:0 Basilashvili N Basilashvili N
2026-07-16 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Basilashvili N 1:2 Tirante T A Basilashvili N
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Choinski J 0:2 Basilashvili N Basilashvili N
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFaria J - Basilashvili N

Faria J
0 matches total
Basilashvili N
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Faria J vs Basilashvili N?

By the PropickAI model, Faria J is favoured — about 65% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Faria J vs Basilashvili N?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Faria J. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Faria J vs Basilashvili N start?

August 11, 2026.