Faria J meet Wu Yibing on August 13, 2026 in the ATP. Tsintsinnati, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Faria J 2-0-3, Wu Yibing 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Wu Yibing — 51%
Pure model vs market (2 · Wu Yibing): model 44% · market 52%Δ −8 ppmodel estimates below the market
51%2
1 · Faria J48.7%
2 · Wu Yibing51.3%
Model estimate: win Faria J 48.7%, win Wu Yibing 51.3%. Model favourite — Wu Yibing.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•liniya na pik P2 1.60→1.85 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
•Model backs U Ibin: probability 51% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.79)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Faria J - Wu Yibing August 13, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Faria J.
Line favourite Fonbet: Faria J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 7.10
Glicko: Faria J 48.7% / Wu Yibing 51.3%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 6.5%
6 books · best price +294.4%
147.9%
252.1%
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 12.35↓ 1.97
Winner 21.60↑ 1.85
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Faria J
48%
1.99
Wu Yibing
52%
7.10
Handicap
Faria J (0.5)
49%
1.94
Wu Yibing (0.5)
51%
1.92
Total
Over 22.5
52%
4.20
Under 22.5
48%
2.02
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Faria J
5-5WLWLWWLLLW
scored 1.5conceded 1.3
Wu Yibing
5-5WLLLLWWWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.2
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Match center
Start13.08.2026 01:35 UTC
Market1 86.8% @ 1.08 / 2 13.2% @ 7.10
Coveragehard
Form5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelWu Yibing 51%
💹 MarketWu Yibing 52%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:0
Events0
Statistics0
SetFaria JWu YibingResult
Set 1636:3
Set 2757:5
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 51.3% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.527 / LogLoss 0.720
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 50.2% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.696
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Faria J47.9%48.7%
Wu Yibing52.1%51.3%market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P248.7% / 51.3%
probabilities
Rating1,548 / 1,448
Faria J / Wu Yibing
RD154 / 250
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,241-1,856 / 949-1,947
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
27.10
Fonbet · weak value +264.4% · model 51.3%
11.08
Fonbet · no value · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 -0.51.82
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.51.92
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.93
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.51.78
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.52.95
market consensus · line only
Over 18.51.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
By the PropickAI model, Faria J is favoured — about 51% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Faria J vs Wu Yibing?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Faria J. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Faria J vs Wu Yibing start?
August 13, 2026.
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