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AI verdict

AI pick Tsitsipas S win probability ~72% confidence High best odds 1.32

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tsitsipas S. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
14.08.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

Royer V - Tsitsipas S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 14.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
14.08.2026 14:00 UTC Finished
Royer V
Royer V
Rank #49 Elo 1020
53Average Form
L W W L W W W W
Tsitsipas S
Tsitsipas S
Rank #78 Elo 768
41Struggling Form
L W W W W W L L
0:2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Royer V Tsitsipas S
Win % 59% 65.8%
Hard % 55.3% 63.2%
Clay % 64% 74%
Grass % 50% 53.3%
Deciding set % 58.5% 58.2%
Tie-breaks % 53.4% 55.1%
Titles (total) 3 13
Last 10 LWLLWWWLWL LWWLWWWWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#49 Rating #78
28 Age 25
1.93m Height (cm) 1.88m
90kg Weight (kg) 86kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Royer V Tsitsipas S
Aces per match 6.00 4.58
Double faults per match 2.23 2.09
Breaks per match 1.02 2.36

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Rank:49 Elo: 1020
L W W L W W W W
Valentin Royer
Rank:78 Elo: 768
L W W W W W L L
Elo favourite:Tsitsipas S (edge +252 Elo)

Hard

Stefanos TsitsipasValentin Royer
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.7% 7 / 15 Matches 23.1% 3 / 13 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 42.9% 9 / 21 Matches 48.8% 21 / 43 Matches

Clay

Stefanos TsitsipasValentin Royer
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 64.3% 9 / 14 Matches 57.9% 11 / 19 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 64.3% 9 / 14 Matches 57.9% 11 / 19 Matches

Grass

Stefanos TsitsipasValentin Royer
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 52.8% 19 / 36 Matches 41.0% 16 / 39 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 50.0% 21 / 42 Matches 49.3% 34 / 69 Matches
Current rank 49 78

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer
Prize money (career) $35,144,031 USD $214,314 USD
Rating 49 78
Age 28 25
Height 1.93m 1.88m
Weight 90kg 86kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer
Match Wins 53 % 41 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 53 % 42 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 33 %
Wins in Straight Sets 36 % 23 %
Wins From Behind 11 % 18 %
Won At Least 1 Set 69 % 59 %
Set 1 Win 53 % 33 %
Set 2 Win 53 % 46 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.94 9.59 9.77
Over 6.5 97 % 97 % 97 %
Over 7.5 93 % 91 % 92 %
Over 8.5 87 % 70 % 79 %
Over 9.5 63 % 52 % 58 %
Over 10.5 23 % 18 % 21 %
Over 11.5 23 % 18 % 21 %

Aces

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer Match total
Aces Per Match 6.00 4.58 10.58
Most Aces in a match 53 % 33 % N/A
1+ 97 % 94 % 99 %
2+ 93 % 94 % 99 %
3+ 90 % 70 % 99 %
4+ 77 % 67 % 94 %
5+ 67 % 33 % 92 %

Breaks

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.02 2.36 3.38
Over 0.5 13 % 64 % 100 %
Over 1.5 10 % 55 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 55 % 50 %
Over 3.5 0 % 52 % 32 %
Over 4.5 0 % 52 % 29 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 28 %

Tie-breaks

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.7 0.36 0.53
Over 0.5 50 % 30 % 40 %
Over 1.5 17 % 6 % 11 %
Under 0.5 50 % 70 % 40 %
Under 1.5 83 % 94 % 11 %

Double faults

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.23 2.09 4.32
Over 0.5 (1+) 83 % 79 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 53 % 55 % 86 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 47 % 33 % 77 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 33 % 18 % 65 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 7 % 9 % 54 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 9 % 36 %

Net points

Stefanos Tsitsipas Valentin Royer Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.55 8.56 17.11
Over 4.5 (5+) 90 % 88 % 89 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 86 % 81 % 84 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 76 % 77 % 77 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 62 % 77 % 70 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 52 % 69 % 61 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 43 % 54 % 49 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.70 26.3% BetBoom
P2 1.32 73.7% BetBoom

Royer V meet Tsitsipas S on August 14, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tsitsipas S — 72%

1 · Royer V28.4%
market 26%
2 · Tsitsipas S ✓ Pick71.6%
market 74%

Model estimate: win Royer V 28.4%, win Tsitsipas S 71.6%. Model favourite — Tsitsipas S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tsitsipas S (odds1.26) Score 0:2 confidence 73% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Roye V
  • • 🇫🇷 — Tsitsipas S
  • • 🇬🇷 (tennis)
  • • Roye V
  • • 🇫🇷: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Tsitsipas S
  • • 🇬🇷: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Tsitsipas S
  • • 🇬🇷: probability 73% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Royer V - Tsitsipas S August 14, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tsitsipas S.

Line favourite market consensus: Tsitsipas S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.70 / 2 1.32
  • Glicko: Royer V 28.4% / Tsitsipas S 71.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 6 books · best price +3.4%
1 26.0%
2 ✓ Pick 74.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Royer V
26%
3.70
Tsitsipas S
74%
1.32
Total
Over 4.5
52%
1.79
Under 4.5
48%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 14.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 26.3% @ 3.70 / 2 73.7% @ 1.32
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tsitsipas S 72%
💹 Market Tsitsipas S 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Royer V - Tsitsipas S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Metric Royer V Tsitsipas S SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 71.6% fact: away hit / ROI 32.3% / Brier 0.161 / LogLoss 0.334
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.6% fact: away hit / ROI 32.3% / Brier 0.449 / LogLoss 0.643
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Royer V 26.0% 33.2% market and model agree
Tsitsipas S 74.0% 66.8% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko28.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.25).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 28.4% / 71.6% probabilities
Rating 1,756 / 1,813 Royer V / Tsitsipas S
RD 141 / 130 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,473-2,038 / 1,552-2,073 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 71.6%
1 3.64 market consensus · no value · model 28.4%
Total
Over 0.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 — — 2.28 43.9%
Over 2.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 — — 1.79 55.9%
Over 6.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 10.5 — — 3.05 32.8%
Over 11.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
Over 12.5 — — 4.20 23.8%
Over 20.5 — — 1.56 64.1%
Over 21.5 1.75 57.1% — 1.71 58.5%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.28 43.9%
Over 24.5 — — 2.32 43.1%
Under 21.5 2.05 48.8% — —
Under 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.66 27.3%
1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Royer VLLWLLWLLWL
Tsitsipas SWLWWLWWWWW
H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-14 · Valentin Roye 0:2 Stefanos Tsitsipas
2025-06-30 · Valentin Roye Stefanos Tsitsipas
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.1 (Betcity) · 2 1.27 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.75 1.27
Winline 3.8 1.27
Fonbet 3.75 1.27
Betcity 4.1 1.24
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 4
4 Dvoynye oshibki 2
2 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
70 Vyigrannye Points 85
45 Points na podache 51
34 Poteryannye Points na podache 25
46 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 42
29 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 32
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 28
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 23
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
3 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 7
9 Geymy na podache 10
11 Vyigrannye geymy 14
3 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
Royer V
L W L W W
05.08 23:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Royer V 0:2 Pol T. 🇺🇸Pol T. 🇺🇸
04.08 00:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Royer V 2:1 Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸Karreno-Busta P. 🇪🇸
14.07 12:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Royer V 0:2 Molchan A. 🇸🇰Molchan A. 🇸🇰
10.07 14:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Yassy (Romania), clay
Royer V 2:1 Deniel T. 🇯🇵Deniel T. 🇯🇵
09.07 05:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Yassy (Romania), clay
Royer V 2:1 Wallin O. 🇸🇪Wallin O. 🇸🇪
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Tsitsipas S
W L W W W
04.08 15:05 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Monreal (Canada), hard
Tsitsipas S 2:0 Damm M. 🇺🇸Damm M. 🇺🇸
28.07 20:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Vashington 🇺🇸, hard
Tsitsipas S 1:2 De Minaur A. 🇦🇺De Minaur A. 🇦🇺
19.07 07:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Tsitsipas S 2:1 Kollinon R. 🇧🇪Kollinon R. 🇧🇪
18.07 09:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Tsitsipas S 2:1 Shevchenko A. 🇰🇿Shevchenko A. 🇰🇿
17.07 13:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Tsitsipas S 2:1 Rinderknekh A. 🇫🇷Rinderknekh A. 🇫🇷
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

More predictions

Royer V – Miguel L. A. (Bra) 17.08 Walton A – Buse I 16.08 Shelton B – Faria J 16.08 Sonego L – Tiafo F. (Ssha) 17.08 Paul T – Vallejo A D 17.08 Zverev A – Atmane, Terence 17.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Royer V vs Tsitsipas S?

By the PropickAI model, Tsitsipas S is favoured — about 72% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Royer V vs Tsitsipas S?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tsitsipas S. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Royer V vs Tsitsipas S start?

August 14, 2026.