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AI verdict

AI pick Zheng Michael win probability ~68% confidence High best odds 1.02

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Zheng Michael. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
13.08.2026 01:45 UTC Match prediction

Svajda T - Zheng Michael

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 13.08.2026 01:45 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 01:45 UTC Finished
Svajda T
Svajda T
Rank #113 Elo 565
64Average Form
W L W L W L W L
Zheng Michael
Zheng Michael
Rank #383 Elo 129
57Average Form
L W L W W W L W
1:2 6:3 5:7 3:6
1 2 3 GP
Svajda T 6 5 3 1
Zheng Michael 3 7 6 2
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Svajda T Zheng Michael
Win % 62.5% 64.8%
Hard % 62.5% 66.7%
Clay % 0% 57.1%
Grass % 0% 55.6%
Deciding set % 52.4% 53.1%
Tie-breaks % 55.6% 40.5%
Titles (total) 4 4
Last 10 WLWLWWLWWW LWLWLWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#113 Rating #383
22 Age 20
1.88m Height (cm) 1.75m
73kg Weight (kg) 69kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Svajda T Zheng Michael
Aces per match 4.42 3.25
Double faults per match 2.33 2.12
Breaks per match 1.48 2.41

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Michael Zheng
Rank:113 Elo: 565
W L W L W L W L
Trevor Svajda
Rank:383 Elo: 129
L W L W W W L W
Elo favourite:Zheng Michael (edge +436 Elo)

Hard

Michael ZhengTrevor Svajda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 12 / 18 Matches 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 74.2% 23 / 31 Matches 57.1% 16 / 28 Matches

Clay

Michael ZhengTrevor Svajda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 75.0% 3 / 4 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Michael ZhengTrevor Svajda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 63.6% 21 / 33 Matches 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 69.6% 32 / 46 Matches 57.1% 16 / 28 Matches
Current rank 113 383

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda
Prize money (career) $81,357 USD $35,793 USD
Rating 113 383
Age 22 20
Height 1.88m 1.75m
Weight 73kg 69kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda
Match Wins 64 % 57 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 63 % 57 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 67 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 36 % 38 %
Wins From Behind 33 % 10 %
Won At Least 1 Set 82 % 67 %
Set 1 Win 58 % 57 %
Set 2 Win 64 % 48 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.24 9.38 9.81
Over 6.5 96 % 95 % 96 %
Over 7.5 96 % 81 % 89 %
Over 8.5 92 % 62 % 77 %
Over 9.5 71 % 48 % 60 %
Over 10.5 25 % 19 % 22 %
Over 11.5 25 % 19 % 22 %

Aces

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda Match total
Aces Per Match 4.42 3.25 7.67
Most Aces in a match 46 % 31 % N/A
1+ 88 % 94 % 96 %
2+ 75 % 69 % 88 %
3+ 67 % 56 % 88 %
4+ 54 % 31 % 77 %
5+ 42 % 25 % 75 %

Breaks

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.48 2.41 3.89
Over 0.5 58 % 75 % 100 %
Over 1.5 58 % 69 % 100 %
Over 2.5 17 % 63 % 59 %
Over 3.5 8 % 6 % 41 %
Over 4.5 8 % 6 % 41 %
Over 5.5 8 % 6 % 13 %

Tie-breaks

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.33 0.48 0.4
Over 0.5 29 % 48 % 38 %
Over 1.5 4 % 0 % 2 %
Under 0.5 71 % 52 % 38 %
Under 1.5 96 % 100 % 2 %

Double faults

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.33 2.12 4.45
Over 0.5 (1+) 79 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 63 % 75 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 38 % 31 % 89 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 25 % 6 % 67 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 17 % 0 % 56 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 0 % 43 %

Net points

Michael Zheng Trevor Svajda Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 11 5.94 16.94
Over 4.5 (5+) 90 % 75 % 83 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 80 % 63 % 72 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 80 % 50 % 65 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 80 % 38 % 59 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 80 % 25 % 53 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 60 % 13 % 37 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.20 30.1% BetBoom
P2 1.38 69.9% BetBoom

Svajda T take on Zheng Michael on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Svajda T 3-0-2, Zheng Michael 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Zheng Michael — 68%

1 · Svajda T32.4%
market 30%
2 · Zheng Michael ✓ Pick67.6%
market 70%

Model estimate: win Svajda T 32.4%, win Zheng Michael 67.6%. Model favourite — Zheng Michael.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zheng Michael (odds1.36) Score 1:2 confidence 68% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Svayda T: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Chzhen Maykl: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.40→1.37 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Chzhen Maykl: probability 68% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.36)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Svajda T - Zheng Michael August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zheng Michael.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zheng Michael. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Svajda T 32.4% / Zheng Michael 67.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0% 6 books · best price +2.6%
1 30.5%
2 ✓ Pick 69.6%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 3.00 ↑ 3.10
Winner 2 1.40 ↓ 1.37

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Svajda T
31%
12.50
Zheng Michael
69%
1.38
Total
Over 9.5
51%
1.82
Under 9.5
49%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Svajda T
5-5LWLLWWLWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.1
Zheng Michael
7-3WWWLWLWLWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 13.08.2026 01:45 UTC
Market 1 7.5% @ 12.50 / 2 92.5% @ 1.02
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Zheng Michael 68%
💹 Market Zheng Michael 70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Svajda T - Zheng Michael

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Svajda T Zheng Michael Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 5 7 5:7
Set 3 3 6 3:6
Metric Svajda T Zheng Michael SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 67.6% fact: away hit / ROI 38.0% / Brier 0.210 / LogLoss 0.391
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.1% fact: away hit / ROI 38.0% / Brier 0.459 / LogLoss 0.652
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Svajda T 30.8% 38.9%
Zheng Michael 69.2% 61.1% model more cautious than market
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko32.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 32.4% / 67.6% probabilities
Rating 1,552 / 1,707 Svajda T / Zheng Michael
RD 226 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,100-2,005 / 1,332-2,082 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 67.6%
1 3.02 market consensus · no value · model 32.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.20 45.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.87 53.5%
2.65 37.7%
2.55 39.2%
1.05 95.2%
1.17 85.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.70 37.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.95 33.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.60 62.5%
2.20 45.5%
1.88 53.2%
1.42 70.4%
1.48 67.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
2.60 38.5%
1.43 69.9%
8.50 11.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 20.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 23.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 25.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 26.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 27.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 28.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 29.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 30.5 4.50 22.2%
Over 31.5 5.70 17.5%
Under 18.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 19.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 20.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.43 69.9%
Under 2.5 2.60 38.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-13 · Trevor Svayda 1:2 Maykl Chzhen
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.3 (Betcity) · 2 1.36 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.15 1.35
Winline 3.15 1.36
Fonbet 3.15 1.35
Betcity 3.3 1.34
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Eysy 12
4 Dvoynye oshibki 6
14 Vsego breyk-poyntov 11
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
112 Vyigrannye Points 116
73 Points na podache 70
46 Poteryannye Points na podache 39
54 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 67
61 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 36
39 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 49
34 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 21
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
4 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 6
12 Geymy na podache 13
14 Vyigrannye geymy 16
4 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Svajda T
W L W L W
2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Svajda T Mpetshi Perricard G 1:2 Svajda T
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda T Martin Andres 2:0 Svajda T
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda T Stephenson E 0:2 Svajda T
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Svajda T Svajda T 1:2 Mensik J
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda T McDonald M 0:2 Svajda T
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Zheng Michael
W L W L W
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Echargui M 1:2 Zheng Michael Zheng Michael
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Zheng Michael 1:2 Kecmanovic M Zheng Michael
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Zheng Michael 2:0 Nishikori K Zheng Michael
2026-07-30 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Gea A 2:1 Zheng Michael Zheng Michael
2026-07-29 2026 Los Cabos, Mexico
Zheng Michael 2:0 Landaluce M Zheng Michael
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySvajda T - Zheng Michael

Svajda T
0 matches total
Zheng Michael
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Recent form

Svajda T LWLWLW
Zheng Michael WWLWLW

More predictions

Marozsan F – Zheng Michael 15.08 Shang Juncheng – Sonego L 14.08 Faria J – Brooksby J 14.08 Landaluce M – Arnaldi M 15.08 Kecmanovic M – Cobolli F 15.08 Blockx A – Navone M 15.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Svajda T vs Zheng Michael?

By the PropickAI model, Zheng Michael is favoured — about 68% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Svajda T vs Zheng Michael?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Zheng Michael. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Svajda T vs Zheng Michael start?

August 13, 2026.