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ATP. Tsintsinnati
ATP. Tsintsinnati International
11.08.2026 18:05 UTC Match prediction

Van Assche L - Heide G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Tsintsinnati
ATP. Tsintsinnati hard 11.08.2026 18:05 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 18:05 UTC Finished
Van Assche L
Van Assche L
Rank #49 Elo 998
67Average Form
L W W W W W L W
Heide G
Heide G
Rank #131 Elo 474
61Average Form
W W W W L W L W
2:0 6:3 6:4
1 2 GP
Van Assche L 6 6 2
Heide G 3 4 0
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Van Assche L Heide G
Win % 0% 63%
Hard % 0% 59.4%
Clay % 0% 63.6%
Grass % 0% 33.3%
Deciding set % 0% 47%
Tie-breaks % 0% 58.7%
Titles (total) 0 7
Last 10 L LLWWLWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#49 Rating #131
22 Age 24
1.78m Height (cm) 1.91m
72kg Weight (kg) 83kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Van Assche L Heide G
Aces per match 2.92 4.00
Double faults per match 3.1 5
Breaks per match 2.13 2.23

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Luca van Assche
Rank:49 Elo: 998
L W W W W W L W
Gustavo Heide
Rank:131 Elo: 474
W W W W L W L W
Elo favourite:Van Assche L (edge +524 Elo)

Hard

Luca van AsscheGustavo Heide
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 72.0% 18 / 25 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 65.9% 27 / 41 Matches 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches

Clay

Luca van AsscheGustavo Heide
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches 66.7% 18 / 27 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches 73.1% 38 / 52 Matches

Grass

Luca van AsscheGustavo Heide
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 50.0% 1 / 2 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 66.7% 36 / 54 Matches 60.6% 20 / 33 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 64.3% 45 / 70 Matches 70.3% 45 / 64 Matches
Current rank 49 131

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
Prize money (career) $1,626,984 USD $312,810 USD
Rating 49 131
Age 22 24
Height 1.78m 1.91m
Weight 72kg 83kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
Match Wins 67 % 61 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 69 % 63 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 45 %
Wins From Behind 28 % 13 %
Won At Least 1 Set 83 % 73 %
Set 1 Win 57 % 61 %
Set 2 Win 69 % 58 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide
Aces 2 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st serve percentage 58% 51%
1st serve points won 85% (22/26) 76% (19/25)
2nd serve points won 68% (13/19) 54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved 2/2 0/1
1st return points won 24% (6/25) 15% (4/26)
2nd return points won 46% (11/24) 32% (6/19)
Break Points Converted 1/1 0/2
Winners 9 16
Unforced errors 16 32
Net points won 100% (4/4) 33% (2/6)
Service Points Won 78% (35/45) 65% (32/49)
Return Points Won 35% (17/49) 22% (10/45)
Total Points Won 55% (52/94) 45% (42/94)
Last 10 balls 6 4
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 100% (8/8) 86% (6/7)
Return games won 14% (1/7) 0% (0/8)
Total games won 60% (9/15) 40% (6/15)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.33 9.09 9.21
Over 6.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 7.5 82 % 80 % 81 %
Over 8.5 69 % 47 % 58 %
Over 9.5 37 % 30 % 34 %
Over 10.5 16 % 13 % 15 %
Over 11.5 16 % 13 % 15 %

Aces

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Aces Per Match 2.92 4.00 6.92
Most Aces in a match 29 % 57 % N/A
1+ 94 % 93 % 100 %
2+ 73 % 86 % 96 %
3+ 47 % 68 % 93 %
4+ 29 % 57 % 81 %
5+ 22 % 36 % 73 %

Breaks

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.13 2.23 4.36
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 7 % 100 %
Over 2.5 67 % 4 % 100 %
Over 3.5 12 % 0 % 74 %
Over 4.5 8 % 0 % 47 %
Over 5.5 2 % 0 % 4 %

Tie-breaks

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.2 0.23 0.21
Over 0.5 20 % 23 % 21 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 80 % 77 % 21 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.1 5 8.1
Over 0.5 (1+) 92 % 96 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 80 % 86 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 51 % 82 % 86 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 35 % 68 % 76 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 27 % 61 % 61 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 46 % 52 %

Net points

Luca van Assche Gustavo Heide Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.47 6.11 13.58
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 44 % 60 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 64 % 22 % 43 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 31 % 17 % 24 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 28 % 17 % 23 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 25 % 11 % 18 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 14 % 6 % 10 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.28 92.1% BetBoom
P2 15.00 7.9% BetBoom

Van Assche L face Heide G on August 11, 2026 in the ATP. Tsintsinnati, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Van Assche L 4-0-1, Heide G 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 73% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Van Assche L — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Van Assche L): model 64% · market 74% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Van Assche L ✓ Pick73.0%
market74%
2 · Heide G27.0%
market26%

Model estimate: win Van Assche L 73.0%, win Heide G 27.0%. Model favourite — Van Assche L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Van Assche L (odds1.50) Score 2:1 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Van Ash L: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Eyde G: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Van Ash L: probability 64% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Van Assche L - Heide G August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Van Assche L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Van Assche L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Van Assche L 73.0% / Heide G 27.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.3% 6 books · best price +2.8%
1 ✓ Pick 74.4%
2 25.6%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.50 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 2.65 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Van Assche L
75%
1.28
Heide G
25%
15.00
Total
Over 20.5
51%
2.10
Under 20.5
49%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Van Assche L
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
scored 1.8conceded 1.0
Heide G
6-4WLWWWLWWLL
scored 1.2conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 16:47 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:AH1(-4.5)
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 78% 22% 2:0 Under 21.5 AH1(-4.5)
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 18:05 UTC
Market 1 93.7% @ 1.01 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Van Assche L 78%
📐 Math model Van Assche L 73%
💹 Market Van Assche L 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

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Match center

Van Assche L - Heide G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Van Assche L Heide G Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Metric Van Assche L Heide G SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 16 32 final
Vinnery 9 16 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 1/1 0/2 final
Points na prieme 35% (17/49) 22% (10/45) final
Eysy 2 4 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 2/2 0/1 final
Dvoynye oshibki 2 2 final
Pervaya podacha, % 58% 51% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 73.0% fact: home hit / ROI 28.0% / Brier 0.146 / LogLoss 0.315
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 28.0% / Brier 0.446 / LogLoss 0.639
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Van Assche L 74.0% 64.4% model more cautious than market
Heide G 26.0% 35.6%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko73.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.49).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.0% / 27.0% probabilities
Rating 1,823 / 1,331 Van Assche L / Heide G
RD 157 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,508-2,137 / 822-1,839 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.71 market consensus · no value · model 27.0%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 73.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.27 78.7%
1.71 58.5% 1.79 55.9% —
1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4% —
— — 3.70 27.0%
— — 3.60 27.8%
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% —
1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0% —
— — 3.45 29.0%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 2.80 35.7%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 8.50 11.8%
— — 1.20 83.3%
— — 1.33 75.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
11.50 8.7%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
Over 19.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6%
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 7.10 14.1%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.45 40.8%
Over 23.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
Under 20.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.50 8.7%
Under 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-11 · Lyuka Van Ash 2:0 Gustavo Khayde
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.33 (Winline) · 2 3.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.32 3.4
Winline 1.33 3.3
Fonbet 1.32 3.4
Betcity 1.3 3.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

2 Eysy 4
5 Dvoynye oshibki 2
2 Vsego breyk-poyntov 2
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
68 Vyigrannye Points 52
47 Points na podache 35
17 Poteryannye Points na podache 21
37 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 29
22 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 25
31 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 22
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 13
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 4
8 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 2
10 Geymy na podache 7
12 Vyigrannye geymy 7
3 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Van Assche L
L W W W W
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Van Assche L Van Assche L 1:2 Droguet T
2026-07-26 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:1 Blockx A
2026-07-25 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:0 Gaston H
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Rublev A 1:2 Van Assche L
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:1 Carreno Busta P
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Heide G
L L W W L
2026-07-18 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria, Qualifying
Heide G 0:2 Feldbausch K Heide G
2026-07-10 2026 Iasi, Romania
Droguet T 2:0 Heide G Heide G
2026-07-09 2026 Iasi, Romania
Cretu C 1:2 Heide G Heide G
2026-07-07 2026 Iasi, Romania
Poljak D 0:2 Heide G Heide G
2026-07-04 2026 Milan, Italy
Heide G 0:2 Cecchinato M Heide G
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVan Assche L - Heide G

Van Assche L
0 matches total
Heide G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history