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AI verdict

AI pick Wolf J J win probability ~60% confidence High best odds 1.06

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Wolf J J. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
12.08.2026 02:30 UTC Match prediction

Wolf J J - Mochizuki S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 12.08.2026 02:30 UTC Finished
12.08.2026 02:30 UTC Finished
Wolf J J
Wolf J J
Rank #282 Elo 195
71Good Form
W W W W W L W W
Mochizuki S
Mochizuki S
Rank #117 Elo 547
47Struggling Form
W W L W W L W L
2:1 6:2 2:6 6:3
1 2 3 GP
Wolf J J 6 2 6 2
Mochizuki S 2 6 3 1
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Wolf J J Mochizuki S
Win % 0% 53.2%
Hard % 0% 52.2%
Clay % 0% 51.5%
Grass % 0% 61.5%
Deciding set % 0% 53%
Tie-breaks % 0% 57.3%
Titles (total) 0 2
Last 10 LL LWLWLWWWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#282 Rating #117
27 Age 23
1.83m Height (cm) 1.75m
81kg Weight (kg) 70kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Wolf J J Mochizuki S
Aces per match 6.13 2.73
Double faults per match 2.47 5.35
Breaks per match 9.5 3.94

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Jeffrey John Wolf
Rank:282 Elo: 195
W W W W W L W W
Shintaro Mochizuki
Rank:117 Elo: 547
W W L W W L W L
Elo favourite:Mochizuki S (edge +352 Elo)

Hard

Jeffrey John WolfShintaro Mochizuki
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 75.0% 12 / 16 Matches 42.1% 8 / 19 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 75.0% 12 / 16 Matches 50.0% 22 / 44 Matches

Clay

Jeffrey John WolfShintaro Mochizuki
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 0.0% 0 / 2 Matches

Grass

Jeffrey John WolfShintaro Mochizuki
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki
H2H wins 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 4 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 71.4% 20 / 28 Matches 47.1% 16 / 34 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 71.4% 20 / 28 Matches 50.9% 30 / 59 Matches
Current rank 282 117

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki
Prize money (career) $2,457,680 USD $781,510 USD
Rating 282 117
Age 27 23
Height 1.83m 1.75m
Weight 81kg 70kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki
Match Wins 71 % 47 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 71 % 38 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) N/A 75 %
Wins in Straight Sets 54 % 21 %
Wins From Behind 27 % 18 %
Won At Least 1 Set 89 % 68 %
Set 1 Win 68 % 44 %
Set 2 Win 75 % 44 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 13 2022 Rome US Chall. Men (Hard) Jeffrey John Wolf 2 – 0 Shintaro Mochizuki
Oct 26 2021 Las Vegas Chall. Men (Hard) Jeffrey John Wolf 2 – 0 Shintaro Mochizuki

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.71 8.88 9.3
Over 6.5 96 % 88 % 92 %
Over 7.5 86 % 77 % 82 %
Over 8.5 71 % 62 % 67 %
Over 9.5 43 % 42 % 43 %
Over 10.5 29 % 12 % 21 %
Over 11.5 29 % 12 % 21 %

Aces

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki Match total
Aces Per Match 6.13 2.73 8.86
Most Aces in a match 27 % 23 % N/A
1+ 100 % 73 % 98 %
2+ 100 % 69 % 94 %
3+ 93 % 46 % 93 %
4+ 73 % 35 % 85 %
5+ 67 % 27 % 83 %

Breaks

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki Match total
Breaks Per Match 9.5 3.94 13.44
Over 0.5 100 % 92 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 85 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 85 % 96 %
Over 3.5 100 % 38 % 96 %
Over 4.5 100 % 8 % 96 %
Over 5.5 100 % 0 % 93 %

Tie-breaks

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.36 0.35 0.35
Over 0.5 36 % 31 % 33 %
Over 1.5 0 % 4 % 2 %
Under 0.5 64 % 69 % 33 %
Under 1.5 100 % 96 % 2 %

Double faults

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.47 5.35 7.82
Over 0.5 (1+) 93 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 60 % 96 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 47 % 85 % 100 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 20 % 65 % 95 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 13 % 58 % 90 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 13 % 50 % 71 %

Net points

Jeffrey John Wolf Shintaro Mochizuki Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 4.75 10.3 15.05
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 87 % 81 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 50 % 87 % 69 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 50 % 87 % 69 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 25 % 87 % 56 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 73 % 37 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 67 % 34 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.59 62.1% BetBoom
P2 2.60 38.0% BetBoom

Wolf J J face Mochizuki S on August 12, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Wolf J J 5-0-0, Mochizuki S 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Wolf J J — 60%

1 · Wolf J J ✓ Pick60.2%
market 62%
2 · Mochizuki S39.8%
market 38%

Model estimate: win Wolf J J 60.2%, win Mochizuki S 39.8%. Model favourite — Wolf J J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Wolf J J (odds1.56) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Vulf Dzh: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Motidzuki Sh: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.60→1.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Vulf Dzh: probability 53% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolf J J - Mochizuki S August 12, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wolf J J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wolf J J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Wolf J J 60.2% / Mochizuki S 39.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0% 4 books · best price +2.7%
1 ✓ Pick 62.3%
2 37.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.60 ↓ 1.50
Winner 2 2.30 ↑ 2.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Wolf J J
62%
1.54
Mochizuki S
38%
8.50
Total
Over 9.5
51%
1.82
Under 9.5
49%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
2.0Average score0.0

Head-to-head matches: 2 · average total 2.0 (goals)

Team form

Wolf J J
9-1WWLWWWWWWW
scored 1.9conceded 0.6
Mochizuki S
6-4WLWWWLWLWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 12.08.2026 02:30 UTC
Market 1 88.9% @ 1.06 / 2 11.1% @ 8.50
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Wolf J J 60%
💹 Market Wolf J J 62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Wolf J J - Mochizuki S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Wolf J J Mochizuki S Result
Set 1 6 2 6:2
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 6 3 6:3
Metric Wolf J J Mochizuki S SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 60.2% fact: home hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.316 / LogLoss 0.507
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.2% fact: home hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.476 / LogLoss 0.669
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Wolf J J 59.7% 56.1% market and model agree
Mochizuki S 40.3% 43.9% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko60.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.30).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 60.2% / 39.8% probabilities
Rating 1,987 / 1,541 Wolf J J / Mochizuki S
RD 148 / 154 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,692-2,282 / 1,233-1,849 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 39.8%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 60.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.30 market consensus · line only
Over 15.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.33 75.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.82 55.0%
2.65 37.7%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.90 34.5%
3.05 32.8%
11.00 9.1%
9.50 10.5%
2.30 43.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.38 72.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
13.00 7.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 15.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 16.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 17.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 18.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 19.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 20.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 23.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 24.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 25.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 26.5 11.50 8.7%
Over 28.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 15.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 16.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 17.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 18.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 19.5 1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 2.5 8.50 11.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0
2026-08-12 · Dzheffri-Dzhon Vulf 2:1 Sintaro Motidzuki
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.57 (Winline) · 2 2.7 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.53 2.5
Winline 1.57 2.4
Fonbet 1.53 2.5
Betcity 1.47 2.7
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

6 Eysy 5
6 Dvoynye oshibki 5
16 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
5 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
84 Vyigrannye Points 71
42 Points na podache 45
26 Poteryannye Points na podache 42
33 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 46
29 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 36
25 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 31
17 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 14
15 Maks. ochkov podryad 10
10 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 0
9 Geymy na podache 7
14 Vyigrannye geymy 11
5 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Wolf J J
W W W W W
2026-08-01 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Wolf J J Wolf J J 2:0 Lajal M
2026-07-31 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Wolf J J Hara Friend J D 0:2 Wolf J J
2026-07-31 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Wolf J J Matsuoka H 1:2 Wolf J J
2026-07-30 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Wolf J J Zink T 0:2 Wolf J J
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Wolf J J Wolf J J 2:1 Zhang Zhizhen
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Mochizuki S
L W W L L
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Mochizuki S 0:2 Marozsan F Mochizuki S
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Mochizuki S 2:1 Sweeny D Mochizuki S
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Mochizuki S 2:1 Broom C Mochizuki S
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Mochizuki S 0:2 Matsuoka H Mochizuki S
2026-07-25 2026 Winnipeg, Canada
Mochizuki S 0:2 Draxl L Mochizuki S
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolf J J - Mochizuki S

Wolf J J
0 matches total
Mochizuki S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolf J J vs Mochizuki S?

By the PropickAI model, Wolf J J is favoured — about 60% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Wolf J J vs Mochizuki S?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Wolf J J. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Wolf J J vs Mochizuki S start?

August 12, 2026.