Who is the favourite in Cerundolo J M vs Baez S?

By the PropickAI model, Baez S is favoured — about 50% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Cerundolo J M vs Baez S?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Baez S. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Baez S win probability ~50%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Baez S. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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ATP. Uinston-Seylem International

3rd round

26.08.2026 20:45 UTC Match prediction

Cerundolo J M - Baez S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ATP. Uinston-Seylem

ATP. Uinston-Seylem 3rd round hard 26.08.2026 20:45 UTC Finished

26.08.2026 20:45 UTC 3rd round Finished

Cerundolo J M Argentina

W L W W L

Baez S Argentina

W L W W W

2:0 6:2 6:0

1 2 GP

Cerundolo J M 6 6 2

Baez S 2 0 0

1 2

Stadium: Veyk Forest Tennis Senter. Coverage: hard

Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

	Cerundolo J M	Baez S
Win %	59.9%	52.7%
Hard %	46.3%	38.3%
Clay %	63.7%	62.7%
Grass %	25%	25%
Deciding set %	64.1%	54.1%
Tie-breaks %	60.8%	46.3%
Titles (total)	10	8
Last 10	WLWWLWLLWW	LWWWLWLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Argentina Country Argentina

- Rating -

24 Age 25

183 Height (cm) 170

75 Weight (kg) 70

Levsha Hand Pravsha

8 Seed 10

hard Coverage hard

0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Cerundolo J M

47% 17 / 36

47% 17 / 36

Sintetika

no data

clay

10 iz 21

grass

2 iz 4

hard

5 iz 11

Baez S

50% 24 / 48

50% 24 / 48

Sintetika

no data

clay

11 iz 23

grass

0 iz 1

hard

13 iz 24

Head-to-head history

Uinston-Seylem

Odds

P1 2.35 40.5% BetBoom

P2 1.60 59.5% BetBoom

Cerundolo J M face Baez S on August 26, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cerundolo J M 3-0-2, Baez S 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Baez S — 50%

1 · Cerundolo J M49.8%

2 · Baez S50.2%

Model estimate: win Cerundolo J M 49.8%, win Baez S 50.2%. Model favourite — Baez S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cerundolo J M - Baez S August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Glicko: Cerundolo J M 49.8% / Baez S 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 94.4%

2 5.6%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.20 ↑ 2.35

Winner 2 1.67 ↓ 1.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

1Wins3

0.5Sets on average1.8

Head-to-head matches: 4 · average total 2.3 (sets)

Team form

Cerundolo J M

6-4WWLLWLWWLW

sets for 1.3sets against 1.1

Baez S

6-4LWLWLWWWLW

sets for 1.4sets against 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Winston Salem, USA

1/32-finals (R64)

Damm Jr, Martin2

Shelbayh, Abdullah0

Shimabukuro, Sho0

Kecmanovic, Miomir2

Sonego, Lorenzo2

Herbert, Pierre-Hugues1

Vandecasteele, Quinn0

Duckworth, James2

Gorzny, Sebastian1

Hewitt, Cruz2

Choinski, Jan1

Rottgering, Mees2

Balshaw, Felix0

Kovacevic, Aleksandar2

Mpetshi Perricard, Giovanni0

Brooksby, Jenson2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar2

Giron, Marcos0

Safiullin, Roman1

Grenier, Hugo2

Comesana, Francisco2

Wu, Yibing0

Walton, Adam2

De Jong, Jesper0

Hijikata, Rinky2

Blanch, Darwin0

Majchrzak, Kamil0

Bonzi, Benjamin2

Carreno Busta, Pablo0

Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0

Landaluce, Martin1

Bellucci, Mattia2

1/16-finals (R32)

Medvedev, Daniil0

Damm Jr, Martin2

Kecmanovic, Miomir0

Marozsan, Fabian2

Mannarino, Adrian0

Sonego, Lorenzo2

Duckworth, James2

Navone, Mariano0

Fery, Arthur2

Hewitt, Cruz0

Rottgering, Mees2

Machac, Tomas0

Van Assche, Luca0

Kovacevic, Aleksandar2

Brooksby, Jenson0

Tsitsipas, Stefanos2

Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2

Suresh, Dhakshineswar0

Grenier, Hugo0

Baez, Sebastian2

Altmaier, Daniel2

Comesana, Francisco0

Walton, Adam1

Buse, Ignacio2

Collignon, Raphael1

Hijikata, Rinky2

Bonzi, Benjamin2

Halys, Quentin1

Van de Zandschulp, Botic2

Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0

Bellucci, Mattia1

Darderi, Luciano2

1/8-finals (R16)

Damm Jr, Martin0

Marozsan, Fabian0

Sonego, Lorenzo0

Duckworth, James0

Fery, Arthur0

Rottgering, Mees0

Kovacevic, Aleksandar0

Tsitsipas, Stefanos0

Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0

Baez, Sebastian0

Altmaier, Daniel0

Buse, Ignacio0

Hijikata, Rinky0

Bonzi, Benjamin2

Van de Zandschulp, Botic2

Darderi, Luciano0

Quarterfinals

Qf10

Qf20

Qf30

Qf40

Qf50

Qf60

Bonzi, Benjamin0

Van de Zandschulp, Botic0

Semifinals

WQF10

WQF20

WQF30

WQF40

Final

WSF10

WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Veyk Forest Tennis Senter.

Start 26.08.2026 20:45 UTC

Stage 3-y krug

Coverage hard

Form 9 matches

H2H 3

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Baez S 50%

💹 Market Cerundolo J M 94%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Cerundolo J M - Baez S

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Khuan-Manuel Serundolo - Sebastyan Baes. Uinston-Seylem. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Set Cerundolo J M Baez S Result

Set 1 6 2 6:2

Set 2 6 0 6:0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 50.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.697

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 50.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.500 / LogLoss 0.694

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Cerundolo J M 40.5% 49.8%

Baez S 59.5% 50.2% market and model agree

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 49.8% / 50.2% probabilities

Rating 1,615 / 1,689 Cerundolo J M / Baez S

RD 202 / 224 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,211-2,018 / 1,240-2,137 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 14.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Over 15.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
	—	1.68 59.5%
	1.75 57.1%	—
	—	1.85 54.1%
	—	1.95 51.3%
	—	1.85 54.1%
	—	2.20 45.5%
	—	2.65 37.7%
	1.96 51.0%	—
	—	2.05 48.8%
	—	2.30 43.5%
	—	2.25 44.4%
	—	2.95 33.9%
	—	2.55 39.2%
	—	2.05 48.8%
	—	2.20 45.5%
	—	3.45 29.0%
	—	1.75 57.1%
	—	1.33 75.2%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.04 96.2%
	1.01 99.0%
	11.00 9.1%
	9.00 11.1%

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 7.5	1.67 59.9%	—
Over 14.5	—	1.33 75.2%
Over 15.5	—	1.78 56.2%
Over 16.5	—	3.45 29.0%
Over 17.5	—	2.20 45.5%
Over 18.5	—	1.70 58.8%
Over 19.5	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 21.5	—	2.15 46.5%
Over 22.5	—	2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5	—	2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5	—	2.30 43.5%
Over 25.5	—	2.50 40.0%
Over 26.5	—	2.85 35.1%
Under 7.5	2.07 48.3%	—
Under 14.5	—	3.05 32.8%
Under 15.5	—	2.05 48.8%
Under 16.5	—	1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5	1.01 99.0%

Match center

Cerundolo J M

W L W W L

2026-08-25 2026 Winston Salem, USA

Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M 2:0 Suresh D

2026-08-18 2026 Cincinnati, USA

Cerundolo J M Cerundolo J M 0:2 Auger-Aliassime F

2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA

Cerundolo J M Rinderknech A 1:2 Cerundolo J M

2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA

Cerundolo J M Lajal M 0:2 Cerundolo J M

2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada

Cerundolo J M Ruud C 2:0 Cerundolo J M

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Baez S

W L W W W

2026-08-25 2026 Winston Salem, USA

Grenier H 0:2 Baez S Baez S

2026-08-24 2026 Cancun, Mexico

Baez S 1:2 Hurkacz H Baez S

2026-08-23 2026 Cancun, Mexico

Baez S 2:0 Harris L Baez S

2026-08-22 2026 Cancun, Mexico

Baez S 2:0 Wong C Baez S

2026-08-21 2026 Cancun, Mexico

Baez S 2:0 Pacheco Mendez R Baez S

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.8 Sets won

0.4 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Cerundolo J M - Baez S

Cerundolo J M

0 matches total

Baez S

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most sets in a game

Match history

Event

Uinston-Seylem

Cerundolo J M - Baez S

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Form over the last year

Head-to-head history

AI match prediction Cerundolo J M - Baez S August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Winston Salem, USA

Unlock the full AI analysis

Cerundolo J M - Baez S

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Recent form

Match facts

Frequently asked questions

Cerundolo J M - Baez S

Extended stats (scorego)

About the athletes

Form over the last year

Head-to-head history

AI match prediction Cerundolo J M - Baez S August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

Team form

Tournament bracket 2026 Winston Salem, USA

Unlock the full AI analysis

Cerundolo J M - Baez S

Match markets

Handicap

Handicap

Total

Total

Match history

Recent form

Match facts

More predictions

Frequently asked questions