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AI verdict

AI pick Grenier H win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.27

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Grenier H. Full breakdown below.

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ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem International
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

Grenier H - Oberleitner N

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem 22.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
22.08.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
Grenier H
Grenier H
Rank #258 Elo 218
30Bad Form
L L L W L L L W
Oberleitner N
Oberleitner N
Rank #662 Elo 54
44Struggling Form
L W L L L L L L
2:0 6:4 6:1
1 2 GP
Grenier H 6 6 2
Oberleitner N 4 1 0
1 2
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Grenier H Oberleitner N
Win % 49.8% 54.6%
Hard % 54.6% 51.9%
Clay % 34.6% 55%
Grass % 37.5% 0%
Deciding set % 49.5% 41.2%
Tie-breaks % 49.2% 44.2%
Titles (total) 4 3
Last 10 LLWLLWLLLL LLWLWLWWLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#258 Rating #662
30 Age 27
1.96m Height (cm) 1.93m
85kg Weight (kg) 83kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Grenier H Oberleitner N
Aces per match 5.89 6.11
Double faults per match 2.83 1.89
Breaks per match 3.44 2.11

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hugo Grenier
Rank:258 Elo: 218
L L L W L L L W
Neil Oberleitner
Rank:662 Elo: 54
L W L L L L L L
Elo favourite:Grenier H (edge +164 Elo)

Hard

Hugo GrenierNeil Oberleitner
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 43.8% 7 / 16 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 58.1% 25 / 43 Matches 52.4% 11 / 21 Matches

Clay

Hugo GrenierNeil Oberleitner
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 4 Matches 53.9% 7 / 13 Matches

Grass

Hugo GrenierNeil Oberleitner
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 30.4% 7 / 23 Matches 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 50.0% 25 / 50 Matches 52.9% 18 / 34 Matches
Current rank 258 662

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner
Prize money (career) $1,250,383 USD $113,590 USD
Rating 258 662
Age 30 27
Height 1.96m 1.93m
Weight 85kg 83kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner
Match Wins 30 % 44 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 33 % 44 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 9 % 22 %
Wins From Behind 16 % 17 %
Won At Least 1 Set 39 % 44 %
Set 1 Win 22 % 33 %
Set 2 Win 26 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 0 0
1st serve percentage 0% 100%
1st serve points won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
2nd serve points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Saved 0/0 0/0
1st return points won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
2nd return points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Break Points Converted 0/0 0/0
Winners 0 0
Unforced errors 0 0
Net points won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Service Points Won 0% (0/0) 100% (1/1)
Return Points Won 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Total Points Won 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Service games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Return games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Total games won 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.83 9.78 9.81
Over 6.5 95 % 100 % 98 %
Over 7.5 90 % 89 % 90 %
Over 8.5 71 % 89 % 80 %
Over 9.5 43 % 33 % 38 %
Over 10.5 33 % 22 % 28 %
Over 11.5 33 % 22 % 28 %

Aces

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner Match total
Aces Per Match 5.89 6.11 12.00
Most Aces in a match 56 % 56 % N/A
1+ 89 % 89 % 97 %
2+ 78 % 89 % 97 %
3+ 78 % 89 % 97 %
4+ 61 % 67 % 89 %
5+ 61 % 44 % 81 %

Breaks

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.44 2.11 5.55
Over 0.5 89 % 44 % 100 %
Over 1.5 67 % 33 % 97 %
Over 2.5 61 % 22 % 97 %
Over 3.5 56 % 11 % 78 %
Over 4.5 11 % 0 % 53 %
Over 5.5 11 % 0 % 45 %

Tie-breaks

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.38 0.44 0.41
Over 0.5 38 % 33 % 36 %
Over 1.5 0 % 11 % 6 %
Under 0.5 62 % 67 % 36 %
Under 1.5 100 % 89 % 6 %

Double faults

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.83 1.89 4.72
Over 0.5 (1+) 89 % 67 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 67 % 56 % 78 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 56 % 44 % 70 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 28 % 22 % 53 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 17 % 0 % 39 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 17 % 0 % 36 %

Net points

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 9.9 10.56 20.46
Over 4.5 (5+) 73 % 89 % 81 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 67 % 89 % 78 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 67 % 89 % 78 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 67 % 89 % 78 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 67 % 67 % 67 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 53 % 67 % 60 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.27 73.9% BetBoom
P2 3.60 26.1% BetBoom

Grenier H meet Oberleitner N on August 22, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Grenier H 1-0-4, Oberleitner N 2-0-3. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 71% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Grenier H — 71%

1 · Grenier H ✓ Pick70.9%
market 74%
2 · Oberleitner N29.1%
market 26%

Model estimate: win Grenier H 70.9%, win Oberleitner N 29.1%. Model favourite — Grenier H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Grenier H

Model confidence 71% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Grenier H - Oberleitner N August 22, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Grenier H.

Line favourite Fonbet: Grenier H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / 2 3.60
  • Glicko: Grenier H 70.9% / Oberleitner N 29.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.5% 4 books
1 ✓ Pick 73.9%
2 26.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.22 ↑ 1.27
Winner 2 4.30 ↓ 3.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Grenier H
74%
1.27
Oberleitner N
26%
3.60
Total
Over 21.5
51%
1.84
Under 21.5
49%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated22.08.2026 12:10 UTC
1 70% ✓ favourite
2 30%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:P1
Per AI data Form:LLLL / LWLWW H2H: First meeting Injuries:none Key:Class gap between top 300 and sub 600 ranked players
Details

Hugo Grenier will face Neil Oberleitner in the hard-court qualification round of the ATP Winston-Salem Open. The bookmaker odds stand at 1.30 for Grenier and 3.55 for Oberleitner, mirroring an early shift from an opening line of 1.22 to 1.30. This line movement points to some minor support for the underdog or public hesitation surrounding the favorite's recent form.
Pre-Match Analysis
Current Form: Hugo Grenier has struggled heavily coming into this matchup, carrying a four-match losing streak (LLLL). His recent performances show physical and tactical inconsistencies, including a 2-1 defeat to D. Blanch on August 17 and a retirement loss against A. Santillan in July. Neil Oberleitner has mostly competed on the lower ITF and Challenger circuits, recording a mixed record of LWLWW in his last 5 tracked matches, which includes a notable win against R. Albot.
Head-to-Head (H2H): There are no previous head-to-head encounters between Hugo Grenier and Neil Oberleitner. This is their first professional meeting on the ATP Tour, meaning there is no baseline data for historical matchups.
Injuries and Suspensions: No fresh injuries or suspensions are reported for either player. Grenier's mid-match retirement against Santillan in mid-July was a concern, but his subsequent full match on August 17 indicates he has returned to active play.
Analytical Evaluation and Odds Discrepancy
The de-vigged market presents win probabilities at 73% for Grenier and 27% for Oberleitner, while our Glicko model suggests 71% for Grenier and 29% for Oberleitner. Our final estimated prediction values line up at 70% (P1) / 30% (P2).
Our estimation slightly diverges from the de-vigged market (73%) and our base model (71%) because it assigns an extra 1-3% chance to the underdog Oberleitner. This marginal adjustment is heavily justified by Grenier's poor momentum, underlined by his 4 consecutive defeats and a visible drop in confidence on court. Despite this variance, Grenier remains a firm favorite because of a massive class gap; he is ranked 258th (with a career-high of 95th), whereas Oberleitner sits far back at 662nd. Grenier's extensive experience at the ATP level and superior court coverage on fast hard courts should ultimately override his recent slump.
Forecast For Additional Markets
Total Games (Over/Under): Given Grenier's shaky form and the pre-match line drift (1.22 to 1.30), he is highly unlikely to blow his opponent away effortlessly. Oberleitner has enough serve resilience to push sets close. A total line of Over 21.5 games offers strong value.
Exact Score by Sets: A competitive match is anticipated due to the favorite's ongoing struggles, making a clean sweep less certain. The most likely exact score sequence is a hard-fought 2:1 win for Hugo Grenier.
Conclusion
The main bet for this match is Hugo Grenier to win (P1). Despite a minor drop in his recent win percentage and a market odds shift, the substantial tier gap between an established former top-100 player and an ITF-level competitor makes backing the favorite the most secure option.

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 70% 30% 2:1 Over 21.5 P1

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Match center
Start 22.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 73.9% @ 1.27 / 2 26.1% @ 3.60
Form 3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Grenier H 70%
📐 Math model Grenier H 71%
💹 Market Grenier H 74%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Grenier H - Oberleitner N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Grenier H Oberleitner N Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 1 6:1
Metric Grenier H Oberleitner N SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 0 0 final
Vinnery 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 100% final
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Grenier H 73.9% 59.4% model more cautious than market
Oberleitner N 26.1% 40.6%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko70.9% · +Elo prior (weight0.60).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 70.9% / 29.1% probabilities
Rating 1,205 / 1,500 Grenier H / Oberleitner N
RD 215 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 776-1,634 / 800-2,200 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 Fonbet · no value · model 29.1%
1 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 70.9%
Total
Over 20.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.43 69.9% —
1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5%
2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1%
2.85 35.1% —
— 2.11 47.4%
— 1.70 58.8%
2.65 37.7% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.68 59.5% —
1.37 73.0% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
1.77 56.5%
1.93 51.8%
6.10 16.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.62 61.7% —
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4%
Over 22.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 20.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 1.65 60.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.26 (Betcity) · 2 3.85 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.25 3.85
Winline 1.25 3.57
Fonbet 1.25 3.85
Betcity 1.26 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Grenier H
L L W L L
2026-08-17 2026 Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying
Grenier H Blanch Dali 2:1 Grenier H
2026-07-16 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain
Grenier H Grenier H 0:1 Santillan A
2026-07-13 2026 Pozoblanco, Spain
Grenier H Grenier H 2:0 Vandermeersch C
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Grenier H Faria J 2:0 Grenier H
2026-06-13 2026 Nottingham 2, Great Britain, Qualifying
Grenier H Okonkwo O 2:0 Grenier H
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Oberleitner N
L L W L W
2026-04-05 2026 Monza, Italy, Qualifying
Kopp S 2:0 Oberleitner N Oberleitner N
2026-03-02 2026 Thionville, France, Qualifying
Oberleitner N 0:2 Smith Keegan Oberleitner N
2026-03-01 2026 Thionville, France, Qualifying
Oberleitner N 2:1 Bouquier A Oberleitner N
2026-01-27 2026 Manama, Bahrain, Qualifying
Pokorny L 2:0 Oberleitner N Oberleitner N
2026-01-26 2026 Manama, Bahrain, Qualifying
Albot R 0:2 Oberleitner N Oberleitner N
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grenier H vs Oberleitner N?

By the PropickAI model, Grenier H is favoured — about 71% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Grenier H vs Oberleitner N?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Grenier H. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Grenier H vs Oberleitner N start?

August 22, 2026.