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Merida Aguilar D — Droguet T

Tennis 16.07.2026 14:05 UTC
Favourite Merida Aguilar D best odds 1.62

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP. Umag
ATP. Umag International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.07.2026 14:05 UTC
Finished

ATP. Umag

Merida Aguilar D vs Droguet T — Tennis prediction

International Tennis
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D
2 : 0
6:1 6:3
Finished
Droguet T
Droguet T

Merida Aguilar D face Droguet T on July 16, 2026 in the ATP. Umag, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Merida Aguilar D 2-0-0, Droguet T 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner Merida Aguilar D

Model confidence 69% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Droguet T (odds1.90) Score 1:2 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Merida-Agilar D: forma VVV (3-0)
  • Droge T: forma VV (2-0)
  • liniya na pik P2 1.65→1.90 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Droge T: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
  • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Merida Aguilar D - Droguet T July 16, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Merida Aguilar D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 2.26

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6% 2 books · best price +23.2%
1 76.2%
2 23.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Merida Aguilar D
8-2WWWLWWWWLW
sets for 1.7sets against 0.8
Droguet T
6-4LWLWWWLWWL
sets for 1.4sets against 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 14:05 UTC
Market 1 69.1% @ 1.01 / 2 30.9% @ 2.26
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Match center

Merida Aguilar D - Droguet T

Form 2/1 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.26 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.52 65.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.33 75.2%
1.01 99.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
2.70 37.0%
2.10 47.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.35 42.6%
2.60 38.5%
3.00 33.3%
11.00 9.1%
8.00 12.5%
5.00 20.0%
2.85 35.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 15.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 16.5 4.90 20.4%
Over 17.5 6.60 15.2%
Over 18.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 19.5 7.60 13.2%
Over 20.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 21.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 22.5 2.08 48.1%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 26.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 15.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 16.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 17.5 1.08 92.6%
Under 18.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 19.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 20.5 1.45 69.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.01 99.0% 1.62 61.7%
16.00 6.3% 2.26 44.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0
2026-07-16 · Daniel Merida Agilar 2:0 Tituan Droge
2026-04-03 · Daniel Merida Agilar Tituan Droge
2025-08-21 · Daniel Merida Agilar 2:1 Tituan Droge
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.02 (Betcity) · 2 1.9 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.9 1.9
Fonbet 1.9 1.9
Betcity 2.02 1.79
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Eysy 1
2 Dvoynye oshibki 3
7 Vsego breyk-poyntov 0
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
56 Vyigrannye Points 33
33 Points na podache 24
9 Poteryannye Points na podache 23
28 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 24
12 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 20
24 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 11
9 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 13
10 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4
8 Geymy na podache 4
12 Vyigrannye geymy 4
4 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Merida Aguilar D
W W
15.07 14:09 UTC ATP. Umag
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Etcheverri T-MEtcheverri T-M
14.07 16:14 UTC ATP. Umag
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Sheshko ZhSheshko Zh
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Droguet T
W
15.07 18:31 UTC ATP. Umag
Droguet T 2:1 Van Ash LVan Ash L
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Merida Aguilar D vs Droguet T?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Merida Aguilar D. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Merida Aguilar D vs Droguet T?

Live odds for Merida Aguilar D vs Droguet T from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Merida Aguilar D vs Droguet T start?

July 16, 2026.