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ATP. Vashington
ATP. Vashington International
26.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

McDonald M - Svajda T

Tennis ATP. Vashington
ATP. Vashington hard 26.07.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
26.07.2026 17:00 UTC Finished
McDonald M
McDonald M
Svajda T
Svajda T
0:2 4:6 4:6
1 2 GP
McDonald M 4 4 0
Svajda T 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 13.00 20.4% BetBoom
P2 3.33 79.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 McDonald M — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · McDonald M): model 49% · market 7% Δ +42 pp model estimates above the market

1 · McDonald M ✓ Pick69.5%
market7%
2 · Svajda T30.5%
market93%

Model estimate: win McDonald M 69.5%, win Svajda T 30.5%. Model favourite — McDonald M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1McDonald M (odds1.29) Score 2:1 confidence 70% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Makdonald M: forma P (0-1)
  • • Svayda T: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Makdonald M: probability 70% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.29)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McDonald M - Svajda T July 26, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Svajda T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Svajda T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: McDonald M 69.5% / Svajda T 30.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 ✓ Pick 7.2%
2 92.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 ↑ 13.00
Winner 2 3.35 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated26.07.2026 18:40 UTC
1 68% ✓ favourite
2 32%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 2:0
Qwen updated26.07.2026 18:48 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 68% 32% 2:0 Under 22.5
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Match center
Start 26.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models McDonald M 73%
📐 Math model McDonald M 69%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

McDonald M - Svajda T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set McDonald M Svajda T Result
Set 0 4 6 4:6
Set 1 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 69.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.965 / LogLoss 1.187
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.548 / LogLoss 0.741
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
McDonald M 71.7% 69.5% market and model agree
Svajda T 28.3% 30.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 69.5% / 30.5% probabilities
Rating 1,322 / 1,428 McDonald M / Svajda T
RD 291 / 288 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 739-1,904 / 851-2,005 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 30.5%
1 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 69.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.40 41.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.08 48.1%
1.50 66.7%
1.02 98.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.45 69.0%
3.80 26.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.43 69.9%
1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 19.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 20.5 5.80 17.2%
Over 21.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 7.10 14.1%
Over 23.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 24.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 26.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 27.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 28.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 29.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 18.5 3.85 26.0%
Under 19.5 1.47 68.0%
Under 20.5 1.09 91.7%
Under 21.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 22.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 23.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 13.00 7.7% 1.46 68.5%
3.33 30.0% 3.30 30.3% 1.01 99.0% 2.55 39.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

McDonald MLWLWWWLLLL
Svajda TWWLWLLLLLL
H2H 1-0-1
2026-07-26 · Makkenzi Makdonald 0:2 Trevor Svayda
2026-03-04 · Makkenzi Makdonald 2:0 Trevor Svayda
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.44 (Betcity) · 2 3.2 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.38 2.9
Winline 1.35 3.2
Fonbet 1.38 2.9
Betcity 1.44 2.65
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

4 Eysy 1
1 Dvoynye oshibki 2
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 6
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
60 Vyigrannye Points 71
36 Points na podache 41
30 Poteryannye Points na podache 24
44 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 37
21 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 26
28 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 27
8 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 14
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 8
2 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 8
6 Geymy na podache 8
8 Vyigrannye geymy 12
3 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
McDonald M
L
07.07 18:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Nyuport
McDonald M 0:2 Uolton A
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Svajda T
L
14.07 21:25 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Linkoln
Svajda T 1:2 Layal MLayal M
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMcDonald M - Svajda T

McDonald M
0 matches total
Svajda T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history