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ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification International
1 round 28.07.2026 16:40 UTC Match prediction

Michelsen A - McDonald M

Tennis ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification 1-y krug hard 28.07.2026 16:40 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 16:40 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Michelsen A
Michelsen A USA Seed 40
McDonald M
McDonald M USA Seed 145
L
2:0 6:4 7:5
1 2 GP
Michelsen A 6 7 2
McDonald M 4 5 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.25 76.0% BetBoom
P2 3.95 24.0% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Chetvertyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

USA Country USA
- Rating -
21 Age 31
193 Height (cm) 178
79 Weight (kg) 73
Pravsha Hand Pravsha
40 Seed 145
hard Coverage hard
L 1 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Michelsen A
52% 25 / 48
52% 25 / 48
Sintetika
no data
clay
6 iz 12
grass
0 iz 1
hard
19 iz 35
McDonald M
28% 5 / 18
28% 5 / 18
Sintetika
no data
clay
1 iz 2
grass
0 iz 1
hard
4 iz 15

Head-to-head history

2023
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
  Michelsen A 0
  McDonald M 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Michelsen A — 75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Michelsen A): model 65% · market 91% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Michelsen A ✓ Pick74.7%
market91%
2 · McDonald M25.3%
market9%

Model estimate: win Michelsen A 74.7%, win McDonald M 25.3%. Model favourite — Michelsen A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Michelsen A (odds1.28) Score 2:1 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Mikelsen A: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Makdonald M: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Mikelsen A: probability 65% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Michelsen A - McDonald M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Michelsen A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Michelsen A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Michelsen A 74.7% / McDonald M 25.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 90.6%
2 9.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.28 ↓ 1.25
Winner 2 3.70 ↑ 3.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Chetvertyy kort
Start 28.07.2026 16:40 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Michelsen A - McDonald M

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Aleks Mikhelsen - Makkenzi Makdonald, 28 iyulya 2026. Vashington (m). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Aleks Mikhelsen - Makkenzi Makdonald, kto pobedil.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Michelsen A McDonald M Result
Set 0 6 4 6:4
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Michelsen A 75.7% 74.7% market and model agree
McDonald M 24.3% 25.3%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 74.7% / 25.3% probabilities
Rating 1,788 / 1,247 Michelsen A / McDonald M
RD 178 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,432-2,144 / 748-1,746 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 25.3%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 74.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.82 55.0%
1.70 58.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.05 95.2%
1.07 93.5%
1.13 88.5%
8.50 11.8%
8.00 12.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.02 49.5%
2.55 39.2%
8.50 11.8%
7.00 14.3%
7.00 14.3%
5.00 20.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.04 96.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 18.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 19.5 4.90 20.4%
Over 20.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 22.5 6.50 15.4%
Over 23.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 24.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 25.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 26.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 29.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 30.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 17.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 18.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 19.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 20.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.08 92.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.04 96.2% 1.25 80.0%
10.00 10.0% 3.85 26.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0
2026-07-28 · Aleks Mikelsen 2:0 Makkenzi Makdonald
2024-08-12 · Aleks Mikelsen 2:0 Makkenzi Makdonald
2023-07-21 · Aleks Mikelsen 2:0 Makkenzi Makdonald
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.26 (Winline) · 2 4 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.25 3.95
Winline 1.26 3.9
Fonbet 1.25 3.95
Betcity 1.24 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

9 Eysy 5
2 Dvoynye oshibki 4
10 Vsego breyk-poyntov 10
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 2
73 Vyigrannye Points 61
44 Points na podache 36
25 Poteryannye Points na podache 29
42 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 34
25 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 27
30 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 22
14 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 14
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
8 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 2
9 Geymy na podache 7
13 Vyigrannye geymy 9
5 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Michelsen A
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Michelsen A 6 F. Frensis Tiafo Frensis Tiafo 🇺🇸 1 6 3 4 T. Terens Atman (France) 2 4 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
McDonald M
L
26.07 17:00 UTC ATP. Vashington
McDonald M 0:2 Svayda TSvayda T
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMichelsen A - McDonald M

Michelsen A
0 matches total
McDonald M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2023 Nyuport grass 1/4 finala 4 M. Makkenzi Makdonald Makkenzi Makdonald 🇺🇸 0 3 LD A. Aleks Mikhelsen Aleks Mikhelsen 🇺🇸 2 6 ; CHAMP('tournamentTabs'