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McDonald M — Butvilas E

Tennis 25.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Favourite McDonald M best odds 1.56

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification
25.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification

McDonald M - Butvilas E

Tennis
McDonald M
McDonald M
2 : 1
Finished
Butvilas E
Butvilas E

McDonald M meet Butvilas E on July 25, 2026 in the ATP. Washington. Hard. Qualification.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner McDonald M

Model confidence 94% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Butvilas E (odds2.40) Score 1:2 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Makdonald M
  • 🇺🇸 — Butvilas E
  • 🇱🇹 (tennis)
  • Makdonald M
  • 🇺🇸: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Butvilas E
  • 🇱🇹: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Model backs Butvilas E
  • 🇱🇹: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McDonald M - Butvilas E July 25, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: McDonald M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.5% 4 books · best price +2.0%
1 60.6%
2 39.4%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

McDonald M
5-5WLWWWLLWLL
sets for 1.2sets against 1.4
Butvilas E
6-4LLLLWWWWWW
sets for 1.4sets against 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 17:45 UTC
Market 1 93.7% @ 1.01 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

McDonald M - Butvilas E

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.339 / LogLoss 0.530
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line home - 51.1% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.479 / LogLoss 0.672
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
2.40 41.7%
1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6% 2.00 50.0%
3.00 33.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.40 41.7%
3.00 33.3%
8.50 11.8%
10.00 10.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 18.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 19.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 21.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 25.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 26.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 27.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 28.5 12.00 8.3%
Over 30.5 6.40 15.6%
Under 17.5 2.65 37.7%
Under 18.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 22.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.51 66.2% 1.56 64.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.55 64.5%
2.40 41.7% 2.33 42.9% 15.00 6.7% 2.30 43.5%

Frequently asked questions

When does McDonald M vs Butvilas E start?

July 25, 2026.