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ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
1 round 27.07.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

Nishikori K - Shang Juncheng

Tennis ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright 1-y krug hard 27.07.2026 19:00 UTC Finished
27.07.2026 19:00 UTC 1-y krug Finished
Nishikori K
Nishikori K Japan Seed 721
Shang Juncheng
Shang Juncheng China Seed 270
2:1 6:7 6:3 6:4
1 2 3 GP
Nishikori K 6 6 6 2
Shang Juncheng 7 3 4 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 2.44 76.4% BetBoom
P2 7.90 23.6% BetBoom
Stadium: Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Japan Country China
- Rating -
36 Age 21
178 Height (cm) 180
68 Weight (kg) 73
- Hand -
721 Seed 270
hard Coverage hard
R 2 H2H 1

Form over the last year

Nishikori K
0% 0 / 1
0% 0 / 1
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
0 iz 1
Shang Juncheng
33% 6 / 18
33% 6 / 18
Sintetika
no data
clay
no data
grass
no data
hard
6 iz 18

Head-to-head history

2025
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Nishikori K 0
  Shang Juncheng 0
2024
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Nishikori K 0
  Shang Juncheng 0
2023
ATP. Washington. Tournament outright
  Nishikori K 0
  Shang Juncheng 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Shang Juncheng — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Shang Juncheng): model 48% · market 12% Δ +36 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Nishikori K40.4%
market88%
2 · Shang Juncheng59.6%
market12%

Model estimate: win Nishikori K 40.4%, win Shang Juncheng 59.6%. Model favourite — Shang Juncheng.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nishikori K (odds2.60) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Nisikori K
  • • 🇯🇵 — Shan Ts
  • • 🇨🇳 (tennis)
  • • Model backs Nisikori K
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.60)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nishikori K - Shang Juncheng July 27, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nishikori K.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nishikori K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / 2 7.90
  • Glicko: Nishikori K 40.4% / Shang Juncheng 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 88.1%
2 11.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.60 ↓ 1.07
Winner 2 1.50 ↑ 7.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated27.07.2026 19:57 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Win Shana Tszyunchena (2)
Claude updated27.07.2026 20:09 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 v polzu Shana Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Handicap Nisikori +1.5 sets (vozmet minimum odin set)
Qwen updated27.07.2026 20:06 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total games: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 20:24 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:2 (win Shanya) with handicap -1.5 po setam

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 38% 62% 0:2 Under 22.5 Win Shana Tszyunchena (2)
Claude 38% 62% 2:1 v polzu Shana Over 21.5 Handicap Nisikori +1.5 sets (vozmet minimum odin set)
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 38% 62% 2:1 Over 22.5
Match center
Stadium Tennisnyy Central im. Uilyama Fittsdzheralda. Kort Dzhona Kharrisa
Start 27.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Stage 1-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
H2H 3
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Shang Juncheng 48%
📐 Math model Shang Juncheng 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Nishikori K - Shang Juncheng

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Key Nisikori - Tszyunchen Shan, 28 iyulya 2026. Vashington (m). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Key Nisikori - Tszyunchen Shan, kto pobedil.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 2 block. lineup_availability, officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad source needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Nishikori K Shang Juncheng Result
Set 0 6 7 6:7
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 59.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.711 / LogLoss 0.907
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 51.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.523 / LogLoss 0.717
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nishikori K 39.0% 40.4%
Shang Juncheng 61.0% 59.6% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.4% / 59.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Nishikori K / Shang Juncheng
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.90 Fonbet · weak value +371.2% · model 59.6%
1 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 40.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% —
1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% —
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.40 41.7%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 3.15 31.8%
— — 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 7.10 14.1%
2.03 49.3% 2.06 48.5% 4.70 21.3%
— — 1.09 91.7%
— — 1.20 83.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Over 20.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
Over 21.5 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.67 59.9%
Over 23.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 24.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 25.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 26.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 27.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 28.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% —
Under 22.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.43 41.2% 2.44 41.0% 1.07 93.5% 2.42 41.3%
1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 7.90 12.7% 1.55 64.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Nishikori KWLLWLWLWLW
Shang JunchengLLLLWLWWLL
H2H 2-0-1
2026-07-27 · Kei Nishikori 2:1 Tszyunchen Shan
2025-01-04 · Kei Nishikori Tszyunchen Shan
2024-09-19 · Kei Nishikori 0:2 Tszyunchen Shan
2023-07-28 · Kei Nishikori 2:0 Tszyunchen Shan
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.05 (Pari) · 2 1.42 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 3.05 1.38
Winline 2.85 1.42
Fonbet 3.05 1.38
Betcity 3 1.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

4 Eysy 6
0 Dvoynye oshibki 2
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 0
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 0
107 Vyigrannye Points 99
70 Points na podache 72
27 Poteryannye Points na podache 37
70 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 59
27 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 48
51 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 42
19 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 30
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
5 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 5
16 Geymy na podache 13
18 Vyigrannye geymy 14
3 Maks. geymov podryad 1
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
Nishikori K
D
28.07.2026 Championat
Nishikori K 6 F. Frensis Tiafo Frensis Tiafo 🇺🇸 1 6 3 4 T. Terens Atman (France) 2 4 6 1-y krug
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Shang Juncheng
D D
28.07.2026 Championat
Q A. Aleksandar Vukich (Australia) 2 6 LL Z. Zakhari Svayda Zakhari Svayda 🇺🇸 0 3 1-y krug Shang Juncheng
28.07.2026 Championat
WC K. Key Nisikori (Japan) 2 6 SR Ts. Tszyunchen Shang Juncheng
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNishikori K - Shang Juncheng

Nishikori K
0 matches total
Shang Juncheng
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2025 Hong Kong hard 1/2 finala Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 0 3 Rt WC K. Key Nisikori Key Nisikori (Japan) 2 4
Event
2024 Chendu hard 1-y krug Ts. Tszyunchen Shan Tszyunchen Shan (China) 2 6 WC K. Key Nisikori Key Nisikori (Japan) 0 4
Event
2023 Atlanta hard 2-y krug SR K. Key Nisikori Key Nisikori (Yaponi