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AI verdict

AI pick Barton H win probability ~69% confidence High best odds 1.28

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Barton H. Full breakdown below.

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Augsburg
Augsburg International
26.08.2026 08:00 UTC

La Serna J M - Barton H

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Augsburg
Augsburg 26.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
26.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
La Serna J M
La Serna J M
Rank #271 Elo 210
62Average Form
W L L W L W L L
Barton H
Barton H
Rank #283 Elo 197
64Average Form
W L W L W W L W
-:-
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

La Serna J M Barton H
Win % 0% 62.4%
Hard % 0% 62.2%
Clay % 0% 62.5%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 0% 57.5%
Tie-breaks % 0% 50%
Titles (total) 0 2
Last 10 L WLLWLWLWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#271 Rating #283
22 Age 22
1.83m Height (cm) 1.88m
72kg Weight (kg) 83kg
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

La Serna J M Barton H
Aces per match 5.75 1.70
Double faults per match 2.09 2.57
Breaks per match 2.28 3.2

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Hynek Barton
Rank:271 Elo: 210
W L L W L W L L
Juan Manuel La Serna
Rank:283 Elo: 197
W L W L W W L W
Elo favourite:Barton H (edge +13 Elo)

Hard

Hynek BartonJuan Manuel La Serna
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 58.3% 7 / 12 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 52.4% 11 / 21 Matches 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches

Clay

Hynek BartonJuan Manuel La Serna
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 62.2% 23 / 37 Matches 64.0% 32 / 50 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 62.2% 28 / 45 Matches 64.7% 44 / 68 Matches

Grass

Hynek BartonJuan Manuel La Serna
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 61.5% 32 / 52 Matches 64.0% 32 / 50 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 59.4% 41 / 69 Matches 65.3% 49 / 75 Matches
Current rank 271 283

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna
Prize money (career) $49,756 USD $27,352 USD
Rating 271 283
Age 22 22
Height 1.83m 1.88m
Weight 72kg 83kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna
Match Wins 62 % 64 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 61 % 64 %
Wins in Straight Sets 48 % 40 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 15 %
Won At Least 1 Set 75 % 76 %
Set 1 Win 63 % 66 %
Set 2 Win 60 % 50 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 71 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.85 9.16 9.51
Over 6.5 98 % 98 % 98 %
Over 7.5 92 % 82 % 87 %
Over 8.5 76 % 64 % 70 %
Over 9.5 49 % 34 % 42 %
Over 10.5 27 % 14 % 21 %
Over 11.5 27 % 14 % 21 %

Aces

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna Match total
Aces Per Match 5.75 1.70 7.45
Most Aces in a match 84 % 41 % N/A
1+ 100 % 65 % 95 %
2+ 89 % 46 % 80 %
3+ 80 % 28 % 71 %
4+ 73 % 15 % 63 %
5+ 61 % 9 % 53 %

Breaks

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.28 3.2 5.48
Over 0.5 100 % 96 % 100 %
Over 1.5 98 % 43 % 100 %
Over 2.5 59 % 43 % 98 %
Over 3.5 57 % 41 % 96 %
Over 4.5 0 % 15 % 65 %
Over 5.5 0 % 11 % 63 %

Tie-breaks

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.41 0.2 0.3
Over 0.5 35 % 20 % 27 %
Over 1.5 6 % 0 % 3 %
Under 0.5 65 % 80 % 27 %
Under 1.5 94 % 100 % 3 %

Double faults

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.09 2.57 4.66
Over 0.5 (1+) 77 % 83 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 61 % 63 % 87 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 30 % 41 % 78 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 25 % 37 % 65 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 9 % 20 % 51 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 5 % 7 % 39 %

Net points

Hynek Barton Juan Manuel La Serna Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 10.27 8.3 18.57
Over 4.5 (5+) 85 % 85 % 85 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 69 % 85 % 77 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 62 % 59 % 61 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 58 % 52 % 55 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 54 % 44 % 49 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 46 % 41 % 44 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 3.33 28.1% BetBoom
P2 1.30 71.9% BetBoom

La Serna J M face Barton H on August 26, 2026 in the Augsburg, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): La Serna J M 3-0-2, Barton H 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Barton H — 69%

1 · La Serna J M31.1%
market 28%
2 · Barton H ✓ Pick68.9%
market 72%

Model estimate: win La Serna J M 31.1%, win Barton H 68.9%. Model favourite — Barton H.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Barton H

Model confidence 72% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction La Serna J M - Barton H August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barton H. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.30 / 2 1.28

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 6 books · best price +3.9%
1 28.1%
2 ✓ Pick 71.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 3.10 ↑ 3.30
Winner P2 1.32 ↓ 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
La Serna J M
28%
3.33
Barton H
72%
1.34
Total
Over 21.5
50%
1.89
Under 21.5
50%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 27.9% @ 3.30 / 2 72.1% @ 1.28
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Barton H 69%
💹 Market Barton H 72%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

La Serna J M - Barton H

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
La Serna J M 28.1% 39.9%
Barton H 71.9% 60.1% model more cautious than market

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko31.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.47).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 31.1% / 68.9% probabilities
Rating 1,673 / 1,521 La Serna J M / Barton H
RD 250 / 152 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,173-2,172 / 1,217-1,826 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 68.9%
1 3.30 Fonbet · no value · model 31.1%
Total
Over 10.5 3.60 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 2.50 40.0% —
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9%
1.69 59.2% — 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2%
— — 1.40 71.4% —
— — 1.45 69.0% —
— — 1.65 60.6% —
— — 2.05 48.8% —
— — 2.75 36.4% —
1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% — 1.69 59.2%
2.07 48.3% — — 2.09 47.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.92 52.1%
6.20 16.1%
1.12 89.3%
1.88 53.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 2.5 — — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 8.5 — — — 1.34 74.6%
Over 10.5 — — — 3.60 27.8%
Over 19.5 — — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 — — 2.10 47.6% —
Over 23.5 — — 2.35 42.6% —
Under 20.5 — — 2.10 47.6% —
Under 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1% —
Under 22.5 — — 1.65 60.6% —
Under 23.5 — — 1.53 65.4% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center
La Serna J M
W L W W L
2026-08-25 2026 Augsburg, Germany
La Serna J M Xassan B 1:2 La Serna J M
2026-08-20 2026 Sion, Switzerland
La Serna J M Compagnucci T 2:1 La Serna J M
2026-08-19 2026 Sion, Switzerland
La Serna J M Staeheli L 0:1 La Serna J M
2026-08-18 2026 Sion, Switzerland
La Serna J M Mena F 0:2 La Serna J M
2026-07-02 2026 Quito, Ecuador
La Serna J M La Serna J M 0:2 Monzon I
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Barton H
W L L W L
2026-08-24 2026 Augsburg, Germany
Hemery C 0:2 Barton H Barton H
2026-08-18 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Tseng C H 2:0 Barton H Barton H
2026-08-10 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Barton H 1:2 Lechno-Wasiutynski F Barton H
2026-08-09 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Barton H 2:0 Handel T Barton H
2026-07-30 2026 Liberec, Czech Republic
Barton H 0:2 Bueno G Barton H
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

When does La Serna J M vs Barton H start?

August 26, 2026.