AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Xassan B. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Marterer M - Xassan B
About the athletes
Serve and return stats
| Marterer M | Xassan B | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | N/A | 4.77 |
| Double faults per match | N/A | 3.37 |
| Breaks per match | N/A | 1.8 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Hard
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | 30.0% 3 / 10 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | 34.8% 8 / 23 Matches |
Clay
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches | 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches | 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches |
Grass
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | N/A 0 / 0 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 2 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Sets | 4 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Wins this year | 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches | 46.9% 15 / 32 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches | 44.4% 20 / 45 Matches |
| Current rank | - | 514 |
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $3,017,813 USD | $390,435 USD |
| Rating | — | 514 |
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Height | 1.88m | 1.83m |
| Weight | 78kg | 85kg |
| Playing hand | Left-handed | Right-handed |
Win percentage (match / set)
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 33 % | 47 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 50 % | 48 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 17 % | 22 % |
| Wins From Behind | 20 % | 11 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 67 % | 69 % |
| Set 1 Win | 17 % | 47 % |
| Set 2 Win | 67 % | 42 % |
| Set 3 Win | 50 % | 57 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 2024 | Bonn Chall. Men (Clay) | Maximilian Marterer 2 – 0 Benjamin Hassan |
| Jul 13 2016 | Trier ITF Men (Clay) | Maximilian Marterer 2 – 0 Benjamin Hassan |
Source:tennisstats.com
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 10.33 | 9.66 | 10 |
| Over 6.5 | 100 % | 97 % | 99 % |
| Over 7.5 | 100 % | 84 % | 92 % |
| Over 8.5 | 75 % | 77 % | 76 % |
| Over 9.5 | 75 % | 45 % | 60 % |
| Over 10.5 | 50 % | 23 % | 37 % |
| Over 11.5 | 50 % | 23 % | 37 % |
Aces
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | N/A | 4.77 | N/A |
| Most Aces in a match | N/A | 60 % | N/A |
| 1+ | N/A | 97 % | N/A |
| 2+ | N/A | 80 % | N/A |
| 3+ | N/A | 70 % | N/A |
| 4+ | N/A | 60 % | N/A |
| 5+ | N/A | 47 % | N/A |
Breaks
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | N/A | 1.8 | N/A |
| Over 0.5 | N/A | 53 % | N/A |
| Over 1.5 | N/A | 53 % | N/A |
| Over 2.5 | N/A | 53 % | N/A |
| Over 3.5 | N/A | 53 % | N/A |
| Over 4.5 | N/A | 0 % | N/A |
| Over 5.5 | N/A | 0 % | N/A |
Tie-breaks
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.75 | 0.23 | 0.49 |
| Over 0.5 | 50 % | 19 % | 35 % |
| Over 1.5 | 25 % | 3 % | 14 % |
| Under 0.5 | 50 % | 81 % | 35 % |
| Under 1.5 | 75 % | 97 % | 14 % |
Double faults
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | N/A | 3.37 | N/A |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | N/A | 100 % | N/A |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | N/A | 87 % | N/A |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | N/A | 57 % | N/A |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | N/A | 33 % | N/A |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | N/A | 30 % | N/A |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | N/A | 17 % | N/A |
Net points
| Maximilian Marterer | Benjamin Hassan | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | N/A | 7.44 | N/A |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | N/A | 75 % | N/A |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | N/A | 63 % | N/A |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | N/A | 63 % | N/A |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | N/A | 50 % | N/A |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | N/A | 38 % | N/A |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | N/A | 38 % | N/A |
Source:tennisstats.com
Marterer M take on Xassan B on August 23, 2026 in the Augsburg, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Marterer M 1-0-4, Xassan B 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Xassan B — 54%
Model estimate: win Marterer M 46.2%, win Xassan B 53.8%. Model favourite — Xassan B.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marterer M - Xassan B August 23, 2026
Tennis math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.05 / 2 1.68
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Details
The pre-match analysis for the upcoming clay-court fixture at the Augsburg Challenger (Schwaben Open) on August 23, 2026, strongly points to an away victory for Benjamin Hassan.
Current Form and Condition
Maximilian Marterer enters this home tournament with a mixed record of two wins and three losses over his last five matches (LWWLW), demonstrating inconsistent baseline rhythm on clay. Conversely, Benjamin Hassan is in peak competitive shape, boasting four wins in his last five outings (LWWWW). Hassan has been deep in tournament match play recently, which grants him an edge in tactical awareness and consistency under pressure over Marterer. No critical injuries, health limitations, or physical suspensions have been reported for either athlete, leaving both prepared to compete at full strength.
Head-to-Head History and Surface Advantage
In their most recent direct head-to-head encounter, Maximilian Marterer defeated Benjamin Hassan in straight sets (6-3, 7-6) during the 2024 Bonn Open. While Marterer traditionally handles the pressure of playing in Germany well, Hassan's evolution on slow clay surfaces over the trailing months shifts the balance. Hassan's high first-serve efficiency and superior court coverage align perfectly with the tactical demands of the Augsburg clay.
Odds Shift and Betting Justification
The pre-match line movements indicate sharp market agreement with the underlying performance metrics. The home win price has drifted outward from 2.25 to 2.35, while the away win line has consistently shortened from 1.57 down to 1.52. Our internal analytic Glicko model values P1 at 40% and P2 at 60%. Reflecting on Hassan's superior current match fitness and momentum compared to Marterer's fluctuating baseline play, our final prediction aligns strictly with these model estimates. Given both players possess strong service games, a closely contested multi-game battle is expected, even within a straight-sets victory.
Conclusion
The primary selection for this match is a direct victory for Benjamin Hassan, with an expected exact set score of 0:2 and a recommended total of Under 22.5 games.
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 40% | 60% | 0:2 | Under 22.5 | Benjamin Hassan to win |
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Marterer M - Xassan B
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.88 53.2% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | — | 1.88 53.2% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | — | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | — | 1.89 52.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 3.35 29.9% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 2.65 37.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 21.5 | — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 22.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 23.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 24.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Marterer M
Unlock the full match prediction
The Marterer M - Xassan B breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Marterer M vs Xassan B start?
August 23, 2026.