AI verdict

AI pick Xassan B win probability ~54% best odds 1.68

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Xassan B. Full breakdown below.

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Augsburg
Augsburg International

Marterer M - Xassan B

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis Augsburg
Augsburg 23.08.2026 13:00 UTC Not started
23.08.2026 13:00 UTC Not started
Marterer M
Marterer M
33Bad Form
L W W L W L W W
X
Xassan B
Rank #514 Elo 87
47Struggling Form
W W L W L L W W
-:-
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating #514
31 Age 31
1.88m Height (cm) 1.83m
78kg Weight (kg) 85kg
Left Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Marterer M Xassan B
Aces per match N/A 4.77
Double faults per match N/A 3.37
Breaks per match N/A 1.8

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Maximilian Marterer
L W W L W L W W
Benjamin Hassan
Rank:514 Elo: 87
W W L W L L W W

Hard

Maximilian MartererBenjamin Hassan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 30.0% 3 / 10 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 34.8% 8 / 23 Matches

Clay

Maximilian MartererBenjamin Hassan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 57.1% 12 / 21 Matches

Grass

Maximilian MartererBenjamin Hassan
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan
H2H wins 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 4 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches 46.9% 15 / 32 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 33.3% 2 / 6 Matches 44.4% 20 / 45 Matches
Current rank - 514

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan
Prize money (career) $3,017,813 USD $390,435 USD
Rating 514
Age 31 31
Height 1.88m 1.83m
Weight 78kg 85kg
Playing hand Left-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan
Match Wins 33 % 47 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % 48 %
Wins in Straight Sets 17 % 22 %
Wins From Behind 20 % 11 %
Won At Least 1 Set 67 % 69 %
Set 1 Win 17 % 47 %
Set 2 Win 67 % 42 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 57 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Aug 10 2024 Bonn Chall. Men (Clay) Maximilian Marterer 2 – 0 Benjamin Hassan
Jul 13 2016 Trier ITF Men (Clay) Maximilian Marterer 2 – 0 Benjamin Hassan

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.33 9.66 10
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 100 % 84 % 92 %
Over 8.5 75 % 77 % 76 %
Over 9.5 75 % 45 % 60 %
Over 10.5 50 % 23 % 37 %
Over 11.5 50 % 23 % 37 %

Aces

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan Match total
Aces Per Match N/A 4.77 N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A 60 % N/A
1+ N/A 97 % N/A
2+ N/A 80 % N/A
3+ N/A 70 % N/A
4+ N/A 60 % N/A
5+ N/A 47 % N/A

Breaks

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan Match total
Breaks Per Match N/A 1.8 N/A
Over 0.5 N/A 53 % N/A
Over 1.5 N/A 53 % N/A
Over 2.5 N/A 53 % N/A
Over 3.5 N/A 53 % N/A
Over 4.5 N/A 0 % N/A
Over 5.5 N/A 0 % N/A

Tie-breaks

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.75 0.23 0.49
Over 0.5 50 % 19 % 35 %
Over 1.5 25 % 3 % 14 %
Under 0.5 50 % 81 % 35 %
Under 1.5 75 % 97 % 14 %

Double faults

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan Match total
Double Faults Per Match N/A 3.37 N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) N/A 100 % N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) N/A 87 % N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) N/A 57 % N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) N/A 33 % N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) N/A 30 % N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) N/A 17 % N/A

Net points

Maximilian Marterer Benjamin Hassan Match total
Net Points Won Per Match N/A 7.44 N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) N/A 75 % N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) N/A 63 % N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) N/A 63 % N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) N/A 50 % N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) N/A 38 % N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) N/A 38 % N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.05 45.8% BetBoom
P2 1.73 54.2% BetBoom

Marterer M take on Xassan B on August 23, 2026 in the Augsburg, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marterer M 1-0-4, Xassan B 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Xassan B54%

1 · Marterer M46.2%
2 · Xassan B53.8%

Model estimate: win Marterer M 46.2%, win Xassan B 53.8%. Model favourite — Xassan B.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marterer M - Xassan B August 23, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Xassan B. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.05 / 2 1.68

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 6 books
1 46.1%
2 53.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.25 ↓ 2.05
Winner P2 1.57 ↑ 1.68

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Marterer M
46%
2.05
Xassan B
54%
1.73
Handicap
Marterer M (0.5)
50%
1.88
Xassan B (0.5)
50%
1.86
Total
Over 22.5
49%
1.90
Under 22.5
51%
1.82

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated22.08.2026 21:12 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 22.5 Bet:Benjamin Hassan to win
Per AI data Form:LWWLW / LWWWW H2H: Marterer leads 1-0 Injuries:none Key:Hassan superior recent match fitness and clay momentum
Details

The pre-match analysis for the upcoming clay-court fixture at the Augsburg Challenger (Schwaben Open) on August 23, 2026, strongly points to an away victory for Benjamin Hassan.
Current Form and Condition
Maximilian Marterer enters this home tournament with a mixed record of two wins and three losses over his last five matches (LWWLW), demonstrating inconsistent baseline rhythm on clay. Conversely, Benjamin Hassan is in peak competitive shape, boasting four wins in his last five outings (LWWWW). Hassan has been deep in tournament match play recently, which grants him an edge in tactical awareness and consistency under pressure over Marterer. No critical injuries, health limitations, or physical suspensions have been reported for either athlete, leaving both prepared to compete at full strength.
Head-to-Head History and Surface Advantage
In their most recent direct head-to-head encounter, Maximilian Marterer defeated Benjamin Hassan in straight sets (6-3, 7-6) during the 2024 Bonn Open. While Marterer traditionally handles the pressure of playing in Germany well, Hassan's evolution on slow clay surfaces over the trailing months shifts the balance. Hassan's high first-serve efficiency and superior court coverage align perfectly with the tactical demands of the Augsburg clay.
Odds Shift and Betting Justification
The pre-match line movements indicate sharp market agreement with the underlying performance metrics. The home win price has drifted outward from 2.25 to 2.35, while the away win line has consistently shortened from 1.57 down to 1.52. Our internal analytic Glicko model values P1 at 40% and P2 at 60%. Reflecting on Hassan's superior current match fitness and momentum compared to Marterer's fluctuating baseline play, our final prediction aligns strictly with these model estimates. Given both players possess strong service games, a closely contested multi-game battle is expected, even within a straight-sets victory.
Conclusion
The primary selection for this match is a direct victory for Benjamin Hassan, with an expected exact set score of 0:2 and a recommended total of Under 22.5 games.

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 40% 60% 0:2 Under 22.5 Benjamin Hassan to win

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Match center
Start 23.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 45.0% @ 2.05 / 2 55.0% @ 1.68
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Xassan B 60%
📐 Math model Xassan B 54%
💹 Market Xassan B 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Marterer M - Xassan B

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Marterer M 46.1% 46.2%
Xassan B 53.9% 53.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.2% / 53.8% probabilities
Rating 1,614 / 1,764 Marterer M / Hassan B
RD 161 / 135 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,291-1,937 / 1,493-2,035 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 Fonbet · no value · model 53.8%
1 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 46.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.42 70.4%
3.35 29.9%
1.28 78.1%
2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 21.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 22.5 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 24.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Marterer M
L L L L W
2025-08-19 2025 Augsburg, Germany
Marterer M Marterer M 1:2 Negritu C
2025-06-23 2025 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Marterer M Marterer M 1:2 Jacquet K
2025-06-07 2025 Stuttgart, Germany, Qualifying
Marterer M Marterer M 0:2 Herbert P-H
2025-05-27 2025 French Open, Paris, France
Marterer M Marterer M 2:3 Walton A
2025-05-23 2025 French Open, Paris, France, Qualifying
Marterer M Arnaboldi F 0:2 Marterer M
1 Wins
4 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Xassan B
L L W W W
2026-08-22 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Xassan B 1:2 Stricker D Xassan B
2026-08-21 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Giustino L 1:0 Xassan B Xassan B
2026-08-20 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Xassan B 2:1 Blansaneaux G Xassan B
2026-08-19 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Kopp S 1:2 Xassan B Xassan B
2026-08-18 2026 Sion, Switzerland
Xassan B 2:0 Ovcharenko O Xassan B
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Marterer M vs Xassan B start?

August 23, 2026.