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AI verdict

AI pick Topo M win probability ~65% confidence High best odds 1.40

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Topo M. Full breakdown below.

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Augsburg
Augsburg International
24.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Topo M - Damas M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Augsburg
Augsburg 24.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
24.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Topo M
Topo M
Rank #338 Elo 160
39Bad Form
L W L W L W W L
Damas M
Damas M
Rank #302 Elo 183
43Struggling Form
W L W W L L W L
-:-
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Topo M Damas M
Win % 55.1% 56.6%
Hard % 54% 50.5%
Clay % 56.1% 59%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 40.7% 50.5%
Tie-breaks % 57.7% 54.7%
Titles (total) 6 6
Last 10 LWLWLWWLLW LLLLWWLWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#338 Rating #302
22 Age 26
1.85m Height (cm) 2.08m
81kg Weight (kg) 84kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Topo M Damas M
Aces per match 4.88 1.26
Double faults per match 3.36 2.81
Breaks per match 13.5 4.63

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Marko Topo
Rank:338 Elo: 160
L W L W L W W L
Miguel Damas
Rank:302 Elo: 183
W L W W L L W L
Elo favourite:Damas M (edge +23 Elo)

Hard

Marko TopoMiguel Damas
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 61.1% 11 / 18 Matches 40.0% 4 / 10 Matches

Clay

Marko TopoMiguel Damas
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 8 / 24 Matches 42.9% 15 / 35 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 39.4% 13 / 33 Matches 53.1% 34 / 64 Matches

Grass

Marko TopoMiguel Damas
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Marko Topo Miguel Damas
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 38.7% 12 / 31 Matches 43.5% 20 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 48.2% 26 / 54 Matches 51.3% 39 / 76 Matches
Current rank 338 302

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Marko Topo Miguel Damas
Prize money (career) $126,531 USD $68,931 USD
Rating 338 302
Age 22 26
Height 1.85m 2.08m
Weight 81kg 84kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Marko Topo Miguel Damas
Match Wins 39 % 43 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 38 % 43 %
Wins in Straight Sets 26 % 35 %
Wins From Behind 10 % 7 %
Won At Least 1 Set 65 % 63 %
Set 1 Win 52 % 54 %
Set 2 Win 39 % 44 %
Set 3 Win 36 % 31 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Marko Topo Miguel Damas Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.29 9.59 9.44
Over 6.5 97 % 95 % 96 %
Over 7.5 79 % 82 % 81 %
Over 8.5 62 % 66 % 64 %
Over 9.5 41 % 48 % 45 %
Over 10.5 14 % 27 % 21 %
Over 11.5 14 % 27 % 21 %

Aces

Marko Topo Miguel Damas Match total
Aces Per Match 4.88 1.26 6.14
Most Aces in a match 52 % 21 % N/A
1+ 92 % 60 % 96 %
2+ 84 % 30 % 89 %
3+ 60 % 19 % 84 %
4+ 52 % 7 % 66 %
5+ 44 % 7 % 56 %

Breaks

Marko Topo Miguel Damas Match total
Breaks Per Match 13.5 4.63 18.13
Over 0.5 100 % 95 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 91 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 91 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 40 % 99 %
Over 4.5 100 % 40 % 98 %
Over 5.5 100 % 35 % 97 %

Tie-breaks

Marko Topo Miguel Damas Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.34 0.27 0.31
Over 0.5 28 % 25 % 26 %
Over 1.5 7 % 2 % 5 %
Under 0.5 72 % 75 % 26 %
Under 1.5 93 % 98 % 5 %

Double faults

Marko Topo Miguel Damas Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.36 2.81 6.17
Over 0.5 (1+) 80 % 88 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 68 % 74 % 88 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 52 % 49 % 77 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 40 % 33 % 68 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 32 % 21 % 64 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 28 % 12 % 56 %

Net points

Marko Topo Miguel Damas Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 4.83 4.8 9.63
Over 4.5 (5+) 56 % 57 % 57 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 22 % 46 % 34 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 11 % 32 % 22 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % 29 % 15 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % 18 % 9 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % 7 % 4 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.43 65.6% BetBoom
P2 2.73 34.4% BetBoom

Topo M go head-to-head with Damas M on August 24, 2026 in the Augsburg, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Topo M 2-0-3, Damas M 1-0-4. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Topo M — 65%

1 · Topo M ✓ Pick65.2%
market 66%
2 · Damas M34.8%
market 34%

Model estimate: win Topo M 65.2%, win Damas M 34.8%. Model favourite — Topo M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner — Topo M

Model confidence 66% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Topo M - Damas M August 24, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Topo M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 4 books · best price +1.4%
1 ✓ Pick 65.8%
2 34.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.48 ↓ 1.40
Winner P2 2.45 ↑ 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Topo M
66%
1.43
Damas M
34%
2.73
Total
Over 21.5
52%
1.81
Under 21.5
48%
1.96

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 65.9% @ 1.40 / 2 34.1% @ 2.70
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Topo M 65%
💹 Market Topo M 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Topo M - Damas M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Topo M 65.8% 57.9% market and model agree
Damas M 34.2% 42.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko65.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.47).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 65.2% / 34.8% probabilities
Rating 1,766 / 1,540 Topo M / Damas M
RD 202 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,361-2,171 / 1,139-1,942 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 34.8%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 65.2%
Total
Over 20.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.62 61.7%
1.86 53.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.30 43.5%
1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% —
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.15 46.5%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.16 86.2%
2.07 48.3%
1.67 59.9%
4.60 21.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
Under 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Under 23.5 — — 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Topo M
L W L W L
2026-08-06 2026 Hagen, Germany
Topo M Taberner C 2:1 Topo M
2026-08-04 2026 Hagen, Germany
Topo M Schoenhaus M 1:2 Topo M
2026-08-03 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Topo M Resek D 2:0 Topo M
2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Topo M Gutierrez O J 0:2 Topo M
2026-07-28 2026 Bonn, Germany
Topo M Moller E 2:0 Topo M
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Damas M
L L L L W
2026-08-17 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Damas M 0:2 Coppejans K Damas M
2026-07-26 2026 Bonn, Germany, Qualifying
Damas M 1:2 Sakellaridis D Damas M
2026-07-21 2026 Zug, Switzerland
Damas M 0:2 Brunold M Damas M
2026-07-14 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Vallejo A D 2:0 Damas M Damas M
2026-07-13 2026 Bastad, Sweden, Qualifying
Faurel T 1:2 Damas M Damas M
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

When does Topo M vs Damas M start?

August 24, 2026.