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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Den Ouden G - Pucinelli de Almeida M

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Den Ouden G
Den Ouden G
P
Pucinelli de Almeida M
0:2
Odds
P1 1.56 60.2% BetBoom
P2 2.36 39.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Den Ouden G — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Den Ouden G): model 57% · market 7% Δ +50 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Den Ouden G ✓ Pick59.5%
market7%
2 · Pucinelli de Almeida M40.5%
market93%

Model estimate: win Den Ouden G 59.5%, win Pucinelli de Almeida M 40.5%. Model favourite — Den Ouden G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Den Ouden G (odds1.68) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Den Ouden G
  • • 🇳🇱 — Puchinelli de Almeyda M
  • • 🇧🇷 (tennis)
  • • Den Ouden G
  • • 🇳🇱: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Puchinelli de Almeyda M
  • • 🇧🇷: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Den Ouden G
  • • 🇳🇱: probability 57% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Den Ouden G - Pucinelli de Almeida M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pucinelli de Almeida M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pucinelli de Almeida M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Den Ouden G 59.5% / Pucinelli de Almeida M 40.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 ✓ Pick 6.7%
2 93.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.68 ↓ 1.55
Winner 2 2.05 ↑ 2.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Den Ouden G
4-6LLWLWLLWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.4
Pucinelli de Almeida M
7-3LWWLWWWLWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Den Ouden G - Pucinelli de Almeida M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 59.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.708 / LogLoss 0.904
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.523 / LogLoss 0.716
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Den Ouden G 59.7% 59.5% market and model agree
Pucinelli de Almeida M 40.3% 40.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 59.5% / 40.5% probabilities
Rating 1,834 / 1,703 Den Ouden G / Pucinelli de Almeida M
RD 134 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,565-2,103 / 1,386-2,021 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
1 1.54 market consensus · no value · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.75 57.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.28 78.1%
— — 1.04 96.2%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.02 49.5%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.58 63.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.48 67.6%
Over 18.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 19.5 — — 6.50 15.4%
Over 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8% 2.95 33.9%
Over 22.5 1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 2.25 44.4%
Over 23.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 25.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
Over 26.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 22.5 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% 14.00 7.1% 1.52 65.8%
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 1.01 99.0% 2.36 42.4%
Match center
Den Ouden G
W W W W W
19.07 10:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Den Ouden G 2:1 Gentzsch T. 🇩🇪Gentzsch T. 🇩🇪
18.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Den Ouden G 2:0 Koppeyans K. 🇧🇪Koppeyans K. 🇧🇪
17.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Den Ouden G 2:0 Neyboer R. 🇳🇱
16.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Den Ouden G 2:1 Barton G. 🇨🇿
14.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bunschoten (Netherlands), clay
Den Ouden G 2:0 Evseev D. 🇰🇿
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Pucinelli de Almeida M
W L W W W
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:0 Nikles Y. 🇨🇭
10.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bogota (Colombia), clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 0:2 Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪
03.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:1 Magadan A. (Mek)Magadan A. (Mek)
30.06 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:0 Rodriguez J. A. 🇨🇴
27.06 16:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pirasikaba (Brazil), clay
Pucinelli de Almeida M 2:0 Aguilar Cardozo J. 🇺🇾
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage