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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay

28.07.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Nikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay

Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished

28.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished

Nikles J

Barrena A. 🇦🇷

1:2

Odds

P1 13.00 9.5% BetBoom

P2 1.36 90.5% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Barrena A. 🇦🇷 — 66%

Pure model vs market (2 · Barrena A. 🇦🇷): model 39% · market 93% Δ −54 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nikles J34.5%

market7%

2 · Barrena A. 🇦🇷 ✓ Pick65.5%

market93%

Model estimate: win Nikles J 34.5%, win Barrena A. 🇦🇷 65.5%. Model favourite — Barrena A. 🇦🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nikles J (odds2.25) Score 2:1 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed

• Nikles Y
• 🇨🇭 — Barrena A
• 🇦🇷 (tennis)
• Nikles Y
• 🇨🇭: forma PPVVP (2-3)
• Barrena A
• 🇦🇷: forma PPVPP (1-4)
• Model backs Nikles Y
• 🇨🇭: probability 61% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
• edge over the line +17 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷 July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barrena A. 🇦🇷.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barrena A. 🇦🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01
Glicko: Nikles J 34.5% / Barrena A. 🇦🇷 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%

1 7.2%

2 ✓ Pick 92.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.25 ↑ 13.00

Winner 2 1.55 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Nikles J

7-3WWLWWWLWLW

scored 1.4conceded 0.9

Barrena A. 🇦🇷

4-6WWLWWLLLLL

scored 1.2conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 08:14 UTC

1 30%

2 70% ✓ favourite

Score0:2 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:2

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI	1	2	Score	Total games	Bet
Google AI	30%	70%	0:2	Under 21.5

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 06:30 UTC

Coverage clay

Form 6 matches

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Barrena A. 🇦🇷 70%

📐 Math model Barrena A. 🇦🇷 66%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Nikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 1:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 65.5% fact: away hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.238 / LogLoss 0.423

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.9% fact: away hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.463 / LogLoss 0.657

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Nikles J 31.6% 34.5%

Barrena A. 🇦🇷 68.5% 65.5% market and model agree

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 34.5% / 65.5% probabilities

Rating 1,579 / 1,324 Nikles J / Barrena A. 🇦🇷

RD 169 / 162 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,240-1,918 / 1,000-1,647 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 65.5%

1 2.97 market consensus · no value · model 34.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 19.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
1.97 50.8%	1.85 54.1%	—
2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	—
1.71 58.5%	1.70 58.8%	—
—	—	1.63 61.4%
—	—	1.35 74.1%
—	—	1.85 54.1%
1.76 56.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%
1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%
2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
Over 19.5	—	—	1.73 57.8%
Over 20.5	1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%
Over 22.5	—	—	1.87 53.5%
Over 23.5	—	—	1.78 56.2%
Over 24.5	—	—	1.87 53.5%
Over 25.5	—	—	1.90 52.6%
Over 26.5	—	—	1.35 74.1%
Over 27.5	—	—	2.25 44.4%
Over 28.5	—	—	6.90 14.5%
Under 20.5	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 21.5	1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	2.95 33.9%	2.90 34.5%	13.00 7.7%	3.05 32.8%
	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.01 99.0%	1.33 75.2%

Match center

Nikles J

L L W W L

27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay

Nikles J 0:2 Puchinelli de Almeyda M. 🇧🇷

24.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay

Nikles J 0:2 Kelm Y. 🇩🇪

23.07 10:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay

Nikles J 2:1 Ratiu N. 🇧🇪

21.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay

Nikles J 2:0 Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷

03.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Rabat (Morocco), clay

Nikles J 0:2 Akhuda V. 🇲🇦

2 Wins

3 Losses

0.8 Sets won

1.4 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Barrena A. 🇦🇷

L L W L L

21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay

Barrena A. 🇦🇷 0:2 Visker N. 🇳🇱

15.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay

Barrena A. 🇦🇷 1:2 Napolitano S. 🇮🇹

13.07 12:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay

Barrena A. 🇦🇷 2:1 Agamenone F. 🇮🇹

09.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy), clay

Barrena A. 🇦🇷 0:2 Sanche-Iskerdo N. 🇪🇸

01.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Milan (Italy), clay

Barrena A. 🇦🇷 0:2 Kheyde G. 🇧🇷

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.6 Sets won

1.8 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷

Nikles J

0 matches total

Barrena A. 🇦🇷

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Nikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷

About the athletes

AI match prediction Nikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷 July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

AI outcome leader: 1

Head-to-head and form

Team form

AI predictions

Nikles J - Barrena A. 🇦🇷

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history