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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
28.07.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Nikles J - Barrena A

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
N
Nikles J
Barrena A
Barrena A
1:2
Odds
P1 13.00 9.5% BetBoom
P2 1.36 90.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Barrena A — 66%

Pure model vs market (2 · Barrena A): model 39% · market 93% Δ −54 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nikles J34.5%
market7%
2 · Barrena A ✓ Pick65.5%
market93%

Model estimate: win Nikles J 34.5%, win Barrena A 65.5%. Model favourite — Barrena A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nikles J (odds2.25) Score 2:1 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Nikles Y
  • • 🇨🇭 — Barrena A
  • • 🇦🇷 (tennis)
  • • Nikles Y
  • • 🇨🇭: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Barrena A
  • • 🇦🇷: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Nikles Y
  • • 🇨🇭: probability 61% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nikles J - Barrena A July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barrena A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barrena A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Nikles J 34.5% / Barrena A 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 7.2%
2 ✓ Pick 92.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.25 ↑ 13.00
Winner 2 1.55 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Nikles J
7-3WWLWWWLWLW
scored 1.4conceded 0.9
Barrena A
4-6WWLWWLLLLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated28.07.2026 08:14 UTC
1 30%
2 70% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total games: Under 21.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 30% 70% 0:2 Under 21.5
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Barrena A 70%
📐 Math model Barrena A 66%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Nikles J - Barrena A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 65.5% fact: away hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.238 / LogLoss 0.423
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.9% fact: away hit / ROI 36.0% / Brier 0.463 / LogLoss 0.657
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nikles J 31.6% 34.5%
Barrena A 68.5% 65.5% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 34.5% / 65.5% probabilities
Rating 1,579 / 1,324 Nikles J / Barrena A
RD 169 / 162 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,240-1,918 / 1,000-1,647 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 65.5%
1 2.97 market consensus · no value · model 34.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.97 50.8% 1.85 54.1% —
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% —
1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% —
— — 1.63 61.4%
— — 1.35 74.1%
— — 1.85 54.1%
1.76 56.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
Over 22.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 23.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 24.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
Over 25.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 26.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 27.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 28.5 — — 6.90 14.5%
Under 20.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.95 33.9% 2.90 34.5% 13.00 7.7% 3.05 32.8%
1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Nikles J
L L W W L
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Nikles J 0:2 Puchinelli de Almeyda M. 🇧🇷
24.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay
Nikles J 0:2 Kelm Y. 🇩🇪Kelm Y. 🇩🇪
23.07 10:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay
Nikles J 2:1 Ratiu N. 🇧🇪
21.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay
Nikles J 2:0 Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷Sakellaridis D. 🇬🇷
03.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Rabat (Morocco), clay
Nikles J 0:2 Akhuda V. 🇲🇦
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Barrena A
L L W L L
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland), clay
Barrena A 0:2 Visker N. 🇳🇱Visker N. 🇳🇱
15.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Barrena A 1:2 Napolitano S. 🇮🇹Napolitano S. 🇮🇹
13.07 12:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Barrena A 2:1 Agamenone F. 🇮🇹Agamenone F. 🇮🇹
09.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Barrena A 0:2 Sanche-Iskerdo N. 🇪🇸Sanche-Iskerdo N. 🇪🇸
01.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Milan (Italy), clay
Barrena A 0:2 Kheyde G. 🇧🇷
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNikles J - Barrena A

Nikles J
0 matches total
Barrena A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history