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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Sakellaridis D - McDonald N

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Sakellaridis D
Sakellaridis D
M
McDonald N
0:2
Odds
P1 3.50 29.3% BetBoom
P2 1.45 70.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 McDonald N — 71%

Pure model vs market (2 · McDonald N): model 48% · market 82% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sakellaridis D29.4%
market18%
2 · McDonald N ✓ Pick70.6%
market82%

Model estimate: win Sakellaridis D 29.4%, win McDonald N 70.6%. Model favourite — McDonald N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sakellaridis D (odds2.55) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Sakellaridis D
  • • 🇬🇷 — MakDonald N
  • • 🇩🇪 (tennis)
  • • Sakellaridis D
  • • 🇬🇷: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • MakDonald N
  • • 🇩🇪: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Sakellaridis D
  • • 🇬🇷: probability 52% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.55)
  • • edge over the line +13 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sakellaridis D - McDonald N July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like McDonald N.

Line favourite Fonbet: McDonald N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.10 / 2 1.13
  • Glicko: Sakellaridis D 29.4% / McDonald N 70.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 18.1%
2 ✓ Pick 81.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.45 ↑ 3.45
Winner 2 1.50 ↓ 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Sakellaridis D - McDonald N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 70.6% fact: away hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.173 / LogLoss 0.349
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 52.5% fact: away hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.452 / LogLoss 0.645
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sakellaridis D 26.9% 29.4%
McDonald N 73.1% 70.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 29.4% / 70.6% probabilities
Rating 1,711 / 1,715 Sakellaridis D / McDonald N
RD 167 / 153 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,378-2,045 / 1,410-2,021 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 70.6%
1 5.10 Fonbet · no value · model 29.4%
Total
Over 17.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 4.90 20.4% —
— 1.95 51.3% —
1.82 55.0% 4.10 24.4% —
— 1.40 71.4% 1.91 52.4%
— 1.80 55.6% —
— 1.30 76.9% —
— 1.12 89.3% —
— 1.75 57.1% —
— 1.19 84.0% —
— 2.70 37.0% —
— 1.90 52.6% —
— 3.25 30.8% —
1.88 53.2% — —
— — 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 18.5 — 1.73 57.8%
Over 19.5 — 2.35 42.6%
Over 20.5 — 2.25 44.4%
Over 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.48 67.6%
Over 22.5 — 2.05 48.8%
Over 23.5 — 2.55 39.2%
Over 26.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 27.5 — 2.50 40.0%
Over 28.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 29.5 — 1.30 76.9%
Over 30.5 — 1.85 54.1%
Under 17.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Under 18.5 — 2.00 50.0%
Under 19.5 — 1.53 65.4%
Under 20.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Under 21.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.55 39.2% 5.10 19.6% 3.50 28.6%
1.45 69.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Sakellaridis D
W L W W W
27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay
Sakellaridis D 2:1 Marti Puyolras A. 🇪🇸
21.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Metzingen (Germany), clay
Sakellaridis D 0:2 Nikles Y. 🇨🇭
19.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay
Sakellaridis D 2:0 Kastanola L. 🇮🇹
18.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay
Sakellaridis D 2:0 Bokki L. 🇮🇹
14.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay
Sakellaridis D 2:0 Kriznik M. 🇸🇮
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
McDonald N
L L W W L
14.07 13:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
McDonald N 0:2 Gomes F. 🇦🇷
10.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany), clay
McDonald N 0:2 Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷Dias Akosta F. 🇦🇷
09.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany), clay
McDonald N 2:0 Krumich M. 🇨🇿Krumich M. 🇨🇿
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Braunshveyg (Germany), clay
McDonald N 2:0 Smit K. 🇺🇸Smit K. 🇺🇸
30.06 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Milan (Italy), clay
McDonald N 0:2 Martin Manzano J. C. 🇮🇹
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage