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Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay

28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay

Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany), clay clay 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

28.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

Wallin O. 🇸🇪

Giustino L

2:1

Odds

P1 2.05 45.9% BetBoom

P2 1.74 54.1% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Giustino L — 53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Giustino L): model 46% · market 7% Δ +39 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Wallin O. 🇸🇪46.7%

2 · Giustino L53.3%

Model estimate: win Wallin O. 🇸🇪 46.7%, win Giustino L 53.3%. Model favourite — Giustino L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Wallin O. 🇸🇪 (odds2.25) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Wallin O
• 🇸🇪 — Dzhustino L
• 🇮🇹 (tennis)
• Wallin O
• 🇸🇪: forma VPVPV (3-2)
• Dzhustino L
• 🇮🇹: forma PPPVV (2-3)
• Model backs Wallin O
• 🇸🇪: probability 54% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
• edge over the line +10 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wallin O. 🇸🇪.

Line favourite Fonbet: Wallin O. 🇸🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
Glicko: Wallin O. 🇸🇪 46.7% / Giustino L 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%

1 93.3%

2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 2.25 ↓ 2.05

Winner 2 1.55 ↑ 1.68

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Wallin O. 🇸🇪

6-4WLWLLWWWWL

scored 1.2conceded 1.1

Giustino L

4-6LWLLLLLWWW

scored 1.0conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 08:00 UTC

Coverage clay

Form 6 matches

Match center

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.568 / LogLoss 0.761

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.508 / LogLoss 0.701

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 45.9% 46.7%

Giustino L 54.1% 53.3% market and model agree

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 46.7% / 53.3% probabilities

Rating 1,691 / 1,651 Wallin O. 🇸🇪 / Giustino L

RD 165 / 131 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,362-2,021 / 1,389-1,913 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 53.3%

1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 46.7%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 17.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Over 18.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.90 52.6%
	1.65 60.6%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.03 97.1%
	5.50 18.2%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.55 64.5%
	2.65 37.7%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.75 36.4%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	10.50 9.5%
	8.50 11.8%
	1.10 90.9%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 17.5	1.42 70.4%
Over 18.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 19.5	2.50 40.0%
Over 20.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 21.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 25.5	1.10 90.9%
Over 26.5	8.50 11.8%
Over 27.5	10.50 9.5%
Over 28.5	3.05 32.8%
Under 17.5	2.65 37.7%
Under 18.5	2.25 44.4%
Under 19.5	1.47 68.0%
Under 20.5	2.07 48.3%
Under 21.5	2.02 49.5%
Under 22.5	1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	1.01 99.0%	1.98 50.5%
	14.00 7.1%	1.74 57.5%

Match center

Wallin O. 🇸🇪

W L W L W

27.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bonn (Germany) - Qualifying, clay

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 2:0 Donald M. 🇨🇿

09.07 05:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Yassy (Romania), clay

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 1:2 Roye V. 🇫🇷

05.07 11:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Yassy (Romania) - Qualifying, clay

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 2:0 Varbanciu M. 🇷🇴

03.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Brashov (Romania), clay

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 0:2 Khusto G. I. 🇦🇷

02.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Brashov (Romania), clay

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 2:0 Ferreyra Silva F. 🇵🇹

3 Wins

2 Losses

1.4 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

60% Win percentage

Giustino L

L L L W W

19.07 07:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria) - Qualifying, clay

Giustino L 0:2 Cina F. 🇮🇹

14.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay

Giustino L 1:2 Roncadelli F. 🇺🇾

12.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium), clay

Giustino L 1:2 Broska F. 🇩🇪

11.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium), clay

Giustino L 2:0 Damas M. 🇪🇸

10.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Liege (Belgium), clay

Giustino L 2:0 Loge J. 🇧🇪

2 Wins

3 Losses

1.2 Sets won

1.2 Sets lost

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L

Wallin O. 🇸🇪

0 matches total

Giustino L

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L

About the athletes

AI match prediction Wallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Wallin O. 🇸🇪 - Giustino L

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history