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Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
04.08.2026 19:15 UTC Match prediction

Echargui M - Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard hard 04.08.2026 19:15 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 19:15 UTC Finished
E
Echargui M
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
0:2
Odds
P1 2.48 39.4% BetBoom
P2 1.61 60.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Echargui M go head-to-head with Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 38% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ β€” 62%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ): model 61% Β· market 62% Ξ” βˆ’1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 Β· Echargui M38.0%
market38%
2 Β· Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ✓ Pick62.0%
market62%

Model estimate: win Echargui M 38.0%, win Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 62.0%. Model favourite β€” Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (odds1.85) Score 1:2 confidence 61% βœ“ outcome correct
  • • Echargi M
  • • (Tun) β€” Dzhonson S
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ (tennis)
  • • Echargi M
  • • (Tun): forma PPP (0-3)
  • • Dzhonson S
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Dzhonson S
  • • πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ: probability 61% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp β€” value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Echargui M - Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ.

Line favourite market consensus: Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / 2 1.61
  • Glicko: Echargui M 38.0% / Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 3 books Β· best price +8.1%
1 37.9%
2 ✓ Pick 62.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Echargui M
2-8WLWLLLLLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.7
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 39.4% @ 2.48 / 2 60.6% @ 1.61
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Echargui M - Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 62.0% fact: away hit / ROI 61.0% / Brier 0.288 / LogLoss 0.478
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.4% fact: away hit / ROI 61.0% / Brier 0.472 / LogLoss 0.665
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Echargui M 37.9% 38.0%
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 62.1% 62.0% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.0% / 62.0% probabilities
Rating 1,196 / 1,819 Echargui M / Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
RD 221 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 754-1,638 / 1,520-2,118 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 62.0%
1 2.37 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 38.0%
Total
Over 22.5 1.94 market consensus Β· line only
Under 22.5 1.79 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3%
1.94 51.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.20 45.5% 2.44 41.0% 2.48 40.3%
1.61 62.1% 1.49 67.1% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Echargui M
L L L
20.07 16:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bloomfield Hills πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Echargui M 0:2 Kharris L. πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦Kharris L. πŸ‡ΏπŸ‡¦
02.06 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Perugia (Italy), clay
Echargui M 1:2 Tszen Ch. πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡Ό
26.05 06:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vichentsa (Italy), clay
Echargui M 1:2 Bertola R. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­Bertola R. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­
0 Wins
3 Losses
0.7 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
W L L W W
02.08 14:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Leksington πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ - Qualifying, hard
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Kolbi R. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
21.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bloomfield Hills πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 0:2 Vong Ch. (Gkg)Vong Ch. (Gkg)
18.07 21:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 1:2 Tomich B. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊTomich B. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Vong Ch. (Gkg)Vong Ch. (Gkg)
15.07 21:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Lincoln πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, hard
Dzhonson S. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Volf Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈVolf Dzh. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage