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Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

Schwaerzler J - Mrva M

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay clay 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
Schwaerzler J
Schwaerzler J
M
Mrva M
2:0
Odds
P1 1.80 52.6% BetBoom
P2 2.00 47.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Schwaerzler J — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Schwaerzler J): model 42% · market 53% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Schwaerzler J51.3%
2 · Mrva M48.7%

Model estimate: win Schwaerzler J 51.3%, win Mrva M 48.7%. Model favourite — Schwaerzler J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Schwaerzler J (odds1.75) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Schwaerzler J
  • • J
  • • 🇦🇹 — Mrva M
  • • 🇨🇿 (tennis)
  • • Schwaerzler J
  • • J
  • • 🇦🇹: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • • Mrva M
  • • 🇨🇿: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Schwaerzler J
  • • J
  • • 🇦🇹: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Schwaerzler J - Mrva M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Schwaerzler J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Schwaerzler J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.78 / 2 1.98
  • Glicko: Schwaerzler J 51.3% / Mrva M 48.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 52.7%
2 47.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.75 ↑ 1.77
Winner 2 2.00 → 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Schwaerzler J

no data

Mrva M
5-5LLWLWWLWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Schwaerzler J - Mrva M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 80.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.2% fact: home hit / ROI 80.0% / Brier 0.497 / LogLoss 0.690
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Schwaerzler J 52.3% 51.3% market and model agree
Mrva M 47.7% 48.7%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.3% / 48.7% probabilities
Rating 1,185 / 1,509 Schwaerzler J / Mrva M
RD 216 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 753-1,616 / 1,211-1,807 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 Fonbet · no value · model 48.7%
1 1.78 Fonbet · no value · model 51.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.70 58.8% —
1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8% —
1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.92 52.1% —
2.10 47.6% —
2.02 49.5% 1.88 53.2%
1.95 51.3% —
2.02 49.5% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.78 56.2% 1.91 52.4%
1.65 60.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.60 62.5% —
Over 21.5 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5% —
Over 24.5 2.30 43.5% —
Under 20.5 2.20 45.5% —
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 1.60 62.5% —
Under 24.5 1.55 64.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6%
1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Schwaerzler J
L L L L L
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Schwaerzler J 0:2 Rodionov Yu. 🇦🇹Rodionov Yu. 🇦🇹
13.07 06:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Schwaerzler J 0:2 Sonego L. 🇮🇹Sonego L. 🇮🇹
07.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Schwaerzler J 1:2 Bondioli F. 🇮🇹Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
20.05 14:10 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France) - Qualifying, clay
Schwaerzler J 0:2 Safiullin R. (World)Safiullin R. (World)
19.05 14:25 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France) - Qualifying, clay
Schwaerzler J 0:2 Chidekh C. 🇫🇷
0 Wins
5 Losses
0.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Mrva M
L W L L W
16.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Mrva M 1:2 Roncadelli F. 🇺🇾Roncadelli F. 🇺🇾
14.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Mrva M 2:1 Caniato C. A. 🇮🇹
09.07 12:45 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Mrva M 0:2 Bondioli F. 🇮🇹Bondioli F. 🇮🇹
12.06 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay
Mrva M 0:2 Shevchenko A. 🇰🇿Shevchenko A. 🇰🇿
11.06 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay
Mrva M 2:0 Tszen Ch. 🇹🇼
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySchwaerzler J - Mrva M

Schwaerzler J
0 matches total
Mrva M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history