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Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay

Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น - Mrva M

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Liberets (Czechia), clay clay 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
M
Mrva M
2:0
Odds
P1 1.80 52.6% BetBoom
P2 2.00 47.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” 51%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น): model 42% ยท market 53% ฮ” โˆ’11 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น51.3%
2 ยท Mrva M48.7%

Model estimate: win Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 51.3%, win Mrva M 48.7%. Model favourite โ€” Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น (odds1.75) Score 2:1 confidence 50% โœ“ outcome correct
  • Schwaerzler J
  • J
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” Mrva M
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ (tennis)
  • Schwaerzler J
  • J
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Mrva M
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ: forma PVPPV (2-3)
  • Model backs Schwaerzler J
  • J
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น - Mrva M July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น.

Line favourite Fonbet: Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.78 / 2 1.98
  • Glicko: Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 51.3% / Mrva M 48.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 52.7%
2 47.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.75 โ†‘ 1.77
Winner 2 2.00 โ†’ 2.00

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น

no data

Mrva M
5-5LLWLWWLWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น - Mrva M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 80.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.2% fact: home hit / ROI 80.0% / Brier 0.497 / LogLoss 0.690
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 52.3% 51.3% market and model agree
Mrva M 47.7% 48.7%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.3% / 48.7% probabilities
Rating 1,185 / 1,509 Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น / Mrva M
RD 216 / 149 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 753-1,616 / 1,211-1,807 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 48.7%
1 1.78 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 51.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet ยท line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 21.5 1.75 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.70 58.8%
1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.92 52.1%
2.10 47.6%
2.02 49.5% 1.88 53.2%
1.95 51.3%
2.02 49.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.78 56.2% 1.91 52.4%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 20.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6%
Over 23.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 24.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 20.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Under 22.5 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 24.5 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6%
1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
L L L L L
20.07 10:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Kittsbyuel (Austria), clay
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Rodionov Yu. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡นRodionov Yu. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
13.07 06:30 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Gshtaad (Switzerland), clay
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นSonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
07.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 1:2 Bondioli F. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นBondioli F. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
20.05 14:10 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France) - Qualifying, clay
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Safiullin R. (World)Safiullin R. (World)
19.05 14:25 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship France (France) - Qualifying, clay
Schwaerzler J. J. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Chidekh C. ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท
0 Wins
5 Losses
0.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Mrva M
L W L L W
16.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Mrva M 1:2 Roncadelli F. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พRoncadelli F. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡พ
14.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Mrva M 2:1 Caniato C. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
09.07 12:45 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy), clay
Mrva M 0:2 Bondioli F. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นBondioli F. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
12.06 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay
Mrva M 0:2 Shevchenko A. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟShevchenko A. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ
11.06 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bratislava (Slovakia), clay
Mrva M 2:0 Tszen Ch. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage