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Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay

28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

Vasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay

Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino), clay clay 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Finished

28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Finished

Vasami J

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

0:2

Odds

P1 1.60 59.0% BetBoom

P2 2.30 41.0% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Vasami J — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vasami J): model 42% · market 58% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vasami J56.9%

2 · Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪43.1%

Model estimate: win Vasami J 56.9%, win Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 43.1%. Model favourite — Vasami J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vasami J (odds1.71) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed

• Vasami J
• 🇮🇹 — Varilyas Kh.-P
• 🇵🇪 (tennis)
• Vasami J
• 🇮🇹: forma PPV (1-2)
• Varilyas Kh.-P
• 🇵🇪: forma VVPVV (4-1)
• Model backs Vasami J
• 🇮🇹: probability 53% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.71)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vasami J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vasami J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.20
Glicko: Vasami J 56.9% / Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 43.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 57.9%

2 42.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner 1 1.70 ↓ 1.58

Winner 2 2.02 ↑ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Coverage clay

Form 6 matches

Match center

Vasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 56.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.647 / LogLoss 0.841

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.517 / LogLoss 0.710

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Vasami J 58.6% 56.9% market and model agree

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 41.4% 43.1%

1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 56.9% / 43.1% probabilities

Rating 1,460 / 1,816 Vasami J / Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

RD 217 / 166 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,026-1,893 / 1,483-2,148 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 43.1%

1 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 56.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 21.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Over 22.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.55 64.5%
—	—	1.65 60.6%
1.81 55.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.75 57.1%
1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
—	—	2.30 43.5%
1.91 52.4%	1.82 55.0%	—
1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	—
—	—	2.10 47.6%
—	—	1.95 51.3%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
Over 21.5	—	—	1.58 63.3%	—
Over 22.5	1.86 53.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.87 53.5%
Over 23.5	—	—	2.02 49.5%	—
Over 24.5	—	—	2.10 47.6%	—
Over 25.5	—	—	2.30 43.5%	—
Under 21.5	—	—	2.25 44.4%	—
Under 22.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%
Under 23.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%	—
Under 24.5	—	—	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 25.5	—	—	1.55 64.5%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%
	2.30 43.5%	2.22 45.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%

Match center

Vasami J

L L W

03.06 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Perugia (Italy), clay

Vasami J 0:2 Yamas Ruis P. 🇪🇸

31.05 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vichentsa (Italy), clay

Vasami J 0:2 Noymayer L. 🇦🇹

30.05 11:50 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Vichentsa (Italy), clay

Vasami J 2:0 Travalya S. 🇮🇹

1 Wins

2 Losses

0.7 Sets won

1.3 Sets lost

33% Win percentage

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

W W L W W

27.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 2:1 Forti F. 🇮🇹

26.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: San Marino (San-Marino) - Qualifying, clay

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 2:0 Latinovic S. 🇷🇸

20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Zug (Switzerland) - Qualifying, clay

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 0:2 Donski A. 🇧🇴

10.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bogota (Colombia), clay

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 2:0 Puchinelli de Almeyda M. 🇧🇷

08.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bogota (Colombia), clay

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 2:1 Alvares Valdes L. (Mek)

4 Wins

1 Losses

1.6 Sets won

0.8 Sets lost

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

Vasami J

0 matches total

Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Vasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

About the athletes

AI match prediction Vasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪 July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Vasami J - Varilyas Kh.-P. 🇵🇪

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history